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Hypothesis Testing | A Step-by-Step Guide with Easy Examples

Published on November 8, 2019 by Rebecca Bevans . Revised on June 22, 2023.

Hypothesis testing is a formal procedure for investigating our ideas about the world using statistics . It is most often used by scientists to test specific predictions, called hypotheses, that arise from theories.

There are 5 main steps in hypothesis testing:

• State your research hypothesis as a null hypothesis and alternate hypothesis (H o ) and (H a  or H 1 ).
• Collect data in a way designed to test the hypothesis.
• Perform an appropriate statistical test .
• Decide whether to reject or fail to reject your null hypothesis.
• Present the findings in your results and discussion section.

Though the specific details might vary, the procedure you will use when testing a hypothesis will always follow some version of these steps.

Table of contents

Step 1: state your null and alternate hypothesis, step 2: collect data, step 3: perform a statistical test, step 4: decide whether to reject or fail to reject your null hypothesis, step 5: present your findings, other interesting articles, frequently asked questions about hypothesis testing.

After developing your initial research hypothesis (the prediction that you want to investigate), it is important to restate it as a null (H o ) and alternate (H a ) hypothesis so that you can test it mathematically.

The alternate hypothesis is usually your initial hypothesis that predicts a relationship between variables. The null hypothesis is a prediction of no relationship between the variables you are interested in.

• H 0 : Men are, on average, not taller than women. H a : Men are, on average, taller than women.

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For a statistical test to be valid , it is important to perform sampling and collect data in a way that is designed to test your hypothesis. If your data are not representative, then you cannot make statistical inferences about the population you are interested in.

There are a variety of statistical tests available, but they are all based on the comparison of within-group variance (how spread out the data is within a category) versus between-group variance (how different the categories are from one another).

If the between-group variance is large enough that there is little or no overlap between groups, then your statistical test will reflect that by showing a low p -value . This means it is unlikely that the differences between these groups came about by chance.

Alternatively, if there is high within-group variance and low between-group variance, then your statistical test will reflect that with a high p -value. This means it is likely that any difference you measure between groups is due to chance.

Your choice of statistical test will be based on the type of variables and the level of measurement of your collected data .

• an estimate of the difference in average height between the two groups.
• a p -value showing how likely you are to see this difference if the null hypothesis of no difference is true.

Based on the outcome of your statistical test, you will have to decide whether to reject or fail to reject your null hypothesis.

In most cases you will use the p -value generated by your statistical test to guide your decision. And in most cases, your predetermined level of significance for rejecting the null hypothesis will be 0.05 – that is, when there is a less than 5% chance that you would see these results if the null hypothesis were true.

In some cases, researchers choose a more conservative level of significance, such as 0.01 (1%). This minimizes the risk of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis ( Type I error ).

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The results of hypothesis testing will be presented in the results and discussion sections of your research paper , dissertation or thesis .

In the results section you should give a brief summary of the data and a summary of the results of your statistical test (for example, the estimated difference between group means and associated p -value). In the discussion , you can discuss whether your initial hypothesis was supported by your results or not.

In the formal language of hypothesis testing, we talk about rejecting or failing to reject the null hypothesis. You will probably be asked to do this in your statistics assignments.

However, when presenting research results in academic papers we rarely talk this way. Instead, we go back to our alternate hypothesis (in this case, the hypothesis that men are on average taller than women) and state whether the result of our test did or did not support the alternate hypothesis.

If your null hypothesis was rejected, this result is interpreted as “supported the alternate hypothesis.”

These are superficial differences; you can see that they mean the same thing.

You might notice that we don’t say that we reject or fail to reject the alternate hypothesis . This is because hypothesis testing is not designed to prove or disprove anything. It is only designed to test whether a pattern we measure could have arisen spuriously, or by chance.

If we reject the null hypothesis based on our research (i.e., we find that it is unlikely that the pattern arose by chance), then we can say our test lends support to our hypothesis . But if the pattern does not pass our decision rule, meaning that it could have arisen by chance, then we say the test is inconsistent with our hypothesis .

If you want to know more about statistics , methodology , or research bias , make sure to check out some of our other articles with explanations and examples.

• Normal distribution
• Descriptive statistics
• Measures of central tendency
• Correlation coefficient

Methodology

• Cluster sampling
• Stratified sampling
• Types of interviews
• Cohort study
• Thematic analysis

Research bias

• Implicit bias
• Cognitive bias
• Survivorship bias
• Availability heuristic
• Nonresponse bias
• Regression to the mean

Hypothesis testing is a formal procedure for investigating our ideas about the world using statistics. It is used by scientists to test specific predictions, called hypotheses , by calculating how likely it is that a pattern or relationship between variables could have arisen by chance.

A hypothesis states your predictions about what your research will find. It is a tentative answer to your research question that has not yet been tested. For some research projects, you might have to write several hypotheses that address different aspects of your research question.

A hypothesis is not just a guess — it should be based on existing theories and knowledge. It also has to be testable, which means you can support or refute it through scientific research methods (such as experiments, observations and statistical analysis of data).

Null and alternative hypotheses are used in statistical hypothesis testing . The null hypothesis of a test always predicts no effect or no relationship between variables, while the alternative hypothesis states your research prediction of an effect or relationship.

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Descriptive statistics.

Here you can find out everything about location parameters and dispersion parameters and how you can describe and clearly present your data using characteristic values.

Hypothesis Test

Here you will find everything about hypothesis testing: One sample t-test , Unpaired t-test , Paired t-test and Chi-square test . You will also find tutorials for non-parametric statistical procedures such as the Mann-Whitney u-Test and Wilcoxon-Test . mann-whitney-u-test and the Wilcoxon test

The regression provides information about the influence of one or more independent variables on the dependent variable. Here are simple explanations of linear regression and logistic regression .

Correlation

Correlation analyses allow you to analyze the linear association between variables. Learn when to use Pearson correlation or Spearman rank correlation . With partial correlation , you can calculate the correlation between two variables to the exclusion of a third variable.

Partial Correlation

The partial correlation shows you the correlation between two variables to the exclusion of a third variable.

Levene Test

The Levene Test checks your data for variance equality. Thus, the levene test is used as a prerequisite test for many hypothesis tests .

The p-value is needed for every hypothesis test to be able to make a statement whether the null hypothesis is accepted or rejected.

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DATAtab provides you with tables with distributions and helpful explanations of the distribution functions. These include the Table of t-distribution and the Table of chi-squared distribution

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In an equivalence trial, the statistical test aims at showing that two treatments are not too different in characteristics and a non-inferiority trial wants to show that an experimental treatment is not worse than an established treatment.

If there is a clear cause-effect relationship between two variables, then we can speak of causality. Learn more about causality in our tutorial.

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Multicollinearity is when two or more independent variables have a high correlation.

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Repeated measures ANOVA tests whether there are statistically significant differences in three or more dependent samples.

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Calculator: One-Sample t-Test

One-Sample t-Test Calculator

This calculator will conduct a complete one-sample t-test, given the sample mean, the sample size, the hypothesized mean, and the sample standard deviation. The results generated by the calculator include the t-statistic, the degrees of freedom, the critical t-values for both one-tailed (directional) and two-tailed (non-directional) hypotheses, and the one-tailed and two-tailed probability values associated with the test. Please enter the necessary parameter values, and then click 'Calculate'.

Difference in Means Hypothesis Test Calculator

Use the calculator below to analyze the results of a difference in sample means hypothesis test. Enter your sample means, sample standard deviations, sample sizes, hypothesized difference in means, test type, and significance level to calculate your results.

You will find a description of how to conduct a two sample t-test below the calculator.

Define the Two Sample t-test

The Difference Between the Sample Means Under the Null Distribution

Conducting a hypothesis test for the difference in means.

When two populations are related, you can compare them by analyzing the difference between their means.

A hypothesis test for the difference in samples means can help you make inferences about the relationships between two population means.

Testing for a Difference in Means

For the results of a hypothesis test to be valid, you should follow these steps:

Check Your Conditions

State your hypothesis, determine your analysis plan, analyze your sample, interpret your results.

To use the testing procedure described below, you should check the following conditions:

• Independence of Samples - Your samples should be collected independently of one another.
• Simple Random Sampling - You should collect your samples with simple random sampling. This type of sampling requires that every occurrence of a value in a population has an equal chance of being selected when taking a sample.
• Normality of Sample Distributions - The sampling distributions for both samples should follow the Normal or a nearly Normal distribution. A sampling distribution will be nearly Normal when the samples are collected independently and when the population distribution is nearly Normal. Generally, the larger the sample size, the more normally distributed the sampling distribution. Additionally, outlier data points can make a distribution less Normal, so if your data contains many outliers, exercise caution when verifying this condition.

You must state a null hypothesis and an alternative hypothesis to conduct an hypothesis test of the difference in means.

The null hypothesis is a skeptical claim that you would like to test.

The alternative hypothesis represents the alternative claim to the null hypothesis.

Your null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis should be stated in one of three mutually exclusive ways listed in the table below.

D is the hypothesized difference between the populations' means that you would like to test.

Before conducting a hypothesis test, you must determine a reasonable significance level, α, or the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis assuming it is true. The lower your significance level, the more confident you can be of the conclusion of your hypothesis test. Common significance levels are 10%, 5%, and 1%.

To evaluate your hypothesis test at the significance level that you set, consider if you are conducting a one or two tail test:

• Two-tail tests divide the rejection region, or critical region, evenly above and below the null distribution, i.e. to the tails of the null sampling distribution. For example, in a two-tail test with a 5% significance level, your rejection region would be the upper and lower 2.5% of the null distribution. An alternative hypothesis of μ 1 - μ 2 ≠ D requires a two tail test.
• One-tail tests place the rejection region entirely on one side of the distribution i.e. to the right or left tail of the null distribution. For example, in a one-tail test evaluating if the actual difference in means, D, is above the null distribution with a 5% significance level, your rejection region would be the upper 5% of the null distribution. μ 1 - μ 2 > D and μ 1 - μ 2 < D alternative hypotheses require one-tail tests.

The graphical results section of the calculator above shades rejection regions blue.

After checking your conditions, stating your hypothesis, determining your significance level, and collecting your sample, you are ready to analyze your hypothesis.

Sample means follow the Normal distribution with the following parameters:

• The Difference in the Population Means, D - The true difference in the population means is unknown, but we use the hypothesized difference in the means, D, from the null hypothesis in the calculations.
• The Standard Error, SE - The standard error of the difference in the sample means can be computed as follows:      SE = (s 1 2 /n 1 + s 2 2 /n 2 ) (1/2) with s 1 being the standard deviation of sample one, n 1 being the sample size of sample one, s 2 being the standard deviation of sample one, and n 2 being the sample size of sample two. The standard error defines how differences in sample means are expected to vary around the null difference in means sampling distribution given the sample sizes and under the assumption that the null hypothesis is true.
• The Degrees of Freedom, DF - The degrees of freedom calculation can be estimated as the smaller of n 1 - 1 or n 2 - 1. For more accurate results, use the following formula for the degrees of freedom (DF):      DF = (s 1 2 /n 1 + s 2 2 /n 2 ) 2 / ((s 1 2 /n 1 ) 2 / (n 1 - 1) + (s 2 2 /n 2 ) 2 / (n 2 - 1))

In a difference in means hypothesis test, we calculate the probability that we would observe the difference in sample means (x̄ 1 - x̄ 2 ), assuming the null hypothesis is true, also known as the p-value . If the p-value is less than the significance level, then we can reject the null hypothesis.

You can determine a precise p-value using the calculator above, but we can find an estimate of the p-value manually by calculating the t-score, or t-statistic, as follows: t = (x̄ 1 - x̄ 2 - D) / SE

The t-score is a test statistic that tells you how far our observation is from the null hypothesis's difference in means under the null distribution. Using any t-score table, you can look up the probability of observing the results under the null distribution. You will need to look up the t-score for the type of test you are conducting, i.e. one or two tail. A hypothesis test for the difference in means is sometimes known as a two sample mean t-test because of the use of a t-score in analyzing results.

The conclusion of a hypothesis test for the difference in means is always either:

• Reject the null hypothesis
• Do not reject the null hypothesis

If you reject the null hypothesis, you cannot say that your sample difference in means is the true difference between the means. If you do not reject the null hypothesis, you cannot say that the hypothesized difference in means is true.

A hypothesis test is simply a way to look at evidence and conclude if it provides sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

Example: Hypothesis Test for the Difference in Two Means

Let’s say you are a manager at a company that designs batteries for smartphones. One of your engineers believes that she has developed a battery that will last more than two hours longer than your standard battery.

Before you can consider if you should replace your standard battery with the new one, you need to test the engineer’s claim. So, you decided to run a difference in means hypothesis test to see if her claim that the new battery will last two hours longer than the standard one is reasonable.

You direct your team to run a study. They will take a sample of 100 of the new batteries and compare their performance to 1,000 of the old standard batteries.

• Check the conditions - Your test consists of independent samples . Your team collects your samples using simple random sampling , and you have reason to believe that all your batteries' performances are always close to normally distributed . So, the conditions are met to conduct a two sample t-test.
• State Your Hypothesis - Your null hypothesis is that the charge of the new battery lasts at most two hours longer than your standard battery (i.e. μ 1 - μ 2 ≤ 2). Your alternative hypothesis is that the new battery lasts more than two hours longer than the standard battery (i.e. μ 1 - μ 2 > 2).
• Determine Your Analysis Plan - You believe that a 1% significance level is reasonable. As your test is a one-tail test, you will evaluate if the difference in mean charge between the samples would occur at the upper 1% of the null distribution.
• Analyze Your Sample - After collecting your samples (which you do after steps 1-3), you find the new battery sample had a mean charge of 10.4 hours, x̄ 1 , with a 0.8 hour standard deviation, s 1 . Your standard battery sample had a mean charge of 8.2 hours, x̄ 2 , with a standard deviation of 0.2 hours, s 2 . Using the calculator above, you find that a difference in sample means of 2.2 hours [2 = 10.4 – 8.2] would results in a t-score of 2.49 under the null distribution, which translates to a p-value of 0.72%.
• Interpret Your Results - Since your p-value of 0.72% is less than the significance level of 1%, you have sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

In this example, you found that you can reject your null hypothesis that the new battery design does not result in more than 2 hours of extra battery life. The test does not guarantee that your engineer’s new battery lasts two hours longer than your standard battery, but it does give you strong reason to believe her claim.

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Hypothesis Testing Calculator

Understanding Hypothesis Testing: A Guide to the Hypothesis Testing Calculator

Hypothesis testing is a crucial statistical method used to make informed decisions about data and draw conclusions. Whether you’re a student, researcher, or professional, a Hypothesis Testing Calculator can be an invaluable tool in your statistical toolkit. Let’s explore what hypothesis testing is and how this calculator can assist you:

Hypothesis Testing Basics:

• Null Hypothesis (H0): This is the default assumption or claim that there is no significant difference or effect. It’s often denoted as H0.
• Alternative Hypothesis (Ha): This is the statement that contradicts the null hypothesis. It suggests that there is a significant difference or effect. It’s denoted as Ha.
• Significance Level (α): This is the predetermined threshold (e.g., 0.05 or 5%) used to determine statistical significance. If the calculated p-value is less than α, you reject the null hypothesis.
• p-value: This is the probability of observing the results (or more extreme results) if the null hypothesis is true. A small p-value suggests that the results are unlikely under the null hypothesis.

Key Features of the Hypothesis Testing Calculator:

• Input Parameters: The calculator typically requires you to input sample data, choose the type of test (e.g., t-test, chi-square test), specify the null and alternative hypotheses, and set the significance level.
• Calculations: Once you input the data and parameters, the calculator performs the necessary statistical tests and calculations. It generates results such as the test statistic, degrees of freedom, and the p-value.
• Interpretation: Based on the results, the calculator helps you determine whether to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis. It provides an interpretation of the findings, which is crucial for drawing conclusions.
• Visual Representation: Some calculators may offer visual aids like graphs or charts to help you better understand the data distribution and test results.

Significance of the Hypothesis Testing Calculator:

• Scientific Research: Researchers across various fields use hypothesis testing to validate their hypotheses and draw meaningful conclusions from data.
• Quality Control: Industries use hypothesis testing to ensure the quality and consistency of products and processes.
• Medical Studies: In medical research, hypothesis testing helps assess the effectiveness of treatments or interventions.
• Academics: Students and educators use hypothesis testing to teach and learn statistical concepts and conduct experiments.
• Data-Driven Decisions: Businesses use hypothesis testing to make data-driven decisions, such as whether to launch a new product based on market research.

Conclusion:

The Hypothesis Testing Calculator is a powerful tool that simplifies complex statistical analysis and enables data-driven decision-making. Whether you’re conducting experiments, analyzing survey data, or performing quality control, understanding hypothesis testing and using this calculator can help you make informed choices and contribute to evidence-based research and decision-making.

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• Which Statistics Test?

T-Test Calculator for 2 Independent Means

This simple t -test calculator, provides full details of the t-test calculation, including sample mean, sum of squares and standard deviation.

Further Information

A t -test is used when you're looking at a numerical variable - for example, height - and then comparing the averages of two separate populations or groups (e.g., males and females).

Requirements

• Two independent samples
• Data should be normally distributed
• The two samples should have the same variance

Null Hypothesis

H0: u1 - u2 = 0, where u1 is the mean of first population and u2 the mean of the second.

As above, the null hypothesis tends to be that there is no difference between the means of the two populations; or, more formally, that the difference is zero (so, for example, that there is no difference between the average heights of two populations of males and females).

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Test Statistic Calculator

Choose the method, enter the values into the test statistic calculator, and click on the “Calculate” button to calculate the statistical value for hypothesis evaluation.

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This test statistic calculator helps to find the static value for hypothesis testing. The calculated test value shows if there’s enough evidence to reject a null hypothesis. Also, this calculator performs calculations of either for one population mean, comparing two means, single population proportion, and two population proportions.

Our tool is highly useful in various fields like research, experimentation, quality control, and data analysis.

What is Test Statistics?

A test statistic is a numerical value obtained from the sample data set. It summarizes the differences between what you observe within your sample and what would be expected if a hypothesis were true. 

The t-test statistic also shows how closely your data matches the predicted distribution among the sample tests you perform. 

How to Calculate Test Statistics Value?

• Collect the data from the populations
• Use the data to find the standard deviation of the population
• Calculate the mean (μ) of the population using this data
• Determine the z-value or sample size 
• Use the suitable test statistic formula and get the results

Test Statistic For One Population Mean:

Test statistics for a single population mean is calculated when a variable is numeric and involves one population or a group. 

x̄ - µ 0 σ / √n

• x̄ = Mean of your sample data
• µ 0 = Hypothesized population mean that you are comparing to your sample mean
• σ = Population standard deviation
• n = number of observations (sample size) in your data set

Suppose we want to test if the average height of adult males in a city is 70 inches. We take a sample of 25 adult males and find the sample mean height to be 71 inches with a sample standard deviation of 3 inches. We use a significance level of 0.05.

t = 70 - 71 3√25

Test Statistic Comparing Two Population Means:

This test is applied when the numeric value is compared across the various populations or groups. To compute the resulting t statistic, two distinct random samples must be chosen, one from each population.

\(\frac{√x̄ - √ȳ}{\sqrt{\frac{\sigma_{1}^{2}}{n_{1}}+\frac{\sigma_{2}^{2}}{n_{2}}}}\)

• ȳ = means of hypothesized population

Suppose we want to test if there is a difference in average test scores between two schools. We take a sample of 30 students from school A with an average score of 85 and a standard deviation of 5, and a sample of 35 students from school B with an average score of 82 and a standard deviation of 6.

t = 85 - 82 √5 2 / 30 + 6 2 / 35

t = 3 √ 25/30 + 36/35

t = 3 √0.833 + 1.029

t = 3 √1.862

Test Statistic For a Single Population Proportion:

This test is used to determine if a single population's proportion differs from a specified standard. The t statistic calculator works for a population proportion when dealing with data by having a limit of P₀ because proportions represent parts of a whole and cannot logically exceed the total or be negative.

\(\frac{\hat{p}-p_{0}}{\sqrt{\frac{p_{0}(1-p_{0})}{n}}}\)

• P̂ = Sample proportion
• P 0 = Population proportion

Suppose we want to test if the proportion of left-handed people in a population is 10%. We take a sample of 100 people and find that 8 are left-handed. We use a significance level of 0.05.

= P̂ - P₀ √0.10 (1 - 0.10)/100

= 0.08 - 0.10 √0.10 (1 - 0.10)/100

= -0.02 √0.10 (0.9)/100

= -0.02 √0.009

= -0.02 0.03

= −0.67

Test Statistic For Two Population Proportion:

This test identifies the difference in proportions between two independent groups to assess their significance.

\(\frac{\hat{p}_{1}-\hat{p}_{2}}{\sqrt{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})(\frac{1}{n_{1}}+\frac{1}{n_{2}})}}\)

• P̂ 1 and P̂ 2 = Sample proportions for two groups

Suppose we want to test if the proportion of smokers is different between two cities. We take a sample of 150 people from City A and find that 30 are smokers, and a sample of 200 people from City B and find that 50 are smokers.

• P̂ 1 = 30 / 150 = 0.20
• P̂ 2 = 50 / 200 = 0.25
• P̂ = 30 + 50 / 150 + 200 = 0.229

Calculation:

= 0.20 - 0.25 √0.229 (1 - 0.229) (1 / 150 + 1/200)

= -0.05 √0.229 (0.771) (1 / 150 + 1 / 200)

= -0.05 √0.176 (1/150 + 1/200)

= -0.05 √0.176 (0.0113)

= -0.05 √0.002

= -0.05 0.045

= −1.11

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Z-test Calculator

Table of contents

This Z-test calculator is a tool that helps you perform a one-sample Z-test on the population's mean . Two forms of this test - a two-tailed Z-test and a one-tailed Z-tests - exist, and can be used depending on your needs. You can also choose whether the calculator should determine the p-value from Z-test or you'd rather use the critical value approach!

Read on to learn more about Z-test in statistics, and, in particular, when to use Z-tests, what is the Z-test formula, and whether to use Z-test vs. t-test. As a bonus, we give some step-by-step examples of how to perform Z-tests!

Or you may also check our t-statistic calculator , where you can learn the concept of another essential statistic. If you are also interested in F-test, check our F-statistic calculator .

What is a Z-test?

A one sample Z-test is one of the most popular location tests. The null hypothesis is that the population mean value is equal to a given number, μ 0 \mu_0 μ 0 ​ :

We perform a two-tailed Z-test if we want to test whether the population mean is not μ 0 \mu_0 μ 0 ​ :

and a one-tailed Z-test if we want to test whether the population mean is less/greater than μ 0 \mu_0 μ 0 ​ :

Let us now discuss the assumptions of a one-sample Z-test.

When do I use Z-tests?

You may use a Z-test if your sample consists of independent data points and:

the data is normally distributed , and you know the population variance ;

the sample is large , and data follows a distribution which has a finite mean and variance. You don't need to know the population variance.

The reason these two possibilities exist is that we want the test statistics that follow the standard normal distribution N ( 0 , 1 ) \mathrm N(0, 1) N ( 0 , 1 ) . In the former case, it is an exact standard normal distribution, while in the latter, it is approximately so, thanks to the central limit theorem.

The question remains, "When is my sample considered large?" Well, there's no universal criterion. In general, the more data points you have, the better the approximation works. Statistics textbooks recommend having no fewer than 50 data points, while 30 is considered the bare minimum.

Z-test formula

Let x 1 , . . . , x n x_1, ..., x_n x 1 ​ , ... , x n ​ be an independent sample following the normal distribution N ( μ , σ 2 ) \mathrm N(\mu, \sigma^2) N ( μ , σ 2 ) , i.e., with a mean equal to μ \mu μ , and variance equal to σ 2 \sigma ^2 σ 2 .

We pose the null hypothesis, H 0  ⁣  ⁣ :  ⁣  ⁣   μ = μ 0 \mathrm H_0 \!\!:\!\! \mu = \mu_0 H 0 ​ :   μ = μ 0 ​ .

We define the test statistic, Z , as:

x ˉ \bar x x ˉ is the sample mean, i.e., x ˉ = ( x 1 + . . . + x n ) / n \bar x = (x_1 + ... + x_n) / n x ˉ = ( x 1 ​ + ... + x n ​ ) / n ;

μ 0 \mu_0 μ 0 ​ is the mean postulated in H 0 \mathrm H_0 H 0 ​ ;

n n n is sample size; and

σ \sigma σ is the population standard deviation.

In what follows, the uppercase Z Z Z stands for the test statistic (treated as a random variable), while the lowercase z z z will denote an actual value of Z Z Z , computed for a given sample drawn from N(μ,σ²).

If H 0 \mathrm H_0 H 0 ​ holds, then the sum S n = x 1 + . . . + x n S_n = x_1 + ... + x_n S n ​ = x 1 ​ + ... + x n ​ follows the normal distribution, with mean n μ 0 n \mu_0 n μ 0 ​ and variance n 2 σ n^2 \sigma n 2 σ . As Z Z Z is the standardization (z-score) of S n / n S_n/n S n ​ / n , we can conclude that the test statistic Z Z Z follows the standard normal distribution N ( 0 , 1 ) \mathrm N(0, 1) N ( 0 , 1 ) , provided that H 0 \mathrm H_0 H 0 ​ is true. By the way, we have the z-score calculator if you want to focus on this value alone.

If our data does not follow a normal distribution, or if the population standard deviation is unknown (and thus in the formula for Z Z Z we substitute the population standard deviation σ \sigma σ with sample standard deviation), then the test statistics Z Z Z is not necessarily normal. However, if the sample is sufficiently large, then the central limit theorem guarantees that Z Z Z is approximately N ( 0 , 1 ) \mathrm N(0, 1) N ( 0 , 1 ) .

In the sections below, we will explain to you how to use the value of the test statistic, z z z , to make a decision , whether or not you should reject the null hypothesis . Two approaches can be used in order to arrive at that decision: the p-value approach, and critical value approach - and we cover both of them! Which one should you use? In the past, the critical value approach was more popular because it was difficult to calculate p-value from Z-test. However, with help of modern computers, we can do it fairly easily, and with decent precision. In general, you are strongly advised to report the p-value of your tests!

p-value from Z-test

Formally, the p-value is the smallest level of significance at which the null hypothesis could be rejected. More intuitively, p-value answers the questions: provided that I live in a world where the null hypothesis holds, how probable is it that the value of the test statistic will be at least as extreme as the z z z - value I've got for my sample? Hence, a small p-value means that your result is very improbable under the null hypothesis, and so there is strong evidence against the null hypothesis - the smaller the p-value, the stronger the evidence.

To find the p-value, you have to calculate the probability that the test statistic, Z Z Z , is at least as extreme as the value we've actually observed, z z z , provided that the null hypothesis is true. (The probability of an event calculated under the assumption that H 0 \mathrm H_0 H 0 ​ is true will be denoted as P r ( event ∣ H 0 ) \small \mathrm{Pr}(\text{event} | \mathrm{H_0}) Pr ( event ∣ H 0 ​ ) .) It is the alternative hypothesis which determines what more extreme means :

• Two-tailed Z-test: extreme values are those whose absolute value exceeds ∣ z ∣ |z| ∣ z ∣ , so those smaller than − ∣ z ∣ -|z| − ∣ z ∣ or greater than ∣ z ∣ |z| ∣ z ∣ . Therefore, we have:

The symmetry of the normal distribution gives:

• Left-tailed Z-test: extreme values are those smaller than z z z , so
• Right-tailed Z-test: extreme values are those greater than z z z , so

To compute these probabilities, we can use the cumulative distribution function, (cdf) of N ( 0 , 1 ) \mathrm N(0, 1) N ( 0 , 1 ) , which for a real number, x x x , is defined as:

Also, p-values can be nicely depicted as the area under the probability density function (pdf) of N ( 0 , 1 ) \mathrm N(0, 1) N ( 0 , 1 ) , due to:

Two-tailed Z-test and one-tailed Z-test

With all the knowledge you've got from the previous section, you're ready to learn about Z-tests.

• Two-tailed Z-test:

From the fact that Φ ( − z ) = 1 − Φ ( z ) \Phi(-z) = 1 - \Phi(z) Φ ( − z ) = 1 − Φ ( z ) , we deduce that

The p-value is the area under the probability distribution function (pdf) both to the left of − ∣ z ∣ -|z| − ∣ z ∣ , and to the right of ∣ z ∣ |z| ∣ z ∣ :

• Left-tailed Z-test:

The p-value is the area under the pdf to the left of our z z z :

• Right-tailed Z-test:

The p-value is the area under the pdf to the right of z z z :

The decision as to whether or not you should reject the null hypothesis can be now made at any significance level, α \alpha α , you desire!

if the p-value is less than, or equal to, α \alpha α , the null hypothesis is rejected at this significance level; and

if the p-value is greater than α \alpha α , then there is not enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis at this significance level.

Z-test critical values & critical regions

The critical value approach involves comparing the value of the test statistic obtained for our sample, z z z , to the so-called critical values . These values constitute the boundaries of regions where the test statistic is highly improbable to lie . Those regions are often referred to as the critical regions , or rejection regions . The decision of whether or not you should reject the null hypothesis is then based on whether or not our z z z belongs to the critical region.

The critical regions depend on a significance level, α \alpha α , of the test, and on the alternative hypothesis. The choice of α \alpha α is arbitrary; in practice, the values of 0.1, 0.05, or 0.01 are most commonly used as α \alpha α .

Once we agree on the value of α \alpha α , we can easily determine the critical regions of the Z-test:

To decide the fate of H 0 \mathrm H_0 H 0 ​ , check whether or not your z z z falls in the critical region:

If yes, then reject H 0 \mathrm H_0 H 0 ​ and accept H 1 \mathrm H_1 H 1 ​ ; and

If no, then there is not enough evidence to reject H 0 \mathrm H_0 H 0 ​ .

As you see, the formulae for the critical values of Z-tests involve the inverse, Φ − 1 \Phi^{-1} Φ − 1 , of the cumulative distribution function (cdf) of N ( 0 , 1 ) \mathrm N(0, 1) N ( 0 , 1 ) .

How to use the one-sample Z-test calculator?

Our calculator reduces all the complicated steps:

Choose the alternative hypothesis: two-tailed or left/right-tailed.

In our Z-test calculator, you can decide whether to use the p-value or critical regions approach. In the latter case, set the significance level, α \alpha α .

Enter the value of the test statistic, z z z . If you don't know it, then you can enter some data that will allow us to calculate your z z z for you:

• sample mean x ˉ \bar x x ˉ (If you have raw data, go to the average calculator to determine the mean);
• tested mean μ 0 \mu_0 μ 0 ​ ;
• sample size n n n ; and
• population standard deviation σ \sigma σ (or sample standard deviation if your sample is large).

Results appear immediately below the calculator.

If you want to find z z z based on p-value , please remember that in the case of two-tailed tests there are two possible values of z z z : one positive and one negative, and they are opposite numbers. This Z-test calculator returns the positive value in such a case. In order to find the other possible value of z z z for a given p-value, just take the number opposite to the value of z z z displayed by the calculator.

Z-test examples

To make sure that you've fully understood the essence of Z-test, let's go through some examples:

• A bottle filling machine follows a normal distribution. Its standard deviation, as declared by the manufacturer, is equal to 30 ml. A juice seller claims that the volume poured in each bottle is, on average, one liter, i.e., 1000 ml, but we suspect that in fact the average volume is smaller than that...

Formally, the hypotheses that we set are the following:

H 0  ⁣ :   μ = 1000  ml \mathrm H_0 \! : \mu = 1000 \text{ ml} H 0 ​ :   μ = 1000  ml

H 1  ⁣ :   μ < 1000  ml \mathrm H_1 \! : \mu \lt 1000 \text{ ml} H 1 ​ :   μ < 1000  ml

We went to a shop and bought a sample of 9 bottles. After carefully measuring the volume of juice in each bottle, we've obtained the following sample (in milliliters):

1020 , 970 , 1000 , 980 , 1010 , 930 , 950 , 980 , 980 \small 1020, 970, 1000, 980, 1010, 930, 950, 980, 980 1020 , 970 , 1000 , 980 , 1010 , 930 , 950 , 980 , 980 .

Sample size: n = 9 n = 9 n = 9 ;

Sample mean: x ˉ = 980   m l \bar x = 980 \ \mathrm{ml} x ˉ = 980   ml ;

Population standard deviation: σ = 30   m l \sigma = 30 \ \mathrm{ml} σ = 30   ml ;

And, therefore, p-value = Φ ( − 2 ) ≈ 0.0228 \text{p-value} = \Phi(-2) \approx 0.0228 p-value = Φ ( − 2 ) ≈ 0.0228 .

As 0.0228 < 0.05 0.0228 \lt 0.05 0.0228 < 0.05 , we conclude that our suspicions aren't groundless; at the most common significance level, 0.05, we would reject the producer's claim, H 0 \mathrm H_0 H 0 ​ , and accept the alternative hypothesis, H 1 \mathrm H_1 H 1 ​ .

We tossed a coin 50 times. We got 20 tails and 30 heads. Is there sufficient evidence to claim that the coin is biased?

Clearly, our data follows Bernoulli distribution, with some success probability p p p and variance σ 2 = p ( 1 − p ) \sigma^2 = p (1-p) σ 2 = p ( 1 − p ) . However, the sample is large, so we can safely perform a Z-test. We adopt the convention that getting tails is a success.

Let us state the null and alternative hypotheses:

H 0  ⁣ :   p = 0.5 \mathrm H_0 \! : p = 0.5 H 0 ​ :   p = 0.5 (the coin is fair - the probability of tails is 0.5 0.5 0.5 )

H 1  ⁣ :   p ≠ 0.5 \mathrm H_1 \! : p \ne 0.5 H 1 ​ :   p  = 0.5 (the coin is biased - the probability of tails differs from 0.5 0.5 0.5 )

In our sample we have 20 successes (denoted by ones) and 30 failures (denoted by zeros), so:

Sample size n = 50 n = 50 n = 50 ;

Sample mean x ˉ = 20 / 50 = 0.4 \bar x = 20/50 = 0.4 x ˉ = 20/50 = 0.4 ;

Population standard deviation is given by σ = 0.5 × 0.5 \sigma = \sqrt{0.5 \times 0.5} σ = 0.5 × 0.5 ​ (because 0.5 0.5 0.5 is the proportion p p p hypothesized in H 0 \mathrm H_0 H 0 ​ ). Hence, σ = 0.5 \sigma = 0.5 σ = 0.5 ;

• And, therefore

Since 0.1573 > 0.1 0.1573 \gt 0.1 0.1573 > 0.1 we don't have enough evidence to reject the claim that the coin is fair , even at such a large significance level as 0.1 0.1 0.1 . In that case, you may safely toss it to your Witcher or use the coin flip probability calculator to find your chances of getting, e.g., 10 heads in a row (which are extremely low!).

What is the difference between Z-test vs t-test?

We use a t-test for testing the population mean of a normally distributed dataset which had an unknown population standard deviation . We get this by replacing the population standard deviation in the Z-test statistic formula by the sample standard deviation, which means that this new test statistic follows (provided that H₀ holds) the t-Student distribution with n-1 degrees of freedom instead of N(0,1) .

When should I use t-test over the Z-test?

For large samples, the t-Student distribution with n degrees of freedom approaches the N(0,1). Hence, as long as there are a sufficient number of data points (at least 30), it does not really matter whether you use the Z-test or the t-test, since the results will be almost identical. However, for small samples with unknown variance, remember to use the t-test instead of Z-test .

How do I calculate the Z test statistic?

To calculate the Z test statistic:

• Compute the arithmetic mean of your sample .
• From this mean subtract the mean postulated in null hypothesis .
• Multiply by the square root of size sample .
• Divide by the population standard deviation .
• That's it, you've just computed the Z test statistic!

Here, we perform a Z-test for population mean μ. Null hypothesis H₀: μ = μ₀.

Alternative hypothesis H₁

Significance level α

The probability that we reject the true hypothesis H₀ (type I error).

Two Sample T-Test Calculator

Two sample t-test is used to check whether the means of two groups are significantly different from each other. For example, if you want to see if mean weight of males and females have statistically significant difference between them.

Independent T-test assumes that the two samples have equal variances. Welch's t-test is used if you have unequal variances.

Either enter raw data or summary information to calculate two sample t-test. You can directly paste data from MS Excel.

Enter Raw Data

Enter Summary Data

• Scores are normally distributed within each of the two groups
• Each score is sampled independently and randomly.
• Data must be continuous