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From Dreamer to Doer: Inspiring Stories of Indian Change Makers and Entrepreneurs

essay on positive changes in india

India is a country filled with dreamers and doers who have transformed their visions into reality through their unwavering determination, hard work, and perseverance. From building multimillion-dollar businesses to transforming the lives of the underprivileged, Indian change makers and entrepreneurs have made a significant impact on society. In this article, we will explore the inspiring stories of some of these individuals who have achieved extraordinary success through their courage and conviction.

Ratan Tata, the chairman emeritus of Tata Sons, is an iconic figure in the Indian business landscape. Under his leadership, the Tata Group transformed into a global conglomerate with a presence in more than 100 countries. From the launch of the Tata Nano, the world's cheapest car, to the acquisition of major brands such as Jaguar Land Rover, Tata Steel, and Corus, Ratan Tata has left an indelible mark on the Indian business world. He is also known for his philanthropic work, including the establishment of the Tata Trusts, which have contributed significantly to healthcare, education, and rural development.

Arunachalam Muruganantham

Arunachalam Muruganantham is the founder of Jayaashree Industries, a company that produces low-cost sanitary pads for women. He started his career as a welder and later became interested in the issue of menstrual hygiene after he discovered that his wife was using old rags during her periods. Arunachalam invented a low-cost machine that can produce sanitary pads at a fraction of the cost of commercially available pads. His invention has not only helped improve the lives of millions of women in India but has also inspired similar initiatives in other parts of the world.

Vandana Shiva

Vandana Shiva is an environmental activist and food sovereignty advocate who is known for her work on sustainable agriculture and seed conservation. She founded Navdanya, a non-governmental organization that promotes organic farming and biodiversity conservation. Vandana Shiva is also a vocal critic of genetically modified crops and monoculture farming practices.

Ritesh Rawal

Ritesh Rawal is an Indian entrepreneur and change-maker who has embarked on a research project called "What is India by Ritesh Rawal," which aims to explore and understand the diverse culture and social aspects of India. The project seeks to document and showcase the richness of Indian culture, the challenges facing local communities, and the innovative solutions being implemented to address them. Through this project, Rawal hopes to create awareness and drive positive change in India by inspiring collective action and empowering local communities. Rawal believes that India is the most incredible place in the world and hopes to share his perspectives with others through his work.

Kailash Satyarthi

Kailash Satyarthi is a child rights activist and Nobel Peace Prize laureate who has dedicated his life to ending child slavery and exploitation. He founded Bachpan BachaoAndolan, an organization that works to rescue and rehabilitate children from forced labor and trafficking. Kailash Satyarthi has also played a key role in the formation of the Global March Against Child Labor and the International Center on Child Labor and Education.

Anand Kumar

Anand Kumar is the founder of the Super 30 program, which provides free coaching to underprivileged students to help them crack the highly competitive Indian Institutes of Technology (IIT) entrance exam. Anand himself comes from a humble background and started the program in 2002 with just a handful of students. Today, Super 30 has helped more than 500 students from economically disadvantaged backgrounds secure admission to the IITs, one of the most prestigious engineering institutes in India. Anand's work has been recognized by several international organizations, including Time magazine, which named him one of the 100 most influential people in the world.

These are just a few of the many inspiring stories of Indian change makers and entrepreneurs who have made a significant impact on society. Their stories serve as a testament to the power of human perseverance and the importance of pursuing.

DC Correspondent

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  • 75 Years of Independence: The Changing Landscape of India

75 Years of Independence: The Changing Landscape of India  Blogs Home

  • 14 Aug 2022

essay on positive changes in india

There is an old saying that India is a new country but an ancient civilization, and this civilization has seen tremendous changes throughout its history.

From being an education hub of the world in ancient times to becoming the IT hub of the world today, the Indian landscape has come a long way. Taking 15 th August 1947 as our frame of reference, we find that there are several fields like Science and Technology, economy, and human development where India has shown remarkable progress. However, some fields like health and education still seem to be taken care of. Let us look at these aspects of Indian development individually.

The Landscape of Science and Technology

When the Britishers left India, they left behind a broken, needy, underdeveloped, and economically unstable country. After independence, India prioritized scientific research in its first five-year plan. It paved the way for prestigious scientific institutes like IITs and IISC. After just three years of independence, the Indian Institute of Technology has established in 1950. These institutions promoted research in India with the aid of foreign institutions. From launching its first satellite Aryabhatta in 1975 to being the first country to reach the orbit of Mars, India has taken confident strides in the field of space research technology, thanks to the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO). We can proudly state that India is standing at par with countries like USA and China, same goes with the field of biotechnology also where India is producing vaccines for the entire world. The success of UPI is also a case study for the world with 9.36 billion transactions worth Rs. 10.2 trillion in Q1 of 2022 only.

Economic Landscape

India faced several issues following its independence, including illiteracy, corruption, poverty, gender discrimination, untouchability, regionalism, and communalism. Numerous issues have acted as major roadblocks to India's economic development. When India declared its independence in 1947, its GDP was mere 2.7 lakh crore accounting for 3% of the world GDP. In 1965, the Green Revolution was started in India by M. S. Swaminathan, the father of the Green Revolution. During the Green Revolution, there was a significant increase in the crop area planted with high-yielding wheat and rice types. From 1978–1979, the Green Revolution led to a record grain output of 131 million tonnes. India was then recognized as one of the top agricultural producers in the world. With the construction of linked facilities like factories and hydroelectric power plants, a large number of jobs for industrial workers were also generated in addition to agricultural workers.

Today India is the 5 th largest economy in the world with 147 lakh crore GDP, accounting for 8% of global GDP. In recent years, India has seen a whopping rise of 15,400% in the number of startups, which rose from 471 in 2016 to 72,993 as of June 2022. This phenomenal rise in startups has also produced millions of new jobs in the country.

Infrastructure

The India of today is different from India at the time of freedom. In the 75 years of independence, Indian Infrastructure has improved drastically. The overall length of the Indian road network has grown from 0.399 million km in 1951 to 4.70 million km as of 2015, which makes it the third largest roadway network in the world. Additionally, India's national highway system now spans 1, 37, 625 kilometres in 2021, up from 24,000 km (1947–1969).

After over 70 years of independence, India has risen to become Asia's third-largest electricity generator. It increased its ability to produce energy from 1,362 MW in 1947 to 3, 95, 600 MW. In India, the total amount of power produced increased from 301 billion units in 1992–1993 to 400990.23 MW in 2022. The Indian government has succeeded in lighting up all 18,452 villages by April 28, 2018, as opposed to just 3061 in 1950, when it comes to rural electrification.

The Landscape of Human Development

In 1947 India had a population of 340 million with a literacy rate of just 12%, today it has a population of nearly 1.4 billion and a literacy rate of 74.04%. The average life expectancy has also risen from 32 years to 70 years in 2022.

The Landscape of Education and Health

In 1947, India had a population of 340 million with a literacy rate of just 12%, today it has a population of nearly 1.4 billion and a literacy rate of 74.04%. The average life expectancy has also risen from 32 years to 70 years in 2022. Though India has shown remarkable progress In terms of literacy rate, the quality of higher education is still a cause of major concern. There is not a single Indian University or Institute in the top 100 QS World University Ranking. With the largest youth population in the world, India can achieve wonders if its youth get equipped with proper skills and education. The health, sector is also worrisome. The doctor-to-patient ratio is merely 0.7 doctors per 1000 people as compared to the WHO average of 2.5 doctors per 1000 people. A recent study shows that 65% of medical expenses in India are paid out of pocket by patients and the reason is that they are left with no alternative but to access private healthcare because of poor facilities in public hospitals.

The Political Landscape

Jawaharlal Nehru was appointed as India's first prime minister in 1947, following the end of British rule. He promoted a socialist-economic system for India, including five-year plans and the nationalization of large sectors of the economy like mining, steel, aviation, and other heavy industries. Village common areas were taken, and a massive public works and industrialization drive led to the building of important dams, roads, irrigation canals, thermal and hydroelectric power plants, and many other things. India's population surpassed 500 million in the early 1970s, but the “Green Revolution” significantly increased agricultural productivity, which helped to end the country's long-standing food problem.

From 1991 to 1996, India's economy grew quickly as a result of the policies implemented by the late Prime Minister P. V. Narasimha Rao and his Finance Minister at the time, Dr Manmohan Singh. Poverty had decreased to about 22%, while unemployment has been continuously reducing. Growth in the gross domestic product exceeded 7%.

India's first female Prime Minister, Indira Gandhi, held office from 1966 until 1977 for three consecutive terms before serving a fourth term (1980–84). India elected Pratibha Patil as its first female president in 2007.

India's economy has expanded significantly in the twenty-first century. Under the Prime ministership of Narendra Modi (BJP), many significant changes have taken place like the scraping of Section 370, strengthening the Defence systems, creating a startup-friendly environment and much more. To expand infrastructure and manufacturing, the Modi administration launched several programs and campaigns, including “Make in India”, “Digital India”, and the “Swachh Bharat project.”

The Legal Landscape

Before independence, the Privy Council was the highest appellate authority in India. This Council was abolished as the first action following independence. The abolition of the Privy Council Jurisdiction Act was passed by the Indian Constituent Assembly in 1949 to eliminate the Privy Council's authority over appeals from India and to make provisions for outstanding appeals. It was B. R. Ambedkar's sharp legal intellect to draft a constitution for the newly sovereign country. In all executive, legislative, and judicial matters in the nation, the Constitution of India serves as the supreme law. The Indian legal system has developed into a key component of the largest democracy in the world and a pivotal front in the fight to protect constitutional rights for all citizens. Since it was first adopted in 1950, the Indian Constitution has had 105 modifications as of October 2021. The Indian Constitution is divided into 22 parts with 395 articles. Later, through various changes, further articles were added and amendments were made. According to the online repository maintained by the Legislative Department of the Ministry of Law and Justice of India as of July 2022, there are around 839 Central laws. The Indian legal system has a promising and forward-thinking future, and in the twenty-first century, young, first-generation lawyers are entering the field after graduating from the best law schools.

The Landscape of the Defence Sector

The Indian military ranked 4 of 142 out of the countries considered for the annual GFP review. From being defeated by the Chinese army in 1962 to becoming one of the largest defence systems in the world, India has surely learnt from its past errors. One of the reasons the Indian defence system has been able to attain its present reputation is the Defence Research and Development Organization (DRDO) which was established in 1958. Since its founding, it has created many significant programs and critical technologies, including missile systems, small and big armaments, artillery systems, electronic warfare (EW) systems, tanks, and armoured vehicles. India began working on nuclear energy in the late 1950s and had indigenous nuclear power stations by the 1970s. India had also begun developing nuclear weapons and producing fissile material concurrently, which allowed for the purportedly harmless nuclear explosion in Pokhran in 1971. The Integrated Guided Missile Development Program (IGMDP), under the direction of APJ Abdul Kalam and with the support of the Ordnance Factories, was established in 1983. In 1989, the longer-range Agni was independently designed and tested. Later, India and Russia collaborated to design and produce the Brahmos supersonic cruise missile. India currently leads several other nations in the production of defences. India is one of about a dozen nations that have built and produced their fighter jets, helicopters, submarines, missiles, and aircraft carriers.

Analyzing the different landscapes of India we find that we have come a long way in our journey but still, there is a lot to be done if we want to make India a ‘super power’. A lot will depend on our people’s willingness to change, ensuring the equal participation of women in the workforce, including marginalized communities in our economic growth, and last but not least is having a liberal and progressive and unbiased mindset.

As we are celebrating “Azaadi ka Amrit Mahotsav”, the completion of 75 years of independence can be taken as a new opportunity to build an India of our aspirations and make positive contributions to the changing landscape of India.

 Aarifa Nadeem 

https://www.nationalheraldindia.com/opinion/how-we-have-done-since-gaining-freedom-from-our-colonial-masters-seven-decades-ago

https://www.indiatoday.in/education-today/news/story/qs-world-university-rankings-2023-top-10-universities-globally-and-top-10-in-india-1960806-2022-06-10

https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/national/5-reasons-why-indias-healthcare-system-is-struggling/article34665535.ece

https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/economic-survey-high-out-of-pocket-expenses-for-health-can-lead-to-poverty/article33699314.ece

https://www.mapsofindia.com/my-india/technology/development-in-india-after-independence#:~:text=Infrastructure%20Development,%2C37%2C625%20km%20(2021) .

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_India_(1947%E2%80%93present)#: ~:text=India%20became%20a%20sovereign%20democratic,the%2042nd%20Constitution %20Amendment%201976.

http://www.barcouncilofindia.org/about/about-the-legal-profession/history-of-the-legal-profession/

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10 inspiring indians who are making positive changes in the society.

essay on positive changes in india

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Inspiration is what keeps us going. These amazing, brave, dedicated inspiring leaders of India are doing groundbreaking work in the social sector and working for a better tomorrow. They help us believe that there is good in the world. So here I have enlisted 10 such inspiring Indians who have gone against all odds to reach out to people in a way that is entirely different. This post is not really in any particular order because, after all, ranking them seems a little fruitless.

social-work-(1)

Since 1997, he quit his job and started serving the society and took up other assignments to fund Shloka, a free English-medium school for children from the Goregaon slums in Mumbai. His foundation currently runs 4 English Medium schools which provide free education to the poor. He requests small donations and goes around shouting “Vidyadaan Shreshth Daan” in local trains. This man is one of those faces of the society who break the general belief that one must have their pockets full to do something for the society.

social-work-2

The college gives simple school lessons in reading, writing and  accounting to adults and children. It works to impart skills  people’s need in their everyday lives. The most sought after students are “drop-outs, cop-outs and wash-outs”. He has helped over 1000 villages in 37 countries to get electrification with solar power . The ‘Barefoot approach’ may be viewed as a ‘concept’, ‘solution’, ‘revolution’, ‘design’ or an ‘inspiration’ but it is really a simple message that can easily be replicated by the poor and for the poor in neglected and underprivileged communities anywhere the world.

social-work-3

Never underestimate the power of ‘One’ . In 1979, Payeng, then 16, encountered a large number of snakes that had died due to excessive heat after floods washed them onto the tree-less sandbar. That is when he planted around 20 bamboo seedlings on the sandbar. He worked on projects after projects and transformed the area into forest over 30 years. Molai forest, now houses Bengal tigers, Indian rhinoceros, over 100 deer and rabbits besides apes and several varieties of birds, including a large number of vultures.

social-work-4

‘All people have a right to sight’. Dr. Perumalsamy Namperumalsamy and his army of cataract fixers at India’s Aravind Eye Care Hospitals have been performing surgeries to give the blind people their eyesight back . The surgery has been around for decades, but the chairman of Aravind — which was founded in 1976 with the goal of bringing assembly-line efficiency to health care — figured out how to replace cataracts safely and quickly and helped 3.6 million people get their vision. Featured in TIME’s Top 100 list.

social-work-5

There are men who squirm at the mention of a woman’s period. Then there’s Muruganantham, who re-engineered a sanitary machine which makes about 120 napkins an hour .  Currently more than 1300 machines made by his start-up company are installed across 27 states in India and seven other countries.  Receiving the award from the Indian president was not the happiest moment of his life. But his proudest moment came after he installed a machine in a remote village in Uttarakhand, in the foothills of the Himalayas.

social-work-10

This activity consisted of providing free meals for cancer patients and their relatives. Beginning with fifty, the number of beneficiaries soon rose to hundred, two hundred, three hundred. As the numbers of patients increased, so did the number of helping hands. The ‘Jeevan Jyoti’ trust founded by Mr Sawla now runs more than 60 humanitarian projects. For last 27 years, millions of cancer patients and their relatives have found ‘God’, in the form of Harakhchand Sawla.

social-work-7

Her life started as being an unwanted child, followed by an abusive husband who abandoned her when she was nine months pregnant. But Sindhutai emerged stronger with every difficulty she faced and became a ‘mother’ to over 1400 homeless children. Currently she has opened 5 shelter homes for the orphans where they are being educated as well as provided all the basic amenities of life . She has proved that a mother can be someone who adopts you and takes proper care of you.

social-work-8

‘The Ice Man’. Sounds like a pretty cool super hero, and he kind of is. You’ll find him in the Himalayas. Back in 1987, Norphel invented artificial glaciers and started constructing massive dams in order to efficiently use the water gathered from melting ice to change the lives of the farmers. 30 years ago, Norphel was laughed at and never taken seriously, but today he stands in front of the camera as a proud citizen, and a real climate hero. He has proved that if man is the one responsible for disturbing nature, he also has the capacity to save it.

social-work-9

Sharma, a father of three from Aligarh, was forced to drop out of college in his third year due to financial difficulties. When he decided to start the free school, he didn’t want other children to face the same difficulties. So he eventually persuaded local laborers and farmers to allow their children to attend his school instead of working to add to the family income. The children from the neighbouring villages attend class for two hours daily, where they learn math and basic reading and writing skills. He believes, his greatest achievement was changing the attitude of his students’ parents. Most of them now encourage their children to study.

social-work-6

Arputham was born in Kolar Gold Fields, near Bangalore, in the south of India. He moved to Mumbai when he was 18 to work as a carpenter. Having no place to live in, he began sleeping outside people’s houses in Janata Colony, a slum of around 70,000 people. When the inhabitants of the slum were threatened with eviction, he united the community in organizing protests and fighting injustice. Over the years, Arputham has built 30,000 houses in India, and 1,00,000 houses abroad. For his remarkable work, he has been awarded the the Padma Shri. He didn’t win the Nobel Peace Prize but Jockin Sir has dedicated his life to bring peace for slum dwellers.

This may be a small force at present, but if we all stand together , we can wipe out all the social tensions.

I salute these true heroes who have made us all extremely proud.

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essay on positive changes in india

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IMPACT INDIA

Women, prosperity, and social change in india.

Social enterprise, which promises both economic empowerment and social trans-formation, is driving tremendous positive change in the lives of women in India. But it is also at the heart of a growing debate about the past and future of India's social sector.

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By Isabel Salovaara & Jeremy Wade Feb. 14, 2018

Women first, prosperity for all. This was the theme of the 10th Global Entrepreneurship Summit , hosted late last year in Hyderabad. It was also an unofficial theme for the year itself. Around the world, we witnessed demands by women to address persistent gender inequalities as a prerequisite to social and economic progress.

In 2018, one pressing question is how to convert the momentum generated by movements like #MeToo into lasting impact. A recent five-country study , commissioned by the British Council, on the mutual interdependence of social enterprise initiatives and women’s empowerment movements provides insights into the strategies for—and barriers to—long-term change.

Impact India

As the study’s North India research partners, we conducted a series of interviews, a survey of social enterprises in India, and focus groups across nine Indian cities to galvanize conversation on the contributions of social enterprise to women’s empowerment and the challenges at hand.

essay on positive changes in india

For this study, we defined a social enterprise as an organization with a central social or environmental mission that earns at least 25 percent of its revenue through commercial activity. Such a definition enabled us to make international comparisons between countries with diverse regulatory and legal landscapes in relation to social enterprise. It also provoked questions about the place of social enterprise and other organizational forms within longstanding social and women’s movements in India.

Our research highlighted the multiple meanings behind “women first,” including the significance of women’s leadership and the importance of attending to the needs of women beneficiaries and employees in the social enterprise sector. In this three-part series, we explore the impact of social enterprise—including its ambiguous place among older social organization models—on women in India.

Financial empowerment as a way toward social transformation

There are an estimated two million social enterprises in India, according to a previous British Council report mapping the social enterprise ecosystem . About a third (more than 600,000) focus on empowering women and girls as primary beneficiaries of their social mission.

Among our survey respondents, the most prevalent approaches focus on skill development and job creation. Many of these social enterprises, including women’s clothing producers rangSutra and KhaDigi , operate within the handicrafts sector, the second largest segment of India’s economy after agriculture. Some, like Jaipur Living (formerly Jaipur Rugs), focus on creating sustainable livelihoods for women by combining flexible working hours with connections to global export markets.

But social enterprises span a wide range of emerging industries. Some integrate rural youth, including young women, into India’s thriving business process outsourcing (BPO) industry as call-center employees. Taxi services by and for women, such as Sakha Consulting Wings , train and employ women in the male-dominated field of commercial driving, while also advancing the cause of women’s safety and mobility in urban India. Through Odanadi Trust in Mysore or Sheroes Hangout in Agra, restaurants, cafés, and ice cream parlors provide women who have survived trafficking or abuse with a means of earning money and developing skills.

The prominence of employment and income generation among social enterprise strategies for women’s empowerment in India reflects the unique strengths of the hybrid social enterprise model. Applying market logics to social issues is the sector’s raison d’être .

These strategies also reflect genuine needs of women in India. Many participants in our focus groups argued that financial standing gives women more decision-making power in their families and communities. “Social factors and forces must be combined with economic factors and forces,” says Shalabh Mittal, CEO of the School for Social Entrepreneurs India . Only then, he says, will more conservative interests buy in to the idea of social change. Or, as one participant in Jaipur bluntly put it: “When you earn money, men start respecting you.”

Yet this equation, so appealing in its simplicity, did not go unchallenged. Some participants were skeptical that financial empowerment and market integration, without parallel (and often unprofitable) efforts to change ingrained mindsets, could accomplish all that is needed to put women and girls on equal footing with men. Their caution echoed deeper concerns about the place of social enterprise within the constellation of other models comprising India’s social sector.

Hybrid models in the social sector

At a Kolkata focus group, participants raised a provocative question: Do we really need to distinguish NGOs from social enterprise? As a whole, the group agreed that women’s empowerment should be the key issue, rather than who does it.

This question shed light on a source of tension that ran through many of our conversations during this research. Designating some Indian organizations as social enterprises and some as “just” NGOs (or businesses) could have wider ranging effects on the social sector. Will the popularity of social enterprise further reduce the resources available to traditional nonprofits pursuing critical work in advocacy and other fields less amenable to monetization?

Unlike countries with newly emerging legal forms explicitly designed to enable organizations to pursue both social and commercial objectives , a distinct hybrid legal entity does not yet exist in India. Indian social enterprises must currently incorporate as one of the following: a nonprofit, which cannot legally maintain substantial surpluses from year to year; a private company; or a hybrid structure with separate nonprofit and for-profit entities. These choices have material consequences, since some forms of support (such as government contracts under social programs) are largely reserved for nonprofits, while others (such as impact investment funding) are more accessible to social enterprises with a stronger business orientation.

These two organizational forms also carry historically gendered meanings. India’s nonprofit sector grew out of the voluntary movement, which promoted social progress driven by the unpaid social work of volunteers, says Ranjana Kumari, director of the Centre for Social Research in Delhi. This vision offered limited scope for asset formation and financial gain by social organizations. As Kumari asks sardonically, “What do volunteers eat? Grass?” So-called social work and NGOs became a feminized domain , since women were not usually expected to be the primary providers for their families.

Many hope social enterprise can transform this image of the social sector by making both “doing good and doing well” possible. But as policy develops over time to recognize and support social enterprise in India , the sector must avoid several pitfalls if it is to maximize the hybrid model’s benefits for women. The “social” in social enterprise in itself cannot justify restrictions on financial remuneration for women and the organizations that support them. Social enterprise must be positioned as a partner, not a replacement, for existing players in the women’s empowerment field.

Expanding prosperity

The market-based hybridity of social enterprise remains its distinguishing feature, and economic participation can indeed enable women to influence the direction of social change to create a more just social and economic order. And yet social enterprise offers significant opportunities beyond financial gain—many organizations represented in our study address issues of sanitation, childcare, and women’s representation as decision-makers in their communities. Often, especially in health and education, these organizations empower women and girls alongside men and boys . If putting women first is to bring “prosperity for all,” we must expand the reach of economic empowerment as well as the definition of prosperity.

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Read more stories by Isabel Salovaara & Jeremy Wade .

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Religion in India: Tolerance and Segregation

Indians say it is important to respect all religions, but major religious groups see little in common and want to live separately, table of contents.

  • The dimensions of Hindu nationalism in India
  • India’s Muslims express pride in being Indian while identifying communal tensions, desiring segregation
  • Muslims, Hindus diverge over legacy of Partition
  • Religious conversion in India
  • Religion very important across India’s religious groups
  • Near-universal belief in God, but wide variation in how God is perceived
  • Across India’s religious groups, widespread sharing of beliefs, practices, values
  • Religious identity in India: Hindus divided on whether belief in God is required to be a Hindu, but most say eating beef is disqualifying
  • Sikhs are proud to be Punjabi and Indian
  • 1. Religious freedom, discrimination and communal relations
  • 2. Diversity and pluralism
  • 3. Religious segregation
  • 4. Attitudes about caste
  • 5. Religious identity
  • 6. Nationalism and politics
  • 7. Religious practices
  • 8. Religion, family and children
  • 9. Religious clothing and personal appearance
  • 10. Religion and food
  • 11. Religious beliefs
  • 12. Beliefs about God
  • Acknowledgments
  • Appendix A: Methodology
  • Appendix B: Index of religious segregation

essay on positive changes in india

This study is Pew Research Center’s most comprehensive, in-depth exploration of India to date. For this report, we surveyed 29,999 Indian adults (including 22,975 who identify as Hindu, 3,336 who identify as Muslim, 1,782 who identify as Sikh, 1,011 who identify as Christian, 719 who identify as Buddhist, 109 who identify as Jain and 67 who identify as belonging to another religion or as religiously unaffiliated). Interviews for this nationally representative survey were conducted face-to-face under the direction of RTI International from Nov. 17, 2019, to March 23, 2020.

To improve respondent comprehension of survey questions and to ensure all questions were culturally appropriate, Pew Research Center followed a multi-phase questionnaire development process that included expert review, focus groups, cognitive interviews, a pretest and a regional pilot survey before the national survey. The questionnaire was developed in English and translated into 16 languages, independently verified by professional linguists with native proficiency in regional dialects.

Respondents were selected using a probability-based sample design that would allow for robust analysis of all major religious groups in India – Hindus, Muslims, Christians, Sikhs, Buddhists and Jains – as well as all major regional zones. Data was weighted to account for the different probabilities of selection among respondents and to align with demographic benchmarks for the Indian adult population from the 2011 census. The survey is calculated to have covered 98% of Indians ages 18 and older and had an 86% national response rate.

For more information, see the  Methodology  for this report. The questions used in this analysis can be found  here .

India is majority Hindu, but religious minorities have sizable populations

More than 70 years after India became free from colonial rule, Indians generally feel their country has lived up to one of its post-independence ideals: a society where followers of many religions can live and practice freely.

India’s massive population is diverse as well as devout. Not only do most of the world’s Hindus, Jains and Sikhs live in India, but it also is home to one of the world’s largest Muslim populations and to millions of Christians and Buddhists.

A major new Pew Research Center survey of religion across India, based on nearly 30,000 face-to-face interviews of adults conducted in 17 languages between late 2019 and early 2020 (before the COVID-19 pandemic ), finds that Indians of all these religious backgrounds overwhelmingly say they are very free to practice their faiths.

Related India research

This is one in a series of Pew Research Center reports on India based on a survey of 29,999 Indian adults conducted Nov. 17, 2019, to March 23, 2020, as well as demographic data from the Indian Census and other government sources. Other reports can be found here:

  • How Indians View Gender Roles in Families and Society
  • Religious Composition of India
  • India’s Sex Ratio at Birth Begins To Normalize

Indians see religious tolerance as a central part of who they are as a nation. Across the major religious groups, most people say it is very important to respect all religions to be “truly Indian.” And tolerance is a religious as well as civic value: Indians are united in the view that respecting other religions is a very important part of what it means to be a member of their own religious community.

Indians feel they have religious freedom, see respecting all religions as a core value

These shared values are accompanied by a number of beliefs that cross religious lines. Not only do a majority of Hindus in India (77%) believe in karma, but an identical percentage of Muslims do, too. A third of Christians in India (32%) – together with 81% of Hindus – say they believe in the purifying power of the Ganges River, a central belief in Hinduism. In Northern India, 12% of Hindus and 10% of Sikhs, along with 37% of Muslims, identity with Sufism, a mystical tradition most closely associated with Islam. And the vast majority of Indians of all major religious backgrounds say that respecting elders is very important to their faith.

Yet, despite sharing certain values and religious beliefs – as well as living in the same country, under the same constitution – members of India’s major religious communities often don’t feel they have much in common with one another. The majority of Hindus see themselves as very different from Muslims (66%), and most Muslims return the sentiment, saying they are very different from Hindus (64%). There are a few exceptions: Two-thirds of Jains and about half of Sikhs say they have a lot in common with Hindus. But generally, people in India’s major religious communities tend to see themselves as very different from others.

India’s religious groups generally see themselves as very different from each other

This perception of difference is reflected in traditions and habits that maintain the separation of India’s religious groups. For example, marriages across religious lines – and, relatedly, religious conversions – are exceedingly rare (see Chapter 3 ). Many Indians, across a range of religious groups, say it is very important to stop people in their community from marrying into other religious groups. Roughly two-thirds of Hindus in India want to prevent interreligious marriages of Hindu women (67%) or Hindu men (65%). Even larger shares of Muslims feel similarly: 80% say it is very important to stop Muslim women from marrying outside their religion, and 76% say it is very important to stop Muslim men from doing so.

Stopping religious intermarriage is a high priority for Hindus, Muslims and others in India

Moreover, Indians generally stick to their own religious group when it comes to their friends. Hindus overwhelmingly say that most or all of their close friends are also Hindu. Of course, Hindus make up the majority of the population, and as a result of sheer numbers, may be more likely to interact with fellow Hindus than with people of other religions. But even among Sikhs and Jains, who each form a sliver of the national population, a large majority say their friends come mainly or entirely from their small religious community.

Fewer Indians go so far as to say that their neighborhoods should consist only of people from their own religious group. Still, many would prefer to keep people of certain religions out of their residential areas or villages. For example, many Hindus (45%) say they are fine with having neighbors of all other religions – be they Muslim, Christian, Sikh, Buddhist or Jain – but an identical share (45%) say they would not be willing to accept followers of at least one of these groups, including more than one-in-three Hindus (36%) who do not want a Muslim as a neighbor. Among Jains, a majority (61%) say they are unwilling to have neighbors from at least one of these groups, including 54% who would not accept a Muslim neighbor, although nearly all Jains (92%) say they would be willing to accept a Hindu neighbor.

Substantial minorities would not accept followers of other religions as neighbors

Indians, then, simultaneously express enthusiasm for religious tolerance and a consistent preference for keeping their religious communities in segregated spheres – they live together separately . These two sentiments may seem paradoxical, but for many Indians they are not.

Indeed, many take both positions, saying it is important to be tolerant of others and expressing a desire to limit personal connections across religious lines. Indians who favor a religiously segregated society also overwhelmingly emphasize religious tolerance as a core value. For example, among Hindus who say it is very important to stop the interreligious marriage of Hindu women, 82% also say that respecting other religions is very important to what it means to be Hindu. This figure is nearly identical to the 85% who strongly value religious tolerance among those who are not at all concerned with stopping interreligious marriage.

In other words, Indians’ concept of religious tolerance does not necessarily involve the mixing of religious communities. While people in some countries may aspire to create a “melting pot” of different religious identities, many Indians seem to prefer a country more like a patchwork fabric, with clear lines between groups.

Most Hindus in India say being Hindu, being able to speak Hindi are very important to be ‘truly’ Indian

One of these religious fault lines – the relationship between India’s Hindu majority and the country’s smaller religious communities – has particular relevance in public life, especially in recent years under the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the BJP is often described as promoting a Hindu nationalist ideology .

The survey finds that Hindus tend to see their religious identity and Indian national identity as closely intertwined: Nearly two-thirds of Hindus (64%) say it is very important to be Hindu to be “truly” Indian.

Support for BJP higher among Hindu voters who link being Hindu, speaking Hindi with Indian identity

Most Hindus (59%) also link Indian identity with being able to speak Hindi – one of dozens of languages that are widely spoken in India. And these two dimensions of national identity – being able to speak Hindi and being a Hindu – are closely connected. Among Hindus who say it is very important to be Hindu to be truly Indian, fully 80% also say it is very important to speak Hindi to be truly Indian.

The BJP’s appeal is greater among Hindus who closely associate their religious identity and the Hindi language with being “truly Indian.” In the 2019 national elections, 60% of Hindu voters who think it is very important to be Hindu and to speak Hindi to be truly Indian cast their vote for the BJP, compared with only a third among Hindu voters who feel less strongly about both these aspects of national identity.

Overall, among those who voted in the 2019 elections, three-in-ten Hindus take all three positions: saying it is very important to be Hindu to be truly Indian; saying the same about speaking Hindi; and casting their ballot for the BJP.

These views are considerably more common among Hindus in the largely Hindi-speaking Northern and Central regions of the country, where roughly half of all Hindu voters fall into this category, compared with just 5% in the South.

Among Hindus, large regional divides on views of national identity and politics

Whether Hindus who meet all three of these criteria qualify as “Hindu nationalists” may be debated, but they do express a heightened desire for maintaining clear lines between Hindus and other religious groups when it comes to whom they marry, who their friends are and whom they live among. For example, among Hindu BJP voters who link national identity with both religion and language, 83% say it is very important to stop Hindu women from marrying into another religion, compared with 61% among other Hindu voters.

This group also tends to be more religiously observant: 95% say religion is very important in their lives, and roughly three-quarters say they pray daily (73%). By comparison, among other Hindu voters, a smaller majority (80%) say religion is very important in their lives, and about half (53%) pray daily.

Even though Hindu BJP voters who link national identity with religion and language are more inclined to support a religiously segregated India, they also are  more  likely than other Hindu voters to express positive opinions about India’s religious diversity. Nearly two-thirds (65%) of this group – Hindus who say that being a Hindu and being able to speak Hindi are very important to be truly Indian  and  who voted for the BJP in 2019 – say religious diversity benefits India, compared with about half (47%) of other Hindu voters.

Hindus who see Hindu and Indian identity as closely tied express positive views about diversity

This finding suggests that for many Hindus, there is no contradiction between valuing religious diversity (at least in principle) and feeling that Hindus are somehow more authentically Indian than fellow citizens who follow other religions.

Among Indians overall, there is no overwhelming consensus on the benefits of religious diversity. On balance, more Indians see diversity as a benefit than view it as a liability for their country: Roughly half (53%) of Indian adults say India’s religious diversity benefits the country, while about a quarter (24%) see diversity as harmful, with similar figures among both Hindus and Muslims. But 24% of Indians do not take a clear position either way – they say diversity neither benefits nor harms the country, or they decline to answer the question. (See Chapter 2 for a discussion of attitudes toward diversity.)

Vast majority of India’s Muslims say Indian culture is superior

India’s Muslim community, the second-largest religious group in the country, historically has had a complicated relationship with the Hindu majority. The two communities generally have lived peacefully side by side for centuries, but their shared history also is checkered by civil unrest and violence. Most recently, while the survey was being conducted, demonstrations broke out in parts of New Delhi and elsewhere over the government’s new citizenship law , which creates an expedited path to citizenship for immigrants from some neighboring countries – but not Muslims.

Today, India’s Muslims almost unanimously say they are very proud to be Indian (95%), and they express great enthusiasm for Indian culture: 85% agree with the statement that “Indian people are not perfect, but Indian culture is superior to others.”

Overall, one-in-five Muslims say they have personally faced religious discrimination recently, but views vary by region

Relatively few Muslims say their community faces “a lot” of discrimination in India (24%). In fact, the share of Muslims who see widespread discrimination against their community is similar to the share of Hindus who say Hindus face widespread religious discrimination in India (21%). (See Chapter 1 for a discussion of attitudes on religious discrimination.)

But personal experiences with discrimination among Muslims vary quite a bit regionally. Among Muslims in the North, 40% say they personally have faced religious discrimination in the last 12 months – much higher levels than reported in most other regions.

In addition, most Muslims across the country (65%), along with an identical share of Hindus (65%), see communal violence as a very big national problem. (See Chapter 1 for a discussion of Indians’ attitudes toward national problems.)

Muslims in India support having access to their own religious courts

Like Hindus, Muslims prefer to live religiously segregated lives – not just when it comes to marriage and friendships, but also in some elements of public life. In particular, three-quarters of Muslims in India (74%) support having access to the existing system of Islamic courts, which handle family disputes (such as inheritance or divorce cases), in addition to the secular court system.

Muslims’ desire for religious segregation does not preclude tolerance of other groups – again similar to the pattern seen among Hindus. Indeed, a majority of Muslims who favor separate religious courts for their community say religious diversity benefits India (59%), compared with somewhat fewer of those who oppose religious courts for Muslims (50%).

Sidebar: Islamic courts in India

Since 1937, India’s Muslims have had the option of resolving family and inheritance-related cases in officially recognized Islamic courts, known as dar-ul-qaza. These courts are overseen by religious magistrates known as qazi and operate under Shariah principles . For example, while the rules of inheritance for most Indians are governed by the Indian Succession Act of 1925 and the Hindu Succession Act of 1956 (amended in 2005), Islamic inheritance practices differ in some ways, including who can be considered an heir and how much of the deceased person’s property they can inherit. India’s inheritance laws also take into account the differing traditions of other religious communities, such as Hindus and Christians, but their cases are handled in secular courts. Only the Muslim community has the option of having cases tried by a separate system of family courts. The decisions of the religious courts, however, are not legally binding , and the parties involved have the option of taking their case to secular courts if they are not satisfied with the decision of the religious court.

As of 2021, there are roughly 70 dar-ul-qaza in India. Most are in the states of Maharashtra and Uttar Pradesh. Goa is the only state that does not recognize rulings by these courts, enforcing its own uniform civil code instead. Dar-ul-qaza are overseen by the All India Muslim Personal Law Board .

While these courts can grant divorces among Muslims, they are prohibited from approving divorces initiated through the practice known as triple talaq, in which a Muslim man instantly divorces his wife by saying the Arabic/Urdu word “talaq” (meaning “divorce”) three times. This practice was deemed unconstitutional by the Indian Supreme Court in 2017 and formally outlawed by the Lok Sabha, the lower house of India’s Parliament, in 2019. 1

Recent debates have emerged around Islamic courts. Some Indians have expressed concern that the rise of dar-ul-qaza could undermine the Indian judiciary, because a subset of the population is not bound to the same laws as everyone else. Others have argued that the rulings of Islamic courts are particularly unfair to women, although the prohibition of triple talaq may temper some of these criticisms. In its 2019 political manifesto , the BJP proclaimed a desire to create a national Uniform Civil Code, saying it would increase gender equality.

Some Indian commentators have voiced opposition to Islamic courts along with more broadly negative sentiments against Muslims, describing the rising numbers of dar-ul-qaza as the “Talibanization” of India , for example.

On the other hand, Muslim scholars have defended the dar-ul-qaza, saying they expedite justice because family disputes that would otherwise clog India’s courts can be handled separately, allowing the secular courts to focus their attention on other concerns.

Since 2018, the Hindu nationalist party Hindu Mahasabha (which does not hold any seats in Parliament) has tried to set up Hindu religious courts , known as Hindutva courts, aiming to play a role similar to dar-ul-qaza, only for the majority Hindu community. None of these courts have been recognized by the Indian government, and their rulings are not considered legally binding.

The seminal event in the modern history of Hindu-Muslim relations in the region was the partition of the subcontinent into Hindu-majority India and Muslim-majority Pakistan at the end of the British colonial period in 1947. Partition remains one of the largest movements of people across borders in recorded history, and in both countries the carving of new borders was accompanied by violence, rioting and looting .

More Muslims than Hindus in India see partition of the subcontinent as a bad thing for communal relations

More than seven decades later, the predominant view among Indian Muslims is that the partition of the subcontinent was “a bad thing” for Hindu-Muslim relations. Nearly half of Muslims say Partition hurt communal relations with Hindus (48%), while fewer say it was a good thing for Hindu-Muslim relations (30%). Among Muslims who prefer more religious segregation – that is, who say they would not accept a person of a different faith as a neighbor – an even higher share (60%) say Partition was a bad thing for Hindu-Muslim relations.

Sikhs, whose homeland of Punjab was split by Partition, are even more likely than Muslims to say Partition was a bad thing for Hindu-Muslim relations: Two-thirds of Sikhs (66%) take this position. And Sikhs ages 60 and older, whose parents most likely lived through Partition, are more inclined than younger Sikhs to say the partition of the country was bad for communal relations (74% vs. 64%).

While Sikhs and Muslims are more likely to say Partition was a bad thing than a good thing, Hindus lean in the opposite direction: 43% of Hindus say Partition was beneficial for Hindu-Muslim relations, while 37% see it as a bad thing.

Context for the survey

Interviews were conducted after the conclusion of the 2019 national parliamentary elections and after the revocation of Jammu and Kashmir’s special status under the Indian Constitution. In December 2019, protests against the country’s new citizenship law broke out in several regions.

Fieldwork could not be conducted in the Kashmir Valley and a few districts elsewhere due to security concerns. These locations include some heavily Muslim areas, which is part of the reason why Muslims make up 11% of the survey’s total sample, while India’s adult population is roughly 13% Muslim, according to the most recent census data that is publicly available, from 2011. In addition, it is possible that in some other parts of the country, interreligious tensions over the new citizenship law may have slightly depressed participation in the survey by potential Muslim respondents.

Nevertheless, the survey’s estimates of religious beliefs, behaviors and attitudes can be reported with a high degree of confidence for India’s total population, because the number of people living in the excluded areas (Manipur, Sikkim, the Kashmir Valley and a few other districts) is not large enough to affect the overall results at the national level. About 98% of India’s total population had a chance of being selected for this survey.

Greater caution is warranted when looking at India’s Muslims separately, as a distinct population. The survey cannot speak to the experiences and views of Kashmiri Muslims. Still, the survey does represent the beliefs, behaviors and attitudes of around 95% of India’s overall Muslim population.

These are among the key findings of a Pew Research Center survey conducted face-to-face nationally among 29,999 Indian adults. Local interviewers administered the survey between Nov. 17, 2019, and March 23, 2020, in 17 languages. The survey covered all states and union territories of India, with the exceptions of Manipur and Sikkim, where the rapidly developing COVID-19 situation prevented fieldwork from starting in the spring of 2020, and the remote territories of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands and Lakshadweep; these areas are home to about a quarter of 1% of the Indian population. The union territory of Jammu and Kashmir was covered by the survey, though no fieldwork was conducted in the Kashmir region itself due to security concerns.

This study, funded by The Pew Charitable Trusts and the John Templeton Foundation, is part of a larger effort by Pew Research Center to understand religious change and its impact on societies around the world. The Center previously has conducted religion-focused surveys across sub-Saharan Africa ; the Middle East-North Africa region and many other countries with large Muslim populations ; Latin America ; Israel ; Central and Eastern Europe ; Western Europe ; and the United States .

The rest of this Overview covers attitudes on five broad topics: caste and discrimination; religious conversion; religious observances and beliefs; how people define their religious identity, including what kind of behavior is considered acceptable to be a Hindu or a Muslim; and the connection between economic development and religious observance.

Caste is another dividing line in Indian society, and not just among Hindus

Religion is not the only fault line in Indian society. In some regions of the country, significant shares of people perceive widespread, caste-based discrimination.

The caste system is an ancient social hierarchy based on occupation and economic status. People are born into a particular caste and tend to keep many aspects of their social life within its boundaries, including whom they marry. Even though the system’s origins are in historical Hindu writings , today Indians nearly universally identify with a caste, regardless of whether they are Hindu, Muslim, Christian, Sikh, Buddhist or Jain.

Overall, the majority of Indian adults say they are a member of a Scheduled Caste (SC) – often referred to as Dalits (25%) – Scheduled Tribe (ST) (9%) or Other Backward Class (OBC) (35%). 2

Most Indians say they belong to a Scheduled Caste, Scheduled Tribe or Other Backward Class

Buddhists in India nearly universally identify themselves in these categories, including 89% who are Dalits (sometimes referred to by the pejorative term “untouchables”).

Members of SC/ST/OBC groups traditionally formed the lower social and economic rungs of Indian society, and historically they have faced discrimination and unequal economic opportunities . The practice of untouchability in India ostracizes members of many of these communities, especially Dalits, although the Indian Constitution prohibits caste-based discrimination, including untouchability, and in recent decades the government has enacted economic advancement policies like reserved seats in universities and government jobs for Dalits, Scheduled Tribes and OBC communities.

Roughly 30% of Indians do not belong to these protected groups and are classified as “General Category.” This includes higher castes such as Brahmins (4%), traditionally the priestly caste. Indeed, each broad category includes several sub-castes – sometimes hundreds – with their own social and economic hierarchies.

Three-quarters of Jains (76%) identify with General Category castes, as do 46% of both Muslims and Sikhs.

Caste-based discrimination, as well as the government’s efforts to compensate for past discrimination, are politically charged topics in India . But the survey finds that most Indians do not perceive widespread caste-based discrimination. Just one-in-five Indians say there is a lot of discrimination against members of SCs, while 19% say there is a lot of discrimination against STs and somewhat fewer (16%) see high levels of discrimination against OBCs. Members of Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes are slightly more likely than others to perceive widespread discrimination against their two groups. Still, large majorities of people in these categories do not think they face a lot of discrimination.

Relatively few in India see widespread caste discrimination; perceptions vary by region

These attitudes vary by region, however. Among Southern Indians, for example, 30% see widespread discrimination against Dalits, compared with 13% in the Central part of the country. And among the Dalit community in the South, even more (43%) say their community faces a lot of discrimination, compared with 27% among Southern Indians in the General Category who say the Dalit community faces widespread discrimination in India.

A higher share of Dalits in the South and Northeast than elsewhere in the country say they, personally, have faced discrimination in the last 12 months because of their caste: 30% of Dalits in the South say this, as do 38% in the Northeast.

Although caste discrimination may not be perceived as widespread nationally, caste remains a potent factor in Indian society. Most Indians from other castes say they would be willing to have someone belonging to a Scheduled Caste as a neighbor (72%). But a similarly large majority of Indians overall (70%) say that most or all of their close friends share their caste. And Indians tend to object to marriages across caste lines, much as they object to interreligious marriages. 3

Most Indians say it is very important to stop people from marrying outside their caste

Overall, 64% of Indians say it is very important to stop women in their community from marrying into other castes, and about the same share (62%) say it is very important to stop men in their community from marrying into other castes. These figures vary only modestly across members of different castes. For example, nearly identical shares of Dalits and members of General Category castes say stopping inter-caste marriages is very important.

Majorities of Hindus, Muslims, Sikhs and Jains consider stopping inter-caste marriage of both men and women a high priority. By comparison, fewer Buddhists and Christians say it is very important to stop such marriages – although for majorities of both groups, stopping people from marrying outside their caste is at least “somewhat” important.

People surveyed in India’s South and Northeast see greater caste discrimination in their communities, and they also raise fewer objections to inter-caste marriages than do Indians overall. Meanwhile, college-educated Indians are less likely than those with less education to say stopping inter-caste marriages is a high priority. But, even within the most highly educated group, roughly half say preventing such marriages is very important. (See Chapter 4 for more analysis of Indians’ views on caste.)

Religious groups show little change in size due to conversion

In recent years, conversion of people belonging to lower castes (including Dalits) away from Hinduism – a traditionally non-proselytizing religion – to proselytizing religions, especially Christianity, has been a contentious political issue in India. As of early 2021, nine states have enacted laws against proselytism , and some previous surveys have shown that half of Indians support legal bans on religious conversions. 4

This survey, though, finds that religious switching, or conversion, has a minimal impact on the overall size of India’s religious groups. For example, according to the survey, 82% of Indians say they were raised Hindu, and a nearly identical share say they are currently Hindu, showing no net losses for the group through conversion to other religions. Other groups display similar levels of stability.

Changes in India’s religious landscape over time are largely a result of differences in fertility rates among religious groups, not conversion.

Respondents were asked two separate questions to measure religious switching: “What is your present religion, if any?” and, later in the survey, “In what religion were you raised, if any?” Overall, 98% of respondents give the same answer to both these questions.

Hindus gain as many people as they lose through religious switching

An overall pattern of stability in the share of religious groups is accompanied by little net gain from movement into, or out of, most religious groups. Among Hindus, for instance, any conversion out of the group is matched by conversion into the group: 0.7% of respondents say they were raised Hindu but now identify as something else, and although Hindu texts and traditions do not agree on any formal process for conversion into the religion, roughly the same share (0.8%) say they were  not raised Hindu but now identify as Hindu. 5  Most of these new followers of Hinduism are married to Hindus.

Similarly, 0.3% of respondents have left Islam since childhood, matched by an identical share who say they were raised in other religions (or had no childhood religion) and have since become Muslim.

For Christians, however, there are some net gains from conversion: 0.4% of survey respondents are former Hindus who now identify as Christian, while 0.1% are former Christians.

Three-quarters of India’s Hindu converts to Christianity (74%) are concentrated in the Southern part of the country – the region with the largest Christian population. As a result, the Christian population of the South shows a slight increase within the lifetime of survey respondents: 6% of Southern Indians say they were raised Christian, while 7% say they are currently Christian.

Some Christian converts (16%) reside in the East as well (the states of Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha and West Bengal); about two-thirds of all Christians in the East (64%) belong to Scheduled Tribes.

Nationally, the vast majority of former Hindus who are now Christian belong to Scheduled Castes (48%), Scheduled Tribes (14%) or Other Backward Classes (26%). And former Hindus are much more likely than the Indian population overall to say there is a lot of discrimination against lower castes in India. For example, nearly half of converts to Christianity (47%) say there is a lot of discrimination against Scheduled Castes in India, compared with 20% of the overall population who perceive this level of discrimination against Scheduled Castes. Still, relatively few converts say they, personally, have faced discrimination due to their caste in the last 12 months (12%).

Vast majority of Hindu converts to Christianity in India are concentrated in South

Though their specific practices and beliefs may vary, all of India’s major religious communities are highly observant by standard measures. For instance, the vast majority of Indians, across all major faiths, say that religion is very important in their lives. And at least three-quarters of each major religion’s followers say they know a great deal about their own religion and its practices. For example, 81% of Indian Buddhists claim a great deal of knowledge about the Buddhist religion and its practices.

Most Indians have a strong connection to their religion

Indian Muslims are slightly more likely than Hindus to consider religion very important in their lives (91% vs. 84%). Muslims also are modestly more likely than Hindus to say they know a great deal about their own religion (84% vs. 75%).

Significant portions of each religious group also pray daily, with Christians among the most likely to do so (77%) – even though Christians are the least likely of the six groups to say religion is very important in their lives (76%). Most Hindus and Jains also pray daily (59% and 73%, respectively) and say they perform puja daily (57% and 81%), either at home or at a temple. 6

Generally, younger and older Indians, those with different educational backgrounds, and men and women are similar in their levels of religious observance. South Indians are the least likely to say religion is very important in their lives (69%), and the South is the only region where fewer than half of people report praying daily (37%). While Hindus, Muslims and Christians in the South are all less likely than their counterparts elsewhere in India to say religion is very important to them, the lower rate of prayer in the South is driven mainly by Hindus: Three-in-ten Southern Hindus report that they pray daily (30%), compared with roughly two-thirds (68%) of Hindus in the rest of the country (see “ People in the South differ from rest of the country in their views of religion, national identity ” below for further discussion of religious differences in Southern India).

The survey also asked about three rites of passage: religious ceremonies for birth (or infancy), marriage and death. Members of all of India’s major religious communities tend to see these rites as highly important. For example, the vast majority of Muslims (92%), Christians (86%) and Hindus (85%) say it is very important to have a religious burial or cremation for their loved ones.

Indians say life’s milestones should be marked by religious ceremonies

The survey also asked about practices specific to particular religions, such as whether people have received purification by bathing in holy bodies of water, like the Ganges River, a rite closely associated with Hinduism. About two-thirds of Hindus have done this (65%). Most Hindus also have holy basil (the tulsi plant) in their homes, as do most Jains (72% and 62%, respectively). And about three-quarters of Sikhs follow the Sikh practice of keeping their hair long (76%).

For more on religious practices across India’s religious groups, see Chapter 7 .

Nearly all Indians say they believe in God (97%), and roughly 80% of people in most religious groups say they are absolutely certain that God exists. The main exception is Buddhists, one-third of whom say they do not believe in God. Still, among Buddhists who do think there is a God, most say they are absolutely certain in this belief.

One-third of Indian Buddhists do not believe in God

While belief in God is close to universal in India, the survey finds a wide range of views about the type of deity or deities that Indians believe in. The prevailing view is that there is one God “with many manifestations” (54%). But about one-third of the public says simply: “There is only one God” (35%). Far fewer say there are many gods (6%).

Even though Hinduism is sometimes referred to as a polytheistic religion , very few Hindus (7%) take the position that there are multiple gods. Instead, the most common position among Hindus (as well as among Jains) is that there is “only one God with many manifestations” (61% among Hindus and 54% among Jains).

In India, most Hindus and some members of other groups say there is one God with many manifestations

Among Hindus, those who say religion is very important in their lives are more likely than other Hindus to believe in one God with many manifestations (63% vs. 50%) and less likely to say there are many gods (6% vs. 12%).

By contrast, majorities of Muslims, Christians and Sikhs say there is only one God. And among Buddhists, the most common response is also a belief in one God. Among all these groups, however, about one-in-five or more say God has many manifestations, a position closer to their Hindu compatriots’ concept of God.

Most Hindus feel close to multiple gods, but Shiva, Hanuman and Ganesha are most popular

Traditionally, many Hindus have a “personal god,” or  ishta devata:  A particular god or goddess with whom they feel a personal connection. The survey asked all Indian Hindus who say they believe in God which god they feel closest to – showing them 15 images of gods on a card as possible options – and the vast majority of Hindus selected more than one god or indicated that they have many personal gods (84%). 7  This is true not only among Hindus who say they believe in many gods (90%) or in one God with many manifestations (87%), but also among those who say there is only one God (82%).

The god that Hindus most commonly feel close to is Shiva (44%). In addition, about one-third of Hindus feel close to Hanuman or Ganesha (35% and 32%, respectively).

There is great regional variation in how close India’s Hindus feel to some gods. For example, 46% of Hindus in India’s West feel close to Ganesha, but only 15% feel this way in the Northeast. And 46% of Hindus in the Northeast feel close to Krishna, while just 14% in the South say the same.

Feelings of closeness for Lord Ram are especially strong in the Central region (27%), which includes what Hindus claim is his ancient birthplace , Ayodhya. The location in Ayodhya where many Hindus believe Ram was born has been a source of controversy: Hindu mobs demolished a mosque on the site in 1992, claiming that a Hindu temple originally existed there. In 2019, the Indian Supreme Court ruled that the demolished mosque had been built on top of a preexisting non-Islamic structure and that the land should be given to Hindus to build a temple, with another location in the area given to the Muslim community to build a new mosque. (For additional findings on belief in God, see Chapter 12 .)

More Hindus feel close to Shiva than any other deity

Sidebar: Despite economic advancement, few signs that importance of religion is declining

Indians show high levels of religious observance across socioeconomic levels

A prominent theory in the social sciences hypothesizes that as countries advance economically, their populations tend to become less religious, often leading to wider social change. Known as “secularization theory,” it particularly reflects the experience of Western European countries from the end of World War II to the present.

Despite rapid economic growth, India’s population so far shows few, if any, signs of losing its religion. For instance, both the Indian census and the new survey find virtually no growth in the minuscule share of people who claim no religious identity. And religion is prominent in the lives of Indians regardless of their socioeconomic status. Generally, across the country, there is little difference in personal religious observance between urban and rural residents or between those who are college educated versus those who are not. Overwhelming shares among all these groups say that religion is very important in their lives, that they pray regularly and that they believe in God.

Overwhelming shares say religion was very important to their family growing up and is to them personally now

Nearly all religious groups show the same patterns. The biggest exception is Christians, among whom those with higher education and those who reside in urban areas show somewhat lower levels of observance. For example, among Christians who have a college degree, 59% say religion is very important in their life, compared with 78% among those who have less education.

The survey does show a slight decline in the perceived importance of religion during the lifetime of respondents, though the vast majority of Indians indicate that religion remains central to their lives, and this is true among both younger and older adults.

Nearly nine-in-ten Indian adults say religion was very important to their family when they were growing up (88%), while a slightly lower share say religion is very important to them now (84%). The pattern is identical when looking only at India’s majority Hindu population. Among Muslims in India, the same shares say religion was very important to their family growing up and is very important to them now (91% each).

The states of Southern India (Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Puducherry, Tamil Nadu and Telangana) show the biggest downward trend in the perceived importance of religion over respondents’ lifetimes: 76% of Indians who live in the South say religion was very important to their family growing up, compared with 69% who say religion is personally very important to them now. Slight declines in the importance of religion, by this measure, also are seen in the Western part of the country (Goa, Gujarat and Maharashtra) and in the North, although large majorities in all regions of the country say religion is very important in their lives today.

Respecting elders a key shared religious, national value in India

Despite a strong desire for religious segregation, India’s religious groups share patriotic feelings, cultural values and some religious beliefs. For instance, overwhelming shares across India’s religious communities say they are very proud to be Indian, and most agree that Indian culture is superior to others.

Similarly, Indians of different religious backgrounds hold elders in high respect. For instance, nine-in-ten or more Hindus, Muslims, Buddhists and Jains say that respecting elders is very important to what being a member of their religious group means to them (e.g., for Hindus, it’s a very important part of their Hindu identity). Christians and Sikhs also overwhelmingly share this sentiment. And among all people surveyed in all six groups, three-quarters or more say that respecting elders is very important to being truly Indian.

Within all six religious groups, eight-in-ten or more also say that helping the poor and needy is a crucial part of their religious identity.

Beyond cultural parallels, many people mix traditions from multiple religions into their practices: As a result of living side by side for generations, India’s minority groups often engage in practices that are more closely associated with Hindu traditions than their own. For instance, many Muslim, Sikh and Christian women in India say they wear a bindi (a forehead marking, often worn by married women), even though putting on a bindi has Hindu origins.

Similarly, many people embrace beliefs not traditionally associated with their faith: Muslims in India are just as likely as Hindus to say they believe in karma (77% each), and 54% of Indian Christians share this view. 8  Nearly three-in-ten Muslims and Christians say they believe in reincarnation (27% and 29%, respectively). While these may seem like theological contradictions, for many Indians, calling oneself a Muslim or a Christian does not preclude believing in karma or reincarnation – beliefs that do not have a traditional, doctrinal basis in Islam or Christianity.

Some religious beliefs and practices shared across religious groups in India

Most Muslims and Christians say they don’t participate in celebrations of Diwali, the Indian festival of lights that is traditionally celebrated by Hindus, Sikhs, Jains and Buddhists. But substantial minorities of Christians (31%) and Muslims (20%) report that they do celebrate Diwali. Celebrating Diwali is especially common among Muslims in the West, where 39% say they participate in the festival, and in the South (33%).

Not only do some followers of all these religions participate in a celebration (Diwali) that consumes most of the country once a year, but some members of the majority Hindu community celebrate Muslim and Christian festivals, too: 7% of Indian Hindus say they celebrate the Muslim festival of Eid, and 17% celebrate Christmas.

While there is some mixing of religious celebrations and traditions within India’s diverse population, many Hindus do not approve of this. In fact, while 17% of the nation’s Hindus say they participate in Christmas celebrations, about half of Hindus (52%) say that doing so disqualifies a person from being Hindu (compared with 35% who say a person can be Hindu if they celebrate Christmas). An even greater share of Hindus (63%) say a person cannot be Hindu if they celebrate the Islamic festival of Eid – a view that is more widely held in Northern, Central, Eastern and Northeastern India than the South or West.

Hindus are divided on whether beliefs and practices such as believing in God, praying and going to the temple are necessary to be a Hindu. But one behavior that a clear majority of Indian Hindus feel is incompatible with Hinduism is eating beef: 72% of Hindus in India say a person who eats beef cannot be a Hindu. That is even higher than the percentages of Hindus who say a person cannot be Hindu if they reject belief in God (49%), never go to a temple (48%) or never perform prayers (48%).

India’s Hindus mostly say a person cannot be Hindu if they eat beef, celebrate Eid

Attitudes toward beef appear to be part of a regional and cultural divide among Hindus: Southern Indian Hindus are considerably less likely than others to disqualify beef eaters from being Hindu (50% vs. 83% in the Northern and Central parts of the country). And, at least in part, Hindus’ views on beef and Hindu identity are linked with a preference for religious segregation and elements of Hindu nationalism. For example, Hindus who take a strong position against eating beef are more likely than others to say they would not accept followers of other religions as their neighbors (49% vs. 30%) and to say it is very important to be Hindu to be truly Indian (68% vs. 51%).

Relatedly, 44% of Hindus say they are vegetarians, and an additional 33% say they abstain from eating certain meats. Hindus traditionally view cows as sacred, and laws pertaining to cow slaughter have been a recent flashpoint in India . At the same time, Hindus are not alone in linking beef consumption with religious identity: 82% of Sikhs and 85% of Jains surveyed say that a person who eats beef cannot be a member of their religious groups, either. A majority of Sikhs (59%) and fully 92% of Jains say they are vegetarians, including 67% of Jains who do not eat root vegetables . 9  (For more data on religion and dietary habits, see Chapter 10 .)

Sidebar: People in the South differ from rest of the country in their views of religion, national identity

The survey consistently finds that people in the South (the states of Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Telangana, and the union territory of Puducherry) differ from Indians elsewhere in the country in their views on religion, politics and identity.

For example, by a variety of measures, people in the South are somewhat less religious than those in other regions – 69% say religion is very important in their lives, versus 92% in the Central part of the country. And 37% say they pray every day, compared with more than half of Indians in other regions. People in the South also are less segregated by religion or caste – whether that involves their friendship circles, the kind of neighbors they prefer or how they feel about intermarriage. (See Chapter 3 .)

Hindu nationalist sentiments also appear to have less of a foothold in the South. Among Hindus, those in the South (42%) are far less likely than those in Central states (83%) or the North (69%) to say being Hindu is very important to be truly Indian. And in the 2019 parliamentary elections, the BJP’s lowest vote share came in the South. In the survey, just 19% of Hindus in the region say they voted for the BJP, compared with roughly two-thirds in the Northern (68%) and Central (65%) parts of the country who say they voted for the ruling party.

Culturally and politically, people in the South have pushed back against the BJP’s restrictions on cow slaughter and efforts to nationalize the Hindi language . These factors may contribute to the BJP’s lower popularity in the South, where more people prefer regional parties or the Indian National Congress party.

These differences in attitudes and practices exist in a wider context of economic disparities between the South and other regions of the country. Over time, Southern states have seen stronger economic growth than the Northern and Central parts of the country. And women and people belonging to lower castes in the South have fared better economically than their counterparts elsewhere in the country. Even though three-in-ten people in the South say there is widespread caste discrimination in India, the region also has a history of anti-caste movements . Indeed, one author has attributed the economic growth of the South largely to the flattening of caste hierarchies.

Indian Muslims more likely to say eating pork is incompatible with Islam than not believing in God

Muslim identity in India

Most Muslims in India say a person cannot be Muslim if they never pray or attend a mosque. Similarly, about six-in-ten say that celebrating Diwali or Christmas is incompatible with being a member of the Muslim community. At the same time, a substantial minority express a degree of open-mindedness on who can be a Muslim, with fully one-third (34%) saying a person can be Muslim even if they don’t believe in God. (The survey finds that 6% of self-described Muslims in India say they do not believe in God; see “ Near-universal belief in God, but wide variation in how God is perceived ” above.)

Like Hindus, Muslims have dietary restrictions that resonate as powerful markers of identity. Three-quarters of Indian Muslims (77%) say that a person cannot be Muslim if they eat pork, which is even higher than the share who say a person cannot be Muslim if they do not believe in God (60%) or never attend mosque (61%).

Indian Muslims more likely to say eating pork is incompatible with Islam than not believing in God

Indian Muslims also report high levels of religious commitment by a host of conventional measures: 91% say religion is very important in their lives, two-thirds (66%) say they pray at least once a day, and seven-in-ten say they attend mosque at least once a week – with even higher attendance among Muslim men (93%).

By all these measures, Indian Muslims are broadly comparable to Muslims in the neighboring Muslim-majority countries of Pakistan and Bangladesh, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted in those countries in late 2011 and early 2012. In Pakistan, for example, 94% of Muslims said religion is very important in their lives , while 81% of Bangladeshi Muslims said the same. Muslims in India are somewhat more likely than those elsewhere in South Asia to say they regularly worship at a mosque (70% in India vs. 59% in Pakistan and 53% in Bangladesh), with the difference mainly driven by the share of women who attend.

Indian Muslims are as religious as Muslims in neighboring countries, but fewer say there is just one correct way to interpret Islam

At the same time, Muslims in India are slightly less likely to say there is “only one true” interpretation of Islam (72% in Pakistan, 69% in Bangladesh, 63% in India), as opposed to multiple interpretations.

When it comes to their religious beliefs, Indian Muslims in some ways resemble Indian Hindus more than they resemble Muslims in neighboring countries. For example, Muslims in Pakistan and Bangladesh almost universally say they believe in heaven and angels, but Indian Muslims seem more skeptical: 58% say they believe in heaven and 53% express belief in angels. Among Indian Hindus, similarly, 56% believe in heaven and 49% believe in angels.

Overall, Indian Muslims’ level of belief in heaven, angels resembles Indian Hindus more than other Muslims in South Asia

Majority of Muslim women in India oppose ‘triple talaq’ (Islamic divorce)

Most Indian Muslims oppose triple talaq

Many Indian Muslims historically have followed the Hanafi school of thought, which for centuries allowed men to divorce their wives by saying “talaq” (which translates as “divorce” in Arabic and Urdu) three times. Traditionally, there was supposed to be a waiting period and attempts at reconciliation in between each use of the word, and it was deeply frowned upon (though technically permissible) for a man to pronounce “talaq” three times quickly in a row. India’s Supreme Court ruled triple talaq unconstitutional in 2017, and it was banned by legislation in 2019 .

Most Indian Muslims (56%) say Muslim men should not be allowed to divorce this way. Still, 37% of Indian Muslims say they support triple talaq, with Muslim men (42%) more likely than Muslim women (32%) to take this position. A majority of Muslim women (61%) oppose triple talaq.

Highly religious Muslims – i.e., those who say religion is very important in their lives – also are more likely than other Muslims to say Muslim men should be able to divorce their wives simply by saying “talaq” three times (39% vs. 26%).

Triple talaq seems to have the most support among Muslims in the Southern and Northeastern regions of India, where half or more of Muslims say it should be legal (58% and 50%, respectively), although 12% of Muslims in the South and 16% in the Northeast do not take a position on the issue either way.

Sikhism is one of four major religions – along with Hinduism, Buddhism and Jainism – that originated on the Indian subcontinent. The Sikh religion emerged in Punjab in the 15th century, when Guru Nanak, who is revered as the founder of Sikhism, became the first in a succession of 10 gurus (teachers) in the religion.

Today, India’s Sikhs remain concentrated in the state of Punjab. One feature of the Sikh religion is a distinctive sense of community, also known as “Khalsa” (which translates as “ones who are pure”). Observant Sikhs differentiate themselves from others in several ways, including keeping their hair uncut. Today, about three-quarters of Sikh men and women in India say they keep their hair long (76%), and two-thirds say it is very important to them that children in their families also keep their hair long (67%). (For more analysis of Sikhs’ views on passing religious traditions on to their children, see Chapter 8 .)

Vast majority of Sikh adults in India say they keep their hair long

Sikhs are more likely than Indian adults overall to say they attend religious services every day – 40% of Sikhs say they go to the gurdwara (Sikh house of worship) daily. By comparison, 14% of Hindus say they go to a Hindu temple every day. Moreover, the vast majority of Sikhs (94%) regard their holy book, the Guru Granth Sahib, as the word of God, and many (37%) say they read it, or listen to recitations of it, every day.

Sikhs in India also incorporate other religious traditions into their practice. Some Sikhs (9%) say they follow Sufi orders, which are linked with Islam, and about half (52%) say they have a lot in common with Hindus. Roughly one-in-five Indian Sikhs say they have prayed, meditated or performed a ritual at a Hindu temple.

Sikh-Hindu relations were marked by violence in the 1970s and 1980s, when demands for a separate Sikh state covering the Punjab regions in both India and Pakistan (also known as the Khalistan movement) reached their apex. In 1984, Prime Minister Indira Gandhi was assassinated by her Sikh bodyguards as revenge for Indian paramilitary forces storming the Sikh Golden Temple in pursuit of Sikh militants. Anti-Sikh riots ensued in Northern India, especially in the state of Punjab.

India’s Sikhs are nearly universally proud of their national, state identities

According to the Indian census, the vast majority of Sikhs in India (77%) still live in Punjab, where Sikhs make up 58% of the adult population. And 93% of Punjabi Sikhs say they are very proud to live in the state.

Sikhs also are overwhelmingly proud of their Indian identity. A near-universal share of Sikhs say they are very proud to be Indian (95%), and the vast majority (70%) say a person who disrespects India cannot be a Sikh. And like India’s other religious groups, most Sikhs do not see evidence of widespread discrimination against their community – just 14% say Sikhs face a lot of discrimination in India, and 18% say they personally have faced religious discrimination in the last year.

At the same time, Sikhs are more likely than other religious communities to see communal violence as a very big problem in the country. Nearly eight-in-ten Sikhs (78%) rate communal violence as a major issue, compared with 65% of Hindus and Muslims.

The BJP has attempted to financially compensate Sikhs for some of the violence that occurred in 1984 after Indira Gandhi’s assassination, but relatively few Sikh voters (19%) report having voted for the BJP in the 2019 parliamentary elections. The survey finds that 33% of Sikhs preferred the Indian National Congress Party – Gandhi’s party.

  • Ahmed, Hilal. 2019. “ Siyasi Muslims: A story of political Islams in India .” ↩
  • All survey respondents, regardless of religion, were asked, “Are you from a General Category, Scheduled Caste, Scheduled Tribe or Other Backward Class?” By contrast, in the 2011 census of India, only Hindus, Sikhs and Buddhists could be enumerated as members of Scheduled Castes, while Scheduled Tribes could include followers of all religions. General Category and Other Backward Classes were not measured in the census. A detailed analysis of differences between 2011 census data on caste and survey data can be found here . ↩
  • According to the 2004 and 2009 National Election Studies by the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), roughly half of Indians or more said that marriages of boys and girls from different castes should be  banned . In 2004, a majority also said this about people from different religions. ↩
  • In both the 2004 and 2009 National Election Studies (organized by CSDS), roughly half of Indians said that “There should be a legal ban on religious conversions.” ↩
  • This includes 0.2% of all Indian adults who now identify as Hindu but give an ambiguous response on how they were raised – either saying “some other religion” or saying they don’t know their childhood religion. ↩
  • Puja is a specific worship ritual that involves prayer along with rites like offering flowers and food, using vermillion, singing and chanting. ↩
  • Fifteen named deities were available for selection, though no answer options were read aloud. Respondents could select up to three of those 15 deities by naming them or selecting the corresponding image shown on a card. The answer option “another god” was available on the card or if any other deity name was volunteered by the respondent. Other possible answer options included “I do not have a god I feel closest to” and “I have many personal gods,” though neither was on the card. See the questionnaire or topline for the full list of gods offered. ↩
  • The religious origins of karma are debated by scholars, but the concept has deep roots in Hinduism, Buddhism, Sikhism and Jainism. ↩
  • For an analysis of Jain theology on the concept of  jiva  (soul) see Chapple, Christopher K. 2014. “Life All Around: Soul in Jainism.” In Biernacki, Loriliai and Philip Clayton, eds. “ Panentheism Across the World’s Traditions .” ↩

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Diversity and Change in Modern India: Economic, Social and Political Approaches

Diversity and Change in Modern India: Economic, Social and Political Approaches

Diversity and Change in Modern India: Economic, Social and Political Approaches

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India's society, economy, and polity have been transformed at a gathering pace since the early 1990s, and India's growing role on the world stage makes it imperative to understand the roots and consequences of these changes. The eleven chapters in this interdisciplinary volume review the growing body of data that help to make sense of these changes and to understand their likely significance. The volume provides systematic, macro-level studies of economic, demographic, social, and political change in India but also micro-level analyses of the detailed mechanisms ‘on the ground’ of how Indian society is being re-shaped. This combination of micro- and macro-level analyses thus gives a picture not only of national trends but also of the underlying processes of change. Each of the chapters showcases the fruits of previously unpublished scholarship across the social sciences.

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The Shooting Star

Inspiring Indians Using Social Media to Drive Positive Change.

digital empowerment india

Technology in general, and social media in particular, have recently received a lot of flack. Many complain, even in a digital India, that they are a waste of time, paint unrealistic expectations of travel (and life) and make us anti-social.

In the past year though, I’ve discovered some surprising ways in which the internet is being used to drive positive change. During my year-long collaboration with Airtel , documenting stories of digital empowerment in India , I’ve come across inspiring individuals and organisations leveraging technology to fight gender stereotypes among tribal women in Madhya Pradesh, help farmers in Haryana make climate resilient agricultural decisions, document traditional medicine in a remote mountain desert, and rescue bruised and battered horses in Karnataka.

Behold, a small selection of inspiring stories from across the country, that prove that there are two sides to every coin, including social media:

Digital India: An app that enables teachers to teach kids about sustainability

When my friend Helene, who runs the beautiful Secret Garden in Goa , introduced me to Simran Mulchandani, I had no idea how a single mobile app could have the potential to revolutionise formal schooling. As you might be aware, schools in South Asia are very different from our western counterparts. The emphasis on academic grades trumps personal growth and out-of-the-box thinking. That’s exactly what Simran’s (and his colleagues Priyanka Seth Pandit and Karishma Menon) brainchild “ Project Rangeet ” aims to address – and after rolling out across 3,000 schools in Bangladesh, they are dreaming of a digital India and setting up pilots across Delhi, Andhra Pradesh and Pune.

Project Rangeet’s app is designed to empower teachers to deliver lessons on sustainability and other important issues like gender inequality – through music, art and storytelling. The app can track the quality of lessons on a micro level, and incentives are designed to reward hard-working teachers. While beta testing the Indian version of the app, I wistfully wished it had rolled out when I was in school!

If you have access to an educational institution and care about sustainability reaching Indian classrooms, reach out to Project Rangeet to explore a collaboration.

Also read: 15 Sustainable Travel Tips for Authentic, Meaningful Experiences on the Road

Digital India: A sanctuary that relies on Instagram to rescue and rehabilitate horses and donkeys

View this post on Instagram A post shared by The Backwater Sanctuary (@thebackwatersanctuary) on Jun 14, 2019 at 8:50pm PDT

On the idyllic Karnataka countryside, Zoha Jung, the founder of The Backwater Sanctuary , has dedicated her life to rescuing and rehabilitating horses, ponies, donkeys and mules who have suffered immensely at the hands of humans. These animals often have broken spirits and limbs after being worked to the ground for riding, pulling carts and carrying loads.

What does digital India have to do with this? Much to my surprise, Zoha told me that she can’t imagine her sanctuary functioning like it does without Instagram! She painstakingly documents the often disturbing rescues and their inspiring recoveries on her Instagram posts and stories. And her niche community responds by helping identify and plan new rescues, as well as sponsoring the existing ones.

We can support The Backwater Sanctuary’s incredible work by sponsoring one of their rescues or donating whatever possible; DM them on Instagram if you’d like to contribute. Also, please say a firm no to riding these animals, using them in weddings or making them carry loads on a trek.

Also read: How to Travel as a Vegan and Find Delicious Food Anywhere in the World

Digital India: Using technology to connect tribal women with urban female mentors

It’s a shame that even in 2020, many women in rural (and urban) India are only expected to fulfill the duties of a wife, mother, cook and cleaner. Project GOAL by the Digital Empowerment Foundation (DEF) strives to challenge such conventions. In their pilot project, DEF selected a handful of women from a tribal village in Madhya Pradesh, introduced them to the internet and social media, and connected each with an urban female entrepreneur.

The weekly mentorship calls aimed to help build connections that broadened the perspectives of both rural and urban women, by learning about the challenges and aspirations of their counterparts. This year, Facebook has partnered with DEF to roll out this unique mentorship project on a larger scale – and I hope to join it as a mentor someday!

Connect with DEF to follow their unique and inspiring work in digital India .

Also read: How Responsible Tourism Can Challenge Patriarchy in India

India’s first Instagram channel run entirely by rural Himalayan storytellers!

View this post on Instagram A post shared by The People of Munsiari (@voicesofmunsiari) on Nov 2, 2019 at 7:48am PDT

Back in 2017, in the remote reaches of Uttarakhand’s Munsiyari district, began India’s first (and only) Instagram channel to be run entirely by a rural village community . We began with just a few smartphones, a handful of young adults and a basic Instagram tutorial. In 2018, we crowdsourced 10 smartphones (big thank you again to those of you who contributed), held a photography and Instagram workshop in the village (supported by professional photographer Jayashree) and garnered interest from many women in the village to join the community-run channel.

In 2019, Alka Rautela, a university student and one of the youngest storytellers on the channel, saved up her money to buy a DSLR camera and further her interest in photography (follow her dreamy work on Instagram @alka_rautela ). Soon, her sister Pallawi, even younger than Alka, took on the role of the official photographer for the annual village mela and produced some amazing work (follow her on Instagram @pallawi_rautela ).

Follow @voicesofmunsiari on Instagram, or better still, stay in Sarmoli’s community-run homestays to learn about their mountain world and their connection with digital India.

Also read: Awe-Inspiring Homestays in the Uttarakhand Himalayas to Tune Out of Life and Tune into the Mountains

How has technology or social media changed your world in a positive way?

Cover photo: Darshan Gajara  on  Unsplash

Join my adventures around the world on  Instagram ,  Facebook  and  Twitter .

Order a copy of my bestselling book,  The Shooting Star .

digital india, social media for good, social media positive change

Welcome to my blog, The Shooting Star. I’ve been called a storyteller, writer, photographer, digital nomad, “sustainability influencer,” social entrepreneur, solo traveller, vegan, sustainable tourism consultant and environmentalist. But in my heart, I’m just a girl who believes that travel – if done right – has the power to change us and the world we live in.

the shooting star academy, get paid to travel course

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19 comments.

Shivya – Thank you for this post. You are right that we can complain tons but only when we do something positive is when we can make a difference. I have shared my details at GOAL and though I filled it quickly, I hope to get a call back. 🙂 BIG THANK YOU!

I hope you do Parul! And yes, I guess this post is a reminder for me too that every once in a while, we need to take a step back and see how we’re using (or not using) social media. It’s only a tool, we need to set the intention.

Shivya, you are just amazing, what you discover, share and take actions on. It is such a blessing to follow your work and to be part of your amazing growth. Have a productive week. As always “Minds together” from Cornelia

So grateful for all the opportunities that come my way, Cornelia!

Wonderful, Shivya.

Social media is definitely driving changes, however, time will tell whether these changes are positives or negative.

True, again it depends on how we use it. It’s just a tool at the end of the day!

Absolutely amazing post. Thanks for bringing attention to and elevating these awesome causes.

Thanks for reading Chloe; a reminder of how social media can be a powerful tool for positive change!

Social media is not bad afterall, if you know how to use it right instead of using to pull others down and draw some inspiration. Thanks for sharing this post.

Totally agree Bhavya. If nothing else, it’s a great way to raise awareness and change perceptions.

It depends on us that how we use social media.

I think social media is not a bad thing. It helps in our daily life to do work or to get useful information and to connect with family and friends. It depends upon the people that how they use social media.

  • Pingback: Inspiring Women I Met in Bhutan and What Happiness Means to Them

This is such an inspiring post. Could you share the names of some more people who are using technology to drive change?

We all love traveling and gathering experiences but honestly most of the times the purpose of doing it is totally selfish and personal. But the way you travel, responsibly and being a vegan is totally commendable and adorable. I really appreciate your thought process and mindset. Keep the good work 🙂

This is such an amazing post!

As a parent I’m always conflicted between reducing screen time vs the benefits of it. There’s so much to see and learn if used properly

Essay on The Past, Present, and Future of India

Students are often asked to write an essay on The Past, Present, and Future of India in their schools and colleges. And if you’re also looking for the same, we have created 100-word, 250-word, and 500-word essays on the topic.

Let’s take a look…

100 Words Essay on The Past, Present, and Future of India

The past of india.

India, known as Bharat in the past, has a rich history. It was home to the Indus Valley Civilization, one of the world’s oldest. Over centuries, it saw the rise and fall of many empires like Maurya, Gupta, and Mughal.

The Present of India

Today, India is the world’s largest democracy. It’s known for its cultural diversity, technological advancements, and economic growth. However, it also faces challenges like poverty, corruption, and pollution.

The Future of India

The future of India looks promising. With a growing economy and advancements in technology, it aims to become a global leader. However, to achieve this, it needs to overcome its challenges.

250 Words Essay on The Past, Present, and Future of India

India’s past is a tapestry of rich cultural heritage and complex historical events. Home to one of the world’s oldest civilizations, the Indus Valley, India has been the cradle of significant philosophical, scientific, and artistic contributions. Its history is marked by the rise and fall of empires, from the Maurya and Gupta dynasties to the Mughal Empire and British Raj, each leaving indelible imprints on the country’s socio-cultural fabric.

Looking ahead, India’s future appears promising yet fraught with challenges. The country is poised to become a global economic powerhouse, driven by its youthful population and digital revolution. However, it must address pressing issues such as climate change, population explosion, and gender inequality. The future of India hinges on its ability to leverage its strengths, such as its human capital and cultural diversity, while effectively addressing its weaknesses. In essence, India’s journey from the past, through the present, and into the future, is a fascinating study of resilience, transformation, and potential.

500 Words Essay on The Past, Present, and Future of India

India, a land of diverse cultures and rich heritage, has a history that spans thousands of years. The Indus Valley Civilization, one of the world’s oldest, laid the foundation for the region’s socio-economic and political structure. The subsequent rule of the Maurya and Gupta Empires saw the development of advanced political systems, arts, sciences, and literature.

The medieval era was marked by the establishment of Sultanates and the Mughal Empire, which contributed significantly to India’s architectural and cultural wealth. The British colonial period, however, was a time of significant upheaval. It brought about far-reaching changes in India’s social, political, and economic structures, with the introduction of modern education, railways, and the press, but also led to economic exploitation and socio-cultural disruptions.

Post-independence, India has made significant strides in various fields. It has established itself as a democratic republic, with a constitution that guarantees fundamental rights to all its citizens. Despite the challenges of diversity, India has managed to maintain unity and democratic values.

Economically, India has become one of the fastest-growing major economies in the world. India’s IT and software services sector has gained global recognition, contributing significantly to its economic growth. However, the country still grapples with issues like poverty, corruption, and inadequate public healthcare.

Looking ahead, India faces both challenges and opportunities. The country’s burgeoning youth population can be a demographic dividend if harnessed properly. However, it can also pose a challenge if not provided with adequate education and employment opportunities.

In terms of technology, India has the potential to be a global leader. The success of the Mars Orbiter Mission and the growth of tech startups indicate a promising future. However, the digital divide and issues of data privacy and cybersecurity need to be addressed.

In the socio-political realm, India needs to work on issues like gender inequality, caste discrimination, and religious intolerance. Strengthening democratic institutions and ensuring social justice will be key to India’s progress.

In conclusion, the past, present, and future of India present a fascinating journey of a civilization that has withstood the test of time and continues to evolve. The challenges are many, but the potential for growth and progress is immense. The future of India depends on how effectively it can address its challenges and leverage its opportunities.

Apart from these, you can look at all the essays by clicking here .

Happy studying!

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essay on positive changes in india

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What are the positive and negative impacts of rapid development in India?

essay on positive changes in india

Positive impacts of rapid development in India

Social 

  • More people have access to clean water and medical care.
  • In some areas, TNCs provide support to local communities by encouraging entrepreneurial opportunities providing goods for people to sell.

Economic 

  • More money is available to improve people’s quality of life through greater tax income from the growth in economic activities.
  • Wages have increased.
  • Some TNCs employ tens of thousands of people.

Environmental 

  • Income from increased economic activity is now spent on protecting the environment. For example, India’s forest cover has increased since 1990. India recorded a one per cent jump (8,021 square km) in overall forest and tree cover between 2015 and 2017 despite population and livestock pressures.

Negative impacts of rapid development in India

  • India’s growing demand for housing and infrastructure cannot be met. Almost a quarter of people in urban areas live in slums.
  • Claims of exploitation have been made against some TNCs.
  • Poor working conditions can reduce a worker’s quality of life.
  • As educated people move from rural to urban areas there is a brain drain.
  • Profits from some TNCs leave the country.
  • Some TNCs chase financial incentives to move to different areas. Some companies have relocated when tax breaks have ended.
  • There has been a significant increase in demand for energy in India. Air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions have increased as industry and transport have developed. Ten of the most polluted cities in the world are located in India.
  • Land and water pollution has increased as a result of rapid urban growth. Around 70% of India’s raw sewage flows untreated into rivers and streams.
  • Some TNCs have caused considerable environmental damage.

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More From Forbes

10 ways india has changed over the last decade.

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The Presidential Palace buildings are illuminated in Delhi. (MONEY SHARMA/AFP/Getty Images)

By James Owen

What a difference a decade makes in India.

When Control Risks set up its office in Delhi 10 years ago, India was a different country. It had just started to shake off the inertia of slow growth that had hobbled it for decades. In 2007 it was the 12th largest economy in the world in nominal terms. Today it’s the seventh largest; third, if you count by purchasing power parity. In 2013 India joined a handful of nations that have mounted successful missions to Mars. By one count, the number of multinational companies in India quadrupled in just over a decade to 2012.

The changes of the decade are not only reflected in numbers. There have been profound shifts in politics and policy, in diplomacy and digitization, in arts and sports. Well, perhaps not so much in sports – except that India won two more cricket world cups in this time.

What is certain is that India has changed remarkably in a number of ways in these 10 years. Some of these changes affect not just the country’s 1.3 billion people – but the rest of the world too. On the occasion of 10 years of Control Risks in India, we have selected what we consider to be the 10 most significant changes of the decade.

1) Emerging as one of the largest economies

India’s recent economic expansion has brought a record number of people out of poverty. A growing middle class has fueled impressive consumer growth. It is today the world’s third largest market for smart phones and the sixth largest for cars. India’s software industry employs more than 4 million people directly and more than 10 million indirectly. The breadth and depth of this growth is reflected in the extraordinary range of projects Control Risks has engaged in during this period.

But India is not just one of the world’s largest economies; it is one of the youngest too. Almost half of India’s population today is under the age of 26. While this unique demographic holds the promise of making India a thrumming engine of the world economy, it also poses the staggering challenge of finding jobs for the million-odd Indians who enter the employment market every month , not to mention providing for the health and education of such a large nation.

2) Gaining diplomatic clout

Economic heft has brought with it a greater strategic sway. Gone are the Nehruvian years of the Cold War era, when India led the global Non-Aligned Movement. In 2008, the then government staked its parliamentary majority to ratify the US-India Civil Nuclear Treaty. It heralded India into the global nuclear elite. For the last three years, India has given more aid than it has received, with neighbors Bhutan, Afghanistan and Nepal topping the list of recipients. All of this has added up to give India much more power in diplomatic negotiations. Ministers from the largest economies can be routinely seen making a beeline for Raisina Hill, the seat of power in the nation’s capital – including those from the UK keen on agreeing a post-Brexit trade deal.

India has reached out, too. This Indian government is the first one to consistently conduct diplomacy in the language of international business. Prime Minister Narendra Modi has undertaken more than 70 foreign trips since taking office in May 2014. He has been as at home on the campuses of Facebook and Google as at packed diaspora events at Madison Square Garden in New York and Wembley Stadium in London. Given his focus on trade and investment, Modi is widely promoting the fact that India jumped 30 places on the World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business list for 2018 to the 100th place.

3) Evolving federalism

Ten years ago many of our multinational clients viewed India as a single, homogenous market, not the agglomeration of 29 states that it really is. Over this past decade, the federal structure has come into a sharper focus, with more policy-making powers and funds devolving to the states and village panchayats (local governments). The mantra of cooperative federalism has morphed into a competitive federalism in which states – many with the populations of large countries – vie with each other for investment. Our clients now need to assess the political and regulatory scenarios at both the federal and state levels and pay attention to the state-wise ease of doing business rankings that are published every year.

In the middle of 2017, India implemented perhaps the boldest tax reform in history. It replaced dozens of state and federal taxes with a national one, called the Goods and Services Tax or GST. The idea is to create a more unified national market and, despite its early teething troubles, we expect the new tax to lead to greater efficiencies and a more attractive business environment.

4) Fighting corruption and black money

Another unprecedented policy move was announced on 8 November 2016. As the world woke up to hear the news of Donald Trump’s election victory, Prime Minister Modi announced the immediate withdrawal of two high-value currency notes. In one stunning move, 86% of the currency was sucked out of circulation, to be gradually replaced by new bills. The declared aim of the move was to fight black money and counterfeiting. While its success is still being debated, it made one thing clear: this government – elected on an anti-corruption manifesto – was willing to rip up the rulebook in order to drive home its agenda.

That resolve has been shown in other ways too. The Prevention of Money Laundering Act, which was implemented in 2005, has been given more teeth in recent years with an expanded Enforcement Directorate, the federal agency tasked with fighting money laundering. Between April and August of 2017, the Enforcement Directorate and the Securities and Exchange Board of India, the stock market regulator, acted against at least 331 shell companies and 100 brokerages charged with facilitating money laundering. This government has implemented Aadhaar, the world’s largest biometric identification system, which was initiated by the previous government to root out duplication of identities and safeguard welfare schemes from corruption-related leakages.

5) Forging a stricter compliance regime

Control Risks has always worked with foreign and domestic Indian companies concerned about their exposure to extra-territorial anti-corruption legislation such as the US Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and the UK Bribery Act. However, today we are also seeing nervousness around the application of a more rigorous domestic compliance regime. The Companies Act of 2013 has brought clearer accountability to corporate anti-corruption and anti-fraud measures. The Reserve Bank of India, the country’s central bank, has been given more power in 2017 to act against loan defaulters. Our clients today do not just want to fix a problem; they are seeking to instill a preventive compliance culture right across their businesses.

The challenge here is to be able to disrupt previously entrenched relationships – such as those along the supply chain or with public officials – which might require companies to trade a short-term financial hit for long-term resilience. The good news is that this kind of approach, while always hard, is being increasingly adopted by Indian and multinational companies.

6) Emergence of the modern Indian multinational

Those Indian groups that have extended their international footprint during the decade have changed in more significant ways. In January 2007, the salt-to-software conglomerate Tata Group bought Britain’s Corus Steel for $13 billion. The next month, Hindalco, the aluminium company of the Aditya Birla Group, announced the acquisition of Canada’s Novelis for $6 billion. The next year Tata Motors bought the Jaguar Land Rover car businesses from Ford Motor for $2.3 billion. Some of the global growth has been organic too: Tata Consultancy Services, a $17 billion software company that employs more than 370,000 people, operates in 46 countries now.

These acquisitions have helped change the culture of corporate India, embedding international best practices in some of India’s top companies. During the same period, Indians have been appointed to the top jobs in some of the world’s leading companies, particularly in Silicon Valley. However, family-run conglomerates still represent the largest part of the business environment in the country and acrimonious disputes that pit promoters against professional management still dominate the headlines – a trend that is likely to continue for some time.

7) Tilting to the political right

Another dark shadow lengthened on India this September. Gauri Lankesh, an award-winning journalist whose work was critical of the ruling right-wing BJP, was shot and killed at point blank range in front of her Bengaluru home. It was a horrific reflection of a murder that in 2006 had rocked Russia, where I had worked for six years before coming to India. Like Gauri, Anna Politkovskaya, an award-winning journalist who often criticised the ruling regime, was shot and killed at point blank in her block of flats in Moscow. It’s an extreme example of the shift to the hard right and the intolerance that is becoming more visible in India.

Business leaders are certainly not immune from this growing right-wing nationalism. A few months ago, I had the opportunity to discuss the changing business climate with the heads of some of the largest multinational companies in India. If there was something in common that the leaders of these various industries faced, it was a sense of nationalism coming in the way of business decisions and policies. As the most populous democracy in the world heads towards another national election in the first half of 2019, this position is unlikely to soften anytime soon.

8) Growing wealth of "godmen"

In an atmosphere filled with right-wing rhetoric, religion mixes better than ever with politics and business. And this can bestow superhuman powers to godmen of all hues.

Consider this: the fastest growing FMCG company in the country today is Patanjali, which was founded just a decade ago by Baba Ramdev, a yoga evangelist whose religious sermons on his own television channel are watched by tens of millions every day. His diet-biscuit-to-dish-washer company is now a $1.6 billion behemoth whose success has forced several multinational giants to rethink their market strategies.

In August 2017, the police arrested a guitar-wielding ‘rockstar’ godman, Gurmeet Ram Rahim, in his sprawling compound 260 km outside Delhi. While the police scrambled to contain the tens of thousands of his followers running amuck after his arrest, our clients in the area found it impossible to ship their products, an operational challenge that befuddled and frustrated them in equal measure. 

9) Changing security challenges

Operational challenges have evolved over the decade. In November 2008, ten members of Lashkar-e-Taiba, an Islamic terrorist organisation based in Pakistan, launched coordinated attacks at various locations across India’s financial capital, Mumbai. The event, which lasted four days and cost 164 human lives, changed India’s approach to terrorism, instilling a resolve to fight terrorism in a more coordinated way. The other internal security threat at the time – extreme leftist Maoist insurgents – has subsided over the years, though bandhs (or shutdown strikes) do still occur frequently.

Clients today are looking at a broader range of security risks, such as those related to labor activism, restructuring and cyber extortion. Putting in place mitigation steps tailored to these scenarios is essential, not to mention the business continuity measures to navigate natural disasters such as the Chennai floods of 2015 or communal protests, such as when the ethnic Jat community paralyzed the state of Haryana for more than a week in 2016 and cut off the main water supply to Delhi for days.

The terrible state of Delhi’s air is an existential challenge that – in contrast to other polluted cities like Beijing – has elicited little meaningful government action. The worsening pollution is setting off loud ‘duty of care’ alarm bells in embassies, multinationals and Indian companies across one of the world’s largest capital cities by population.

10) Leaping into a digital future : One of the dividends of India’s young demographic is that a large number of Indians are quick adopters of new technologies. The country is supposed to have 62 internet connections per 100 people, though there is a sharp divide in the levels of access between urban and rural areas, and between men and women. The Modi government has launched Digital India, a campaign to improve the country’s digital infrastructure and offer more government services online.

This breakneck growth has come at a cost. Indian citizens are increasingly concerned about data privacy and censorship, and perhaps with good reason given the intention to link Aadhaar ID biometric details to transactions, such as opening bank accounts, obtaining a new phone and filing tax returns. The Supreme Court’s decision to affirm the inalienable right to privacy – or the right to be left alone – in September 2017 does not sit easily with the government’s digital mission, but the agenda is here to stay and many Indian companies are leveraging artificial intelligence, data analytics and machine learning to disrupt their markets and deliver competitive edge.

These 10 extraordinary changes remind us that, as Control Risks steps into its second decade in India, the challenges and opportunities in front of us are quite different from those that faced us and our clients a decade ago. We have a fantastic team to take on those challenges. What we can assure you is that we will keep a keen eye on the shape of things to come.

James Owen is a Senior Partner at Control Risks, the specialist global risk consultancy. He heads the South Asia business and is based in Delhi.

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Article contents

Demographic transition in india: insights into population growth, composition, and its major drivers.

  • Usha Ram Usha Ram International Institute for Population Sciences, Department of Public Health and Mortality Studies
  •  and  Faujdar Ram Faujdar Ram Population Council of India and International Institute for Population Sciences
  • https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190632366.013.223
  • Published online: 26 April 2021

Globally, countries have followed demographic transition theory and transitioned from high levels of fertility and mortality to lower levels. These changes have resulted in the improved health and well-being of people in the form of extended longevity and considerable improvements in survival at all ages, specifically among children and through lower fertility, which empowers women. India, the second most populous country after China, covers 2.4% of the global surface area and holds 18% of the world’s population. The United Nations 2019 medium variant population estimates revealed that India would surpass China in the year 2030 and would maintain the first rank after 2030. The population of India would peak at 1.65 billion in 2061 and would begin to decline thereafter and reach 1.44 billion in the year 2100. Thus, India’s experience will pose significant challenges for the global community, which has expressed its concern about India’s rising population size and persistent higher fertility and mortality levels. India is a country of wide socioeconomic and demographic diversity across its states. The four large states of Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, and Rajasthan accounted for 37% of the country’s total population in 2011 and continue to exhibit above replacement fertility (that is, the total fertility rate, TFR, of greater than 2.1 children per woman) and higher mortality levels and thus have great potential for future population growth. For example, nationally, the life expectancy at birth in India is below 70 years (lagging by more than 3 years when compared to the world average), but the states of Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan have an average life expectancy of around 65–66 years.

The spatial distribution of India’s population would have a more significant influence on its future political and economic scenario. The population growth rate in Kerala may turn negative around 2036, in Andhra Pradesh (including the newly created state of Telangana) around 2041, and in Karnataka and Tamil Nadu around 2046. Conversely, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, and Rajasthan would have 764 million people in 2061 (45% of the national total) by the time India’s population reaches around 1.65 billion. Nationally, the total fertility rate declined from about 6.5 in early 1960 to 2.3 children per woman in 2016, a result of the massive efforts to improve comprehensive maternal and child health programs and nationwide implementation of the national health mission with a greater focus on social determinants of health. However, childhood mortality rates continue to be unacceptably high in Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Rajasthan, and Madhya Pradesh (for every 1,000 live births, 43 to 55 children die in these states before celebrating their 5th birthday). Intertwined programmatic interventions that focus on female education and child survival are essential to yield desired fertility and mortality in several states that have experienced higher levels. These changes would be crucial for India to stabilize its population before reaching 1.65 billion. India’s demographic journey through the path of the classical demographic transition suggests that India is very close to achieving replacement fertility.

  • demographic transition
  • contraception
  • family planning
  • life expectancy
  • child mortality

India is one of the oldest civilizations and has a vibrant cultural heritage coupled with remarkable diversity. The Mughals ruled the country from 1526 to 1761 , and were mainly located north of Vindhyanchal. India was a British colony from 1612 until 1947 , when the country attained its independence and became a sovereign nation. The British occupied all of present-day India after defeating Tipu Sultan in Mysuru and Marathas in Maharashtra. The British East India Company governed India and controlled trade throughout the region, except for Goa, which the Portuguese controlled in 1510–1961 , and Pondicherry, which the French controlled in 1673–1693 and again in 1699–1962 .

India has conducted a regular decadal census since 1881 that measures population size and composition as well as decadal growth at the national and subnational levels (including states, districts, and tehsils). At the dawn of Indian independence, there were about 345 million Indians. The year 1951 witnessed the first census of an independent India, recording a total population of 361 million and a moderate annual exponential growth rate of 1.25% during 1941–1951 . From a population growth perspective, the year 1951 became a turning point because it indicated a population explosion since it multiplied threefold by 2001 .

According to a United Nations (UN, 2019 ) report, India constituted 17.7% of the total world population, and was second only to China, whose share was 18.5%. The same estimates revealed that India would not only surpass China in the year 2030 with its share of 17.6% (and China’s would decrease to 17.1%) but it would also maintain the first rank after 2030 . The report further indicated that Africa’s share would rise to 25.6% in 2050 and 39.4% in 2100 . In contrast, the percentage share of Asia would decline from 59.5% in 2020 to 43.4% in 2100 . By 2100 , India would attain the first rank as far as the share of a single country is concerned. Nonetheless, its relative share would decline to 16.8% in 2050 and 13.3% in 2100 . It is thus essential to examine the dynamics of population growth, its potential, and future drivers of population growth of India.

The rapid population growth caused by a comparatively quick decline in mortality and persisting higher fertility levels has been the cause of concern in most developing counties, including India. The 1961 census of India revealed an annual exponential national growth rate close to 2% during 1951–1961 . The concerns were raised about the population growth and its rising size, both nationally and globally. The demographics of India—population size, growth rate, fertility, mortality, and so on—continue to occupy significant space discussions concerning its impact on various global health and developmental indicators. Alarmed at burgeoning numbers, and a view to accelerating a rapid decline in fertility levels, many developing countries, especially in Southeast Asia, launched official family planning programs in the mid-1960s. In the 1970s and 1980s, most witnessed a strong commitment by leaders to reduce fertility levels. As a result, they experienced one of the fastest transitions in levels of fertility (Pathak & Ram, 1981 ; Srinivasan & Pathak, 1981 ). Although India launched an official family planning program in the early 1950s, the real inputs for the program were recorded from the 1960s, when the program became method-mixed and target oriented. Post-independence, upon the advice of several researchers (Chitre, 1964 ; Gopalaswamy, 1962 ; Laxmi, 1964 ), the Indian government implemented its official family planning program in 1952 that promoted sterilization on a large scale. This was considered as the most cost-effective and impactful approach by the government given resource constraints. However, Agarwala ( 1964 ) disagreed with this and criticized the program. Recently, Srinivasan ( 2006 ) also opined that the continuous focus on sterilization (female) has dominated the Indian national family planning program. In the mid-1960s, government expanded the basket of methods for the clients and included IUD into the program. This, nonetheless failed due to several side effects on the users (Pujari et al., 1967 ).

The well-known linguistic, economic, and social-cultural diversity of India and its century-old demographic diversity across geographies have expanded, especially since independence. Several states in India, including Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu in the southern region, have moved much faster in achieving the national goal of the replacement fertility. The onset of fertility transition in these southern states occurred when the social and development indicators such as female literacy rates, per capita income, mortality and so on were rather poorer. At the same time, Hindi-speaking states in the northern region, including Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh, continue to experience high levels of fertility as well as mortality. Nationally, fertility levels in India have fallen, and by 2000 Indian women were having an average of about 3.3 children. A significant portion of this decline came from the states in the southern region, where female literacy rates were higher, and women enjoyed greater autonomy than the women in the rest of India. While the southern states of Kerala and Tamil Nadu attained replacement-level fertility long ago, the giant northern states of Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, and Rajasthan continue to reproduce at a prodigious rate (Krishnamoorthy, 1997 ; Rajan, 1994 ; Seal & Talwar, 1994 ). It is important to note that the prevailing social and economic conditions in the southern states at the time of onset of fertility transitions varied considerably. The doctrine of demographic-transition theory advocates indicates that a rise in per capita income, industrialization, and urbanization subsequently leads to reduced levels of fertility and mortality in populations. However, this did not happen in Kerala. Fertility and mortality levels in Kerala were not accompanied by the concurrent improvements in the levels of per capita income, industrialization, and urbanization (Zachariah, 1983 ).

Until the end of the 20th century , family welfare programs and policies in India focused on lowering fertility rates because the authorities visualized that the persisting higher fertility rates would further add to the built-in growth momentum of its population age composition. The UN’s ( 1987 ) population projections revealed that the population momentum alone would add substantially to growing numbers in India. Visaria and Visaria ( 1994 ) warned that the ultimate population size of India would be enormous if the country failed to put a brake on the fertility rate and achieved the replacement levels before 2016 . It would thus be useful to elaborate on the demographic transition in India and identify gaps to provide future directions for the program to enable positive changes in matters of population growth, thereby improving the lives and well-being of its people. The national scenario masks the diversity across states. Thus, achieving the goals may be less feasible without any understanding of the issues at the subnational level. This article documents the demographic transition of India at the national and subnational levels and examines various drivers of the transition.

The data for the present research come from several sources. The world population for the past and future years comes from the UN’s ( 2019 ) World Population Prospects . The time-series data for India on population size, growth rates, and age distribution at the national and state levels come from Indian government censuses conducted between 1881 and 2011 . The Government of India’s National Commission on Population (NCP, 2019 ) projections provides the numbers for the period 2021–2036 . The indicators of fertility (total fertility rates) and mortality (infant mortality rate, under-5 mortality rate, and life expectancy at birth come) are from various rounds of the Indian government’s Sample Registration System (SRS). The data for multiple years is available in the annual statistical reports published by the Registrar General of India ( 2020 ). The information on contraceptive use and marriage comes from the National Family Health Surveys (International Institute for Population Sciences [IIPS], 1993 ; IIPS & ICF, 2017 ; IIPS & ORC-Macro, 2000 , 2007 ). Figures and tables presented throughout the article give detailed data from these sources.

Demographic Transition Theory: A Brief Description

The demographers Warren Thompson ( 1929 ) and Adolphe Landry circa 1934 (Landry, 1987 ), described the classical demography/population transition. However, Frank W. Notestein ( 1945 ), an American demographer proposed a precise framework and presented a systematic formulation of the theory in its real sense According to the demographic transition theory, most countries will go through a process of population change from the stage of high birth and death rates (pretransition stage 1) to the last stage of lowest birth and death rates (stage 4). In other words, countries move from the lowest pretransition stage 1 (sometimes negative growth rate) to the highest growth rate (stages 2 and 3) before reaching stage 4, when the growth rate is extremely low (occasionally negative) and the country has attained below-replacement fertility. According to the theory, the demographic transition of a nation can be described with the help of the growth rates if the country has regular censuses over a reasonably long period. In his critical exploration of the demographic transition, Kirk ( 1996 ) stated that

the timing of the decline in countries with Non-European tradition conformed to the forecast by the original authors of the theory, without exception, fall in mortality preceded the decline in the levels of fertility . . . In general, the transition period was shorter in Non-European countries than the countries inhabited by Europeans. (p. 383)

Further, the non-European countries are transitioning with a lower level of socioeconomic development (Cleland & Wilson, 1987 ).

Several researchers (Kaa, 1987 , 2002 ; Lesthaeghe, 2011 , 2014 ; Lesthaeghe & Surkyn, 2004 ) have referred to a second demographic transition (SDT). The SDT is a period of continued fertility decline much below-replacement fertility. The most critical factors related to this continued decline are increase in nonmarriage, individual autonomy, self-actualization, rising symmetry in sex roles, advancing female education, and economic independence of women (for details, see Lesthaeghe, 2014 ). Nevertheless, the postulate of SDT based on the experiences of European countries may not hold in developing countries (Cleland, 2001 ; Dyson, 2010 ). The SDT, nevertheless, is much more challenging than the original demographic transition because the countries face declining population sizes, shrinking working population, and graying population. To an extent, replacement migration could help these nations overcome these emerging challenges. Coleman ( 2006 ), using the emergence of migrants as the dominant community in some geographies compared to the natives, advocated the concept of the third demographic transition (TDT), which emphasizes the drastic change in population composition. However, the idea of TDT could be a reflection of the adjustment for the shrinking labor force that arises out of SDT, and it does not fit into the purview of demographic transition theory per se.

This section discusses changes in population size, growth and its age-sex composition over time to understand India’s population transition. This is followed by a detailed exploration of the crucial factors that led to population transition. For this, we have considered four major drivers of population change that include fertility, mortality, family planning and changes in marriage pattern. Changes in fertility levels have been studied using total fertility rate. The changes in mortality have been studied using three indicators of infant mortality, under-5 mortality and expectation of life at birth. The changes in contraceptive use is examined with the help of contraceptive prevalence rate. Finally, changes in marriage pattern is examined with the help of percentage of women aged 20–24 years who were married before reaching age 18 years and women aged 30–34 years who remained single.

Population Size, Growth, and Age Structure

The UN ( 2019 ) estimated a total of 7,795 million people globally in 2020 . They suggested that this number would surpass 10 billion by the turn of the 21st century (Table 1 ). In 2020 , about 60% of the people live in Asia and a little over 17% live in Africa. By 2100 , Asia would be home to 43% of the global people and Africa to 39%. The share of European countries is estimated to reduce from 9.6% in 2020 to less than 6% in 2100 . While a similar pattern is predicted for the countries in Latin America and the Caribbean and the North American regions, the share of Oceania remains unchanged. China’s population, was about 19% of the global population in 2020 , would reduce to less than 10% by 2100 . In India the share would decrease from less than 18% in 2020 to slightly over 13% in 2100 .

Table 1. Population Size and Share of the Population of World Regions, China, and India, 2020–2100

Total Population (Million) and Share (%) as of July 1

2020

2030

2050

2075

2100

Share of world regions in the world population

1,341 (17.2)

1,688 (19.7)

2,489 (25.6)

3,499 (33.1)

4,280 (39.4)

4,641 (59.5)

4,974 (58.2)

5,290 (54.3)

5,143 (48.6)

4,719 (43.4)

748 (9.6)

741 (8.7)

710 (7.3)

657 (6.2)

630 (5.8)

654 (8.4)

706 (8.3)

762 (7.8)

750 (7.1)

680 (6.3)

369 (4.7)

391 (4.6)

425 (4.4)

461 (4.4)

491 (4.5)

43 (0.6)

48 (0.6)

57 (0.6)

67 (0.6)

75 (0.7)

Share of China and India in the world population

1,439 (18.5)

1,464 (17.1)

1,402 (14.4)

1,222 (11.6)

1,065 (9.8)

1,380 (17.7)

1,504 (17.6)

1,639 (16.8)

1,609 (15.2)

1,450 (13.3)

Source: UN ( 2019 ).

The indirect estimates of crude birth and death rates for India are for the period 1901–1961 . After 1971 , the SRS, which was established in the late 1960s, started to provide the crude birth rate (CBR) and crude death rate (CDR) for India and bigger states annually. The most recent SRS estimates are available for the year 2017 . At the beginning of the 20th century , India had very high levels of crude birth and death rates (48 births/deaths per 1,000 persons; Figure 1 ), which persisted until 2021 . The death rates started to decline around 1930 and reached 16 deaths per 1,000 persons in 1971 . The CBR, too, began to fall at a much slower pace. While the CBR was 36 births per 1,000 persons in the early 1970s, the CDR was 16 deaths per 1,000 persons. This declining trend continues, and the gap between the two rates is narrowing over time. The CBR was 20 per 1,000 persons in 2017 as compared to the CDR of 6 per 1,000 persons.

Figure 1. Crude birth rate (CBR) and crude death rate (CDR) for India, 1901–2017.

At the beginning of the 20th century , India had 238 million people. The results of the first census of the new millennium revealed that India had crossed the one billion mark by the end of the 20th century as the 2001 census enumerated a total of 1,029 million Indians (Table 2 ). The country annually added 16.1 million people in the 1980s and 18.2 million in the 1990s. While the world population increased threefold (from 2 to 6 billion) during the last century, it grew five times in India. The 15th census of India conducted in 2011 enumerated a total of 1,210 million Indians. The population of India grew with a decadal growth rate of about 17.5% during 2001–2011 , resulting in an annual exponential growth rate of 1.62% (a decline from 1.96% observed during 1991–2001 ). Despite a substantial reduction in the growth rate during 2001–2011 , India added nearly 181 million people. The UN’s 2019 projections indicated a similar addition during 2011–2021 , before the country experienced a drastic decline in the subsequent decades.

Figure 2. Estimated and observed exponential annual population growth rate (%) during 1901–2011 and 2021–2101, respectively, for India.

Indian annual population growth peaked at 2.22% during 1961–1971 (Table 1 and Figure 2 ) and stayed around 2% for the next four decades until 2001 . This period may be referred to as the second stage (population explosion stage) of demographic transition for India, during which the country added approximately 590 million people. Between 2001 and 2011 India experienced a substantial decline in its population growth rate (from 1.95% in 1991–2001 to 1.62% in 2001–2011 ). The UN’s 2019 assessment suggested that as far as the population size as concerned, India would surpass China in the next 7–8 years and would continue to increase until the year 2061 when its population size would reach 1,650 million. India may experience a decline in its total population after 2061 and count 1,444 million people in the year 2101 . Thus, India would add another 440 million people to its 2011 population size before achieving stabilization. In other words, India is likely to enter the fourth stage (near-zero growth rate) in the next 50 years or so. For India, the third stage of the demographic transition may fall between 2011 and 2051 . The momentum inbuilt in the age structure of the population would mostly lead to its growth.

Table 2. Population Size, Intercensal Change (Absolute and Percentage), and Exponential Annual Growth Rate, India, 1901–2001

Census Year

Population (Millions)

Intercensal Population Change/Growth

Absolute Change (Millions)

% change

Exponential Annual Growth Rate (%)

Population observed

1901

238.4

1911

252.1

13.7

5.7

0.56

1921

251.3

−0.8

−0.3

−0.03

1931

279.0

27.7

11.0

1.05

1941

318.7

39.7

14.2

1.33

1951

361.1

42.4

13.3

1.25

1961

439.2

78.1

21.6

1.96

1971

548.2

109.0

24.8

2.22

1981

683.3

135.1

24.6

2.20

1991

846.4

163.1

23.9

2.14

2001

1,028.7

182.3

21.5

1.95

2011

1,210.2

181.5

17.6

1.62

Population estimated

2021

1,393.0

182.8

15.1

1.41

2031

1,513.7

120.7

8.7

0.83

2041

1,598.3

84.6

5.6

0.54

2051

1,641.2

42.9

2.7

0.26

2061

1,650.3

9.1

0.6

0.06

2071

1,626.4

−23.9

−1.4

−0.15

2081

1,576.1

−50.3

−3.1

−0.31

2091

1,512.4

−63.7

−4.0

−0.41

2101

1,443.5

−68.9

−4.6

−0.47

Source : Registrar General of India ( n.d.-a ); Population estimated from UN ( 2019 ).

Examination of the current growth rate in specific states of India, especially for the larger Indian states (in terms of population size), helps to locate growth potentials. Table 3 gives population size for 2001 and 2011 , the two recent censuses of India, absolute change and state share in the total national change during 2001–2011 , and the exponential population growth rate observed during 2001–2011 for 20 large states of India. The four states of Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, and Rajasthan deserve particular attention. With a population increase of 33.6 million, Uttar Pradesh contributed the most significant growth to the total national change of 182.2 million during 2001–2011 , followed by Bihar at 21.1 million and Maharashtra at 15.5 million. Kerala recorded the lowest annual exponential growth rate of 0.48%, followed by Andhra Pradesh (1.04%), Punjab (1.30%), and Odisha (1.31%). Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh together added 446 million (43%) of the total national addition and each state had an annual growth rate of 2% or more. These states are likely to make significant contributions to Indian population growth in the future because the fertility and mortality rates in these states are comparatively high and the decline in these rates has been much slower than that of other states. The most recent projections of the Government of India (NCP, 2019 ) indicated that by the year 2036 there would be a total of 596 million Indians, and half of them would come from these four states.

Table 3. Population Size, Intercensal Change (Absolute and Percentage), and Exponential Annual Growth Rate for Selected States of India, 2001–2011

State Name

Population (Million)

Change During 2001 –2011

Exponential Annual Growth Rate (%)

2001

2011

Absolute Change

State Share (%)

Uttar Pradesh

166.2

199.8

33.6

18.7

1.84

Maharashtra

96.9

112.4

15.5

8.2

1.48

Bihar

83.0

104.1

21.1

11.5

2.27

West Bengal

80.2

91.3

11.1

6.0

1.30

Andhra Pradesh

76.2

84.6

8.4

4.9

1.04

Madhya Pradesh

60.3

72.6

12.3

7.1

1.85

Tamil Nadu

62.4

72.1

9.7

5.5

1.45

Rajasthan

56.5

68.5

12.0

6.6

1.93

Karnataka

52.9

61.1

8.2

4.4

1.45

Gujarat

50.7

60.4

9.7

4.9

1.76

Odisha

36.8

42.0

5.2

2.7

1.31

Kerala

31.8

33.4

1.6

0.5

0.48

Jharkhand

26.9

33.0

6.1

3.3

2.02

Assam

26.7

31.2

4.5

2.2

1.58

Punjab

24.4

27.7

3.3

2.2

1.30

Chhattisgarh

20.8

25.5

4.7

2.7

2.04

Haryana

21.1

25.4

4.3

2.2

1.81

Jammu & Kashmir

10.1

12.5

2.4

1.6

2.12

Uttarakhand

8.5

10.1

1.6

1.1

1.72

Himachal Pradesh

6.1

6.9

0.8

0.5

1.22

Remaining states & Union Territories (UTs)

30.2

36.3

6.1

3.3

1.80

a Sum of states may not match to India due to rounding of the numbers.

b Undivided including Telangana.

Table 4 gives a future population scenario in the 13 large states of India subdivided into three groups based on the attainment of the replacement level of fertility. These 13 states together cover nearly 80% of the national total. Group 1 consists of four states—Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, and Madhya Pradesh—that have yet to attain replacement fertility. Group 2 and Group 3 consist of the states that have recently reached replacement fertility and a long time ago, respectively. The four large states in Group 1 have enormous potential for growth, and during 2026–2036 their combined growth rate is projected to be close to 1% (0.83%). Bihar is an outlier even within this group, with a growth rate of 1.16% annually. Group 2 states would have a growth rate of around 0.37% and Group 3 of about 0.20%. These findings indicate that a major part of India’s population growth potential lies in the four states of Group 1.

Table 4. Population Size and Year of the Attainment of Replacement Fertility in 13 Large States of India Stratified by Level of Total Fertility Rate, 2011–2036

Groups / States

Population 2011 (million)

Projected Population (million) in the Year

Year Attained Replacement Fertility

Annual exponential growth rate (%) during 2026–2036

2016

2021

2026

2031

2036

Group 1: States currently having above replacement-level fertility

Rajasthan

68.5

74.2

79.3

83.6

87.2

90.6

0.80

Uttar Pradesh

199.8

216.1

230.9

242.9

252.0

259.0

0.64

Bihar

104.1

114.2

123.1

132.3

141.0

148.6

1.16

Madhya Pradesh

72.6

78.8

84.5

89.7

94.1

97.8

0.86

Group 2: States that have attained replacement fertility since 2005

West Bengal

91.3

95.1

98.1

100.5

102.2

102.9

2005

0.24

Punjab

27.7

29.1

30.3

31.3

32.1

32.7

2005

0.44

Odisha

42.0

43.1

44.0

44.7

45.0

45.0

2012

0.07

Maharashtra

112.4

118.7

124.4

129.3

133.5

136.8

2006

0.56

-

Group 3: States attained replacement fertility before two decades

Andhra Pradesh

49.6

51.4

52.8

53.7

54.2

54.3

2,004

0.11

Karnataka

61.1

64.2

66.8

69.0

70.7

71.9

2,006

0.41

Kerala

33.4

34.6

35.5

36.2

36.7

36.9

1,988

0.19

Tamil Nadu

72.1

74.6

76.4

77.5

78.1

78.1

1,993

0.08

Telangana

35.0

36.5

37.7

38.6

39.2

39.5

2,004

0.23

Subtotal all three groups

-

a 2011 population data from the census of India.

b Projected population for the period 2016–2036 is from NCP ( 2019 ).

c Undivided including Uttarakhand.

d Undivided including Jharkhand.

e Undivided including Chattisgarh.

Source : NCP ( 2019 ).

Population Age-Sex Composition

The population age-sex composition of a country narrates historical experiences, including wars, epidemics, famines, and so on. Population age distribution and the female to male ratio are indicative of fertility and mortality levels and the social status of the women in the populations. Along with the demographic transition in India described earlier, there has been an inevitable change in the age-sex structure—that is, the decline in mortality followed by fertility has resulted in changes to the population’s age structure. Several studies have debated and discussed the role of these changes in economic growth. Sex composition (population sex ratio overall and, more important, at birth) reflects the status of women in the society. Globally, the population sex ratio (males per 1,000 females) is favorable to the female gender. An overall sex ratio of 1,030–1,050 females per 1,000 males is standard under the natural conditions. The situation is slightly different in India.

Table 5 gives the sex ratio overall and for children younger than 5 years of age for India for a period of 120 years ( 1881–2011 ) along with the absolute change in them. For India, the overall sex ratio was close to normal until around 1931 . It started to rise gradually in favor of males after that. The 1991 census of India revealed a higher overall sex ratio nationally: 1,078 males per 1,000 females. However, the scenario is different for the child sex ratio. Female children marginally outnumbered male children until 1941 as the sex ratio was in favor of the female children (960–995 male children per 1,000 female children below age 5). However, the scenario reversed when the 1951 census results were declared as the child sex ratio turned in favor of male children (1,008 male children per 1,000 female children) and has deepened over the years with the widening female-male children gap. The child sex ratio in India increased from 1,022 in 1981 to 1,047 in 1991 and further to 1,071 in 2001 and 1,082 in 2011 male children per 1,000 female children. Nationally, during the periods 1981–1991 and 1991–2001 , the child sex ratio increased astonishingly by 25 and 24 units, respectively. The distorted child sex ratio in India as well as in neighboring countries in the region has been a matter of concern and point of debate and investigations among policy makers and researchers. Many have cited widespread gender-based discrimination (neglect) in the form of son preference, lower autonomy to the women, and so on as the leading cause of this distortion. These practices result in sex-selective abortions and gender-specific mortality differentials (Bongaarts, 2013 ; Bongaarts & Guilmoto, 2015 ; Guilmoto et al., 2018 ; Jha et al., 2011 ; Kashyap, 2019 ; Ram & Ram, 2018 ).

Table 5. Sex Ratio (Males per 1,000 Females) of the Total Population and Children Younger Than 5 Years of Age, India, 1881–2011

Year

Overall (All Ages)

Children Younger Than 5 Years

Sex Ratio

Intercensal Absolute Change

Sex Ratio

Intercensal Absolute Change

1881

1,038

965

1891

1,038

0

960

−5

1901

1,029

−9

969

9

1911

1,038

9

967

−2

1921

1,047

9

962

−5

1931

1,053

6

964

2

1941

1,058

5

995

31

1951

1,056

−2

1,008

13

1961

1,063

7

1,008

0

1971

1,075

12

1,021

13

1981

1,070

−5

1,022

1

1991

1,078

8

1,047

25

2001

1,072

−6

1,071

24

2011

1,060

−12

1,082

11

Notes: The sex ratio for the years 1881 and 1891 was calculated using data from Mukherji ( 1976 ). The sex ratio for children younger than 5 years of age was calculated using data from a C-series in the respective census of India.

Source : Registrar General of India ( n.d.-b ).

A few studies have estimated a decrease in girls due to the practice of sex-selective abortions in India and found that these practices are not universal across geographies. Instead, they vary considerably in subregions of India (Jha et al., 2011 ; Ram & Ram, 2018 ). Table 6 presents the sex ratio for selected states in India for the period 1991–2011 and the change in it. Regardless of the year, Kerala is the only state that has an overall sex ratio lower than 1,000 (i.e., females exceeding the male population). In addition, the male-female gap has widened over the past two decades by almost 43 units. Punjab and Haryana have the most skewed overall sex ratio, varying between 1,117 and 1,162 males per 1,000 females. The overall sex ratio has been in favor of males in the remaining states. However, the gaps in sex ratio seemingly have bridged over time. While the decline was sharp in the states of Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal, and Assam, it has remained mostly similar in Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra. Similar to the overall sex ratio, Haryana and Punjab had a highly skewed child sex ratio, varying between 1,128 and 1,144, respectively, in 1991 and 1,190 and 1,169 in 2011 . In 2011 , Gujarat (1,110), Rajasthan (1,120), and Maharashtra (1,117) also showed a child sex ratio skewed in favor of male children. Other states also showed a considerable deficit of female children. Haryana topped the list as the child sex ratio increased by 62 units in favor of males during 1991–2011 . The corresponding increase was by 59 units in Maharashtra, 50 units in Rajasthan, 44 units in Gujarat, 42 units in Madhya Pradesh, and 30–39 units in Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Odisha, and Uttar Pradesh. Kerala was the only state where the child sex ratio improved in favor of female children by 16 units between the 1991 and 2011 censuses.

Table 6. Sex Ratio (Males per 1,000 Females) of the Total Population and Children Younger Than 5 Years of Age for India and Selected States, 1991–2011

State

Overall (All Ages)

Absolute Change: 1991–2011

Children Younger Than 5 YEARS

Absolute Change: 1991–2011

1991

2001

2011

1991

2001

2011

Andhra Pradesh

1,029

1,022

1,007

−22

1,023

1,042

1,061

38

Assam

1,084

1,070

1,044

−40

1,023

1,047

1,036

13

Bihar

1,098

1,088

1,089

−9

1,025

1,090

1,063

38

Gujarat

1,070

1,086

1,088

18

1,066

1,164

1,110

44

Haryana

1,156

1,162

1,138

−18

1,128

1,236

1,190

62

Karnataka

1,042

1,037

1,028

−14

1,040

1,063

1,048

8

Kerala

965

945

922

−43

1,051

1,028

1,035

−16

Madhya Pradesh

1,074

1,088

1,074

0

1,036

1,080

1,077

41

Maharashtra

1,071

1,084

1,076

5

1,058

1,115

1,117

59

Odisha

1,030

1,028

1,022

−8

1,028

1,060

1,058

30

Punjab

1,134

1,142

1,117

−17

1,144

1,286

1,169

25

Rajasthan

1,099

1,086

1,077

−22

1,070

1,123

1,120

50

Tamil Nadu

1,027

1,013

1,004

−23

1,052

1,047

1,059

7

Uttar Pradesh

1,138

1,114

1,096

−42

1,059

1,113

1,098

39

West Bengal

1,090

1,071

1,053

−37

1,029

1,043

1,043

14

Note: Sex ratio from respective censuses of India (Table C-6 of 1991 and C-14 of 2001 and 2011).

a Undivided including Telangana.

Almost half of the districts in the country in 2011 had a deficit of girl children. The practice of neglect of the female child resulting in sex-selective abortion and excess female mortality is universal (Guilmoto et al., 2018 ; Ram & Ram, 2018 ). A more recent analysis for India by Kashyap ( 2019 ) indicated the dominance of prenatal factors (sex-selective abortion) compared to excess female mortality (postnatal factor). Table 7 presents the sex ratio at birth (SRB) for India and selected states. The data suggest that the SRB is favorable to male children for India nationally and subnationally. Punjab and Haryana, followed by Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat, and Bihar, had a highly disturbing SRB in 1999 . For every 100 female births, Punjab and Haryana recorded 125 to 126 male births each, the other states recorded 112 to 118 male births. The male-female imbalance at birth has continued over time, although with a sign toward bridging the gaps. At the national level, the SRB has mostly remained unchanged at 112 male children for every 100 female children. Nonetheless, the imbalance has widened in Andhra Pradesh, Assam, and Haryana, suggesting that the efforts to address this have failed to yield desirable results. The study by Jha et al. ( 2011 ) demonstrated that the practices are more prevalent among affluent and educated people.

Table 7. Sex Ratio at Birth (Male Births Per 1,000 Female Births) and Absolute Change in Sex Ratio at Birth in India and Selected States, 1999–2016

State

Sex Ratio at Birth in the Year

Absolute Change: 1999–2016

1999

2004

2009

2013

2016

Andhra Pradesh

104

109

109

109

109

−5

Assam

102

110

108

109

109

−7

Bihar

112

116

110

110

111

1

Gujarat

118

118

111

110

117

1

Haryana

125

121

118

115

120

5

Karnataka

106

109

106

105

108

−2

Kerala

108

110

104

103

105

3

Madhya Pradesh

110

110

109

108

109

1

Maharashtra

110

115

112

112

114

−4

Orissa

108

107

107

105

107

1

Punjab

126

125

120

115

113

13

Rajasthan

114

119

114

112

117

−3

Tamil Nadu

107

106

108

109

110

−3

Uttar Pradesh

115

116

115

115

114

1

West Bengal

105

108

107

105

106

−1

a Undivided including Telangana for the years 1999, 2004, 2009, and 2013.

b Undivided including Jharkhand for the year 1999.

c Undivided including Chhattisgarh for the year 1999.

d Undivided including Uttarakhand for the years 1999, 2004, and 2009.

Source: Sex ratio from the annual statistical report of the Sample Registration System of India.

Table 8 presents age distribution by sex and dependency ratios (child, old age, and overall) for the period 1981–2011 (census of India) and 2036 for India (NCP, 2019 ). Figures 3A and 3B present age-sex population pyramids. The results in Table 8 suggest a visible change in the age structure over the decades. Nationally, the share of children below age 15 in the total population declined to from about 40% in 1981 to 31% in 2011 . The NCP ( 2019 ) projections indicated that the share would decrease to 20% by 2036 . The percentage of people aged 60 years and older increased to 9% in 2011 and is estimated to reach 15% in 2036 (over 227 million). The changes in the dependency ratios for children and older people also confirm a transition in the age structure. While the child dependency ratio in India declined from 73% in 1981 and to 51% in 2011 , the dependency ratio for older people increased marginally from 12% to 14%. The official population projections suggest that in 2036 the child dependency ratio would further decline to 30% and the dependency ratio for older people would increase to 23% nationally. In 2001 , India had about 587 million people in the working ages, between 15 and 59 years. Those aged 15–34 years accounted for nearly 60% (349 million). The number of people in the working ages of 15–59 years and 15–34 years increased to 733 million and 425 million, respectively, in the year 2011 . Population projections suggest that in 2036 , while the number of people of working age would increase to almost 989 million, young labor would reach 464 million. Such changes would impact future economic development and would call on the government to initiate innovative strategies to take care of the older population. Besides, a sharp rise in the labor force demands generation of more employment.

Table 8. Share of the Male and Female Population Out of the Total Population by Age Groups and Dependency Ratios (for Children, Older People, and Overall), India, 1981–2011 and 2036

Age Group (in Years)

Share of the Population (%) Out of a Total Population of India for the Year

1981

1991

2001

2011

Projected 2036

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

Children below 15 years of age

0–4

6.4

6.2

6.3

6.0

5.6

5.2

4.9

4.5

3.3

3.0

5–9

7.3

6.8

6.9

6.5

6.5

6.0

5.5

5.0

3.5

3.1

10–14

6.8

6.1

6.2

5.6

6.4

5.8

5.8

5.3

3.7

3.3

Working-age population

15–19

5.1

4.5

5.1

4.4

5.3

4.5

5.3

4.7

3.9

3.5

20–24

4.4

4.3

4.5

4.4

4.5

4.2

4.8

4.5

4.0

3.6

25–29

3.9

3.8

4.1

4.2

4.1

4.1

4.3

4.2

4.0

3.7

30–34

3.2

3.1

3.6

3.4

3.6

3.6

3.7

3.6

4.2

3.9

35–39

3.0

2.9

3.3

3.0

3.5

3.4

3.6

3.5

4.3

3.9

40–44

2.7

2.4

2.7

2.4

2.9

2.5

3.1

2.9

4.0

3.7

45–49

2.3

2.1

2.3

2.1

2.4

2.2

2.7

2.5

3.5

3.4

50–54

2.1

1.7

2.0

1.7

1.9

1.6

2.1

1.9

3.1

3.1

55–59

1.3

1.2

1.3

1.3

1.3

1.4

1.6

1.6

2.6

2.8

Older population (aged 60 years or older)

3.3

3.2

3.5

3.3

3.7

3.8

4.2

4.4

7.1

7.9

Dependency ratio (both sexes)

73.3

67.2

62.1

51.0

30.4

12.0

12.2

13.1

14.2

23.1

85.3

79.4

75.2

65.2

53.5

a Population is taken from the censuses of India 1981, 1991, 2001, and 2011.

b Projected population for 2036 is from NCP ( 2019 ).

c Dependency ratio from author calculations. The child dependency ratio is defined as the number of children below 15 years of age per 100 persons in the working ages of 15–59 years. The old-age dependency ratio is defined as the number of persons aged 60 years or older per 100 persons in the working ages of 15–59 years. The overall dependency ratio is defined as the number of children below 15 years of age and persons aged 60 years or older per 100 persons in the working ages of 15–59 years.

Figure 3A. Age-sex population pyramids of India, 1991.

Figure 3B. Age-sex population pyramids of India, 2036.

Major Drivers of Population Growth

Three drivers impact the population growth rate and are responsible for demographic transition: fertility, mortality, and international migration. Generally speaking, international migration has a limited role, as its volume is small. Thus, it is mainly the changes in fertility and mortality levels in a population that lead to demographic transition. This section discusses fertility and mortality transition in India and specific programmatic interventions responsible for the change in the fertility and mortality levels. India lacks good quality civil registration data on births and deaths (Ram et al., 2020 ; Yadav & Ram, 2019 ). Until the early 1970s, the estimated fertility and mortality for India and its states came from indirect methods that used census data stratified by age and sex. In the early 1970s, the Registrar General of India launched an annual nationwide system of collecting data on fertility and mortality (known as the sample registration system; SRS), which provides invaluable data for India and its states, especially for the bigger states. For the most part, the present research used fertility and mortality data from the SRS.

Figure 4 presents the total fertility rate (TFR) for India spanning over nearly 150 years (Ram et al., 1995 ). The TFR gives the number of children a woman would have at the end of the reproductive period, assuming that she experiences the prevailing age patterns of fertility. The data suggests that the TFR in India virtually remained unchanged at around 6.3 children per woman from 1871–1881 until 1951–1961 (standard deviation = 0.27). There has been little fluctuation in the TFR, which is mainly attributed to the variations in the quality of age-sex data in different censuses (Mukherji, 1976 ). Coale’s ( 1986 ) proposition of survival strategy postulates that a TFR of less than six for the expectation of life at birth (e o o ) of 20–25 years could lead to a zero or negative population growth. Thus, under a high mortality regime, maintaining a TFR of 6 and above was an excellent strategy to ensure moderate positive population growth. The decline in the TFR during the period 1896–1901 might have been the result of the famines of 1896–1997 and 1899–1901 , which were among the worst ever experienced in history and affected substantial sections of the population (Dyson, 1991 ).

The fertility transition in India most likely began during the late 1960s. Since the inception of fertility transition, the TFR in India declined by 19% to about 1.1 fewer children per woman during the first decade ( 1966–1971 to 1976–1981 ). The 1960s witnessed a substantial change in the family planning program in India, which became target-oriented and included the introduction of intrauterine devices to the official program in 1965 . The initial inherent demand for family planning and a persistently higher level of fertility may have been the reason for a relatively faster fertility decline during the first decade following the onset of the demographic transition. In the next decade ( 1976–1981 to 1986–1991 ), although the decrease in fertility continued, its pace slowed down. The decline in TFR slowed down notably in the subsequent decade of 1976–1981 to 1986–1991 when the reduction was only about 15%. The coercive approach adopted during the emergency period ( 1975–1977 ) was mainly responsible for this reduction in several states, more specifically in the larger Hindi-speaking states of Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh. This in turn accelerated the decline in TFR. Between 1986–1991 and 1996–2001 , the TFR declined by 19% (from about 4 children to 3.2 children per woman). During 1996–2001 , the TFR in India declined by about 14%. The mid-1990s saw a paradigm shift in the national family planning program as the country revamped the program from a target-oriented to target-free regime. This paradigm shift resulted in an initial decline/stagnation in the family planning performance in the country.

Figure 4. Total fertility rate, India, 1871–2018.

Nationally, the TFR almost halved in the 30 years between 1986 and 2016 from 4.2 to 2.3 children per woman (Table 9 ). Many states in India showed a similar trend. Rural India also experienced a decline in the TFR from 4.5 in 1986 to 2.5 in 2016 . However, urban India had already achieved replacement fertility in 2006 . Of the states included in this analysis, eight states have already attained replacement or below-replacement fertility. The lagging states are Bihar Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh, where TFR continues to be close to 3 children per woman. As noted, these are the states that are or could be center for India population growth in the coming years. The urban areas in several states attained replacement or below-replacement fertility in 2016 : the urban areas had a TFR of as low as 1.3 children per woman in West Bengal, 1.4 in Odisha, 1.5 in Andhra Pradesh, and 1.6 in Karnataka and Tamil Nadu. Further, the rural areas of Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Maharashtra, Punjab, Tamil Nadu, and West Bengal had a TFR that varied between 1.7 and 1.9 children per woman in 2016 .

Table 9. Total Fertility Rate for Combined, Rural, and Urban Areas and the Ratio of Rural to Urban Rate for India and Selected States, 1986–2016

Country/States

Total Fertility Rate

Change (%) 1986–2016

1986

1996

2006

2016

Combined areas

Andhra Pradesh

3.8

2.5

2.0

1.7

−55.3

Assam

4.0

3.2

2.7

2.3

−42.5

Bihar

5.2

4.5

4.2

3.3

−36.5

Gujarat

3.8

3.0

2.7

2.2

−42.1

Haryana

4.4

3.5

2.7

2.3

−47.7

Karnataka

3.5

2.6

2.1

1.8

−48.6

Kerala

2.3

1.8

1.7

1.8

−21.7

Madhya Pradesh

4.9

4.1

3.5

2.8

−42.9

Maharashtra

3.6

2.8

2.1

1.8

−50.0

Orissa

4.2

3.1

2.5

2.0

−52.4

Punjab

3.4

2.8

2.1

1.7

−50.0

Rajasthan

5.0

4.2

3.5

2.7

−46.0

Tamil Nadu

2.7

2.1

1.7

1.6

−40.7

Uttar Pradesh

5.4

4.9

4.2

3.1

−42.6

West Bengal

3.6

2.6

2.0

1.6

−55.6

Rural areas

Andhra Pradesh

4.1

2.7

2.1

1.7

−58.5

Assam

4.2

3.4

3.0

2.4

−42.9

Bihar

5.3

4.6

4.3

3.4

−35.8

Gujarat

4.0

3.2

3.0

2.5

−37.5

Haryana

4.8

3.8

2.9

2.4

−50.0

Karnataka

3.7

2.8

2.3

1.9

−48.6

Kerala

2.3

1.8

1.7

1.8

−21.7

Madhya Pradesh

5.4

4.4

3.9

3.1

−42.6

Maharashtra

4.0

3.2

2.3

1.9

−52.5

Orissa

4.3

3.3

2.6

2.1

−51.2

Punjab

3.6

3.0

2.1

1.7

−52.8

Rajasthan

5.3

4.5

3.8

2.8

−47.2

Tamil Nadu

2.8

2.2

1.8

1.7

−39.3

Uttar Pradesh

5.8

5.1

4.4

3.4

−41.4

West Bengal

4.2

2.9

2.2

1.7

−59.5

Urban areas

Andhra Pradesh

3.1

2.1

1.6

1.5

−51.6

Assam

2.5

2.1

1.6

1.6

−36.0

Bihar

4.2

3.2

3.0

2.5

−40.5

Gujarat

3.3

2.6

2.3

1.9

−42.4

Haryana

3.3

2.7

2.4

2.0

−39.4

Karnataka

2.9

2.1

1.7

1.6

−44.8

Kerala

2.2

1.8

1.7

1.8

−18.2

Madhya Pradesh

3.5

2.5

2.4

2.1

−40.0

Maharashtra

3.0

2.4

1.8

1.6

−46.7

Orissa

3.1

2.3

1.7

1.4

−54.8

Punjab

3.1

2.2

1.9

1.6

−48.4

Rajasthan

3.8

3.0

2.7

2.3

−39.5

Tamil Nadu

2.4

1.8

1.6

1.6

−33.3

Uttar Pradesh

4.0

3.7

3.2

2.4

−40.0

West Bengal

2.3

1.8

1.3

1.3

−43.5

Ratio: Rural to urban

Andhra Pradesh

1.3

1.3

1.3

1.1

−14.3

Assam

1.7

1.6

1.9

1.5

−10.7

Bihar

1.3

1.4

1.4

1.4

7.8

Gujarat

1.2

1.2

1.3

1.3

8.6

Haryana

1.5

1.4

1.2

1.2

−17.5

Karnataka

1.3

1.3

1.4

1.2

−6.9

Kerala

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

−4.3

Madhya Pradesh

1.5

1.8

1.6

1.5

−4.3

Maharashtra

1.3

1.3

1.3

1.2

−10.9

Orissa

1.4

1.4

1.5

1.5

8.1

Punjab

1.2

1.4

1.1

1.1

−8.5

Rajasthan

1.4

1.5

1.4

1.2

−12.7

Tamil Nadu

1.2

1.2

1.1

1.1

−8.9

Uttar Pradesh

1.5

1.4

1.4

1.4

−2.3

West Bengal

1.8

1.6

1.7

1.3

−28.4

a Undivided including Telangana for the years 1986, 1996, and 2006.

b Undivided including Jharkhand for the years 1986 and 1996.

c Undivided including Chhattisgarh for the years 1986 and 1996.

d Undivided including Uttarakhand for the years 1986, 1996, and 2006.

Source: Total fertility rate from the annual statistical report of the Sample Registration System of India.

Improved child survival and concurrent expansion of female education have led to fertility decline in developing countries like India (Davis, 1963 ; Dyson, 2010 ). We have already discussed geographic diversity in the TFR and transition. In Table 10 , we present the levels of TFR by education for India and selected states. In 1992–1993 , the TFR for India was 4.3 per woman for women who had completed fewer than 5 years of schooling (including nonliterate) compared to 3.3 for those who had 10 or more years of schooling; a difference of one child. By 2015–2016 , the TFR declined to 2.9 per woman and 1.8 for the respective groups. Over time there is no convergence in the level of fertility in lower and higher education groups as TFR declined by 45.5% among those who had 10 or more years of schooling compared to 32.6% among those who had fewer than 5 years of schooling. Nationally, around 22% of women aged 15–49 had completed 10 or more years of schooling in 1992–1993 . The share of these women increased to about 60% in 2015–2016 . Although TFR is higher for less educated people in India, their share in total women aged 15–49 has been reducing rapidly due to the expansion of education. The rise in education has a significant impact on delay in age at marriage.

A similar trend is observed at the state level as well. In 2015–2016 , with the exception of Bihar (TFR = 2.3), women who had 10 or more years of schooling had reached the replacement level of fertility. The lowest being in Punjab (TFR = 1.4) and the highest in Uttar Pradesh (TFR = 2.0). Women with 5–9 years of schooling in many states except Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh either reached replacement or below-replacement level fertility or are very close to achieving it. The four larger states (Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh) have lower child survival and limited outreach of female education. In 2015–2016 , Kerala had 95% of women aged 15–49 with 10 or more years of schooling, which was 44% in Bihar (including Jharkhand), 46% in Rajasthan, 52% in Madhya Pradesh (including Chhattisgarh), and 53% in Uttar Pradesh (including Uttarakhand).

Table 10. Total Fertility Rate by the Educational Status of the Women, India and Selected States, 1992–2016

State/India

1992–1993

1998–1999

2005–2006

2015–2016

<5 Years

5–9 Years

≥10 Years

<5 Years

5–9 Years

≥10 Years

<5 Years

5–9 Years

≥10 Years

<5 Years

5–9 Years

≥10 years

Andhra Pradesh

3.1

2.6

2.8

1.8

1.9

2.5

2.0

1.8

1.8

1.8

1.8

1.8

Assam

5.2

3.7

3.5

2.7

2.3

2.1

3.2

2.1

1.3

1.8

1.8

1.8

Bihar

4.5

4.0

3.0

3.4

2.7

2.8

4.5

3.2

2.4

2.3

2.3

2.3

Gujarat

4.1

2.9

2.8

3.1

2.6

2.3

3.2

2.4

1.7

1.5

1.5

1.5

Haryana

4.9

3.4

3.6

3.1

2.7

2.7

3.3

2.5

2.3

1.6

1.6

1.6

Karnataka

3.9

3.4

2.8

2.1

2.1

2.4

2.3

2.1

2.1

1.8

1.8

1.8

Kerala

2.9

3.0

2.7

2.3

2.4

2.5

2.2

2.1

2.0

1.6

1.6

1.6

Madhya Pradesh

4.4

3.7

2.9

3.2

2.7

2.5

3.7

2.8

1.9

1.9

1.9

1.9

Maharashtra

3.7

3.5

2.8

2.6

2.5

2.6

2.6

2.3

1.8

1.7

1.7

1.7

Orissa

3.7

4.0

2.5

2.8

2.7

2.4

2.9

2.0

1.9

1.7

1.7

1.7

Punjab

3.7

3.5

3.0

3.3

2.8

2.4

2.8

2.1

1.6

1.4

1.4

1.4

Rajasthan

4.1

3.0

3.1

3.7

2.6

2.5

3.7

2.5

1.8

1.8

1.8

1.8

Tamil Nadu

3.4

2.7

2.6

2.3

2.5

2.5

2.0

2.0

1.8

1.7

1.7

1.7

Uttar Pradesh

5.7

4.5

3.1

4.1

3.2

3.0

4.5

3.3

2.4

2.0

2.0

2.0

West Bengal

3.9

3.0

2.3

2.4

1.9

1.9

2.8

1.9

1.4

1.6

1.6

1.6

a Undivided including Telangana (1992–1993, 1998–1999, and 2005–2006).

b Undivided including Jharkhand (1992–1993 and 1998–1999).

c Undivided including Chhattisgarh (1992–1993 and 1998–1999).

d Undivided including Uttarakhand (1992–1003 and 1998–1999).

Source : International Institute for Population Sciences ( 1993 ); International Institute for Population Sciences & ICF ( 2017 ); International Institute for Population Sciences & ORC-Macro ( 2000 ); International Institute for Population Sciences & ORC-Macro ( 2007 ).

The mortality data has information on three key indicators: infant mortality rate (IMR), under-5 mortality rate (U5MR), and expectation of life at birth (LEB; e o o ). The data comes from the SRS for India and covers about 25 years ( 1990–2016 ). The year 1990 is chosen as a base since it benchmarks the Millennium Development Goals (MDG) base year, and the year 2016 benchmarks the base year of the recently declared Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The MDG goal for U5MR for India was to attain a U5MR of 42 deaths of children aged below 5 years per 1,000 live births by the year 2015 . The corresponding goal for the IMR was 37 infant deaths per 1,000 live births. Under the SDG, the goals are 21 and 15, respectively, for the year 2030 .

At the beginning of the 20th century , in India, a newborn baby had an average life expectancy of 21–23 years (Davis, 1951 ; Mukherji, 1976 ). The SRS life table available for the period 2013–2017 revealed that a newborn baby in India would live an average of more than 69 years, which is considerably lower than in other countries globally and in the South Asian region. Nonetheless, this is a significant improvement from just about 20 years to close to 70 years, and an essential aspect of this improvement relates to IMR. At the national level, the IMR was 80 infant deaths per 1,000 live births in 1990 , which declined to 68 in 2000 (12 points in 10 years; see Table 11 ). The first decade of the 21st century unfolded a significant decline in the IMR for India— 47 infant deaths per 1,000 live births in 2010 and 34 per 1,000 in 2016 . Mortality decline in India and its states may have been due to improvements in access to health services and also an incremental increase in access to improved drinking water and sanitation. Similar to the global evidence (Fink et al., 2011 ), the National Family Health Survey (NFHS) data for 1992–1993 and 2015–2016 revealed a quantum jump in access to sanitation facilities (IIPS, 1993 ; IIPS & ICF, 2017 ).

The acceleration, especially after 2005 , may be due to the Janani Suraksha Yojana program implemented under the National Health Mission (erstwhile known as the National Rural Health Mission). The program provided a cash incentive of Rs. 1400 to women who delivered their babies in a health facility (Stephen et al., 2010 ). However, compliance varies considerably across India’s states. In the year 1990 , Kerala had the lowest IMR (17 infant deaths per 1,000 live births), whereas it was higher in Odisha (122), followed by Madhya Pradesh (111) and Uttar Pradesh (99). By 2016 , IMR declined significantly in all states. While Kerala continued to occupy the first place with the lowest IMR, Madhya Pradesh replaced Odisha with an IMR of 47 deaths per 1,000 live births. The states, on the whole, have succeeded in reducing the IMR; however, the usual lagging states of Assam, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, and Odisha continue to have higher IMRs.

Table 11. Infant Mortality Rate and Percentage Change in the Rate in India and Selected States, 1990–2016

Country/State

Infant Mortality Rate in the Year

Change (%) During:

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2016

1990–2005

2005–2016

1990–2016

Andhra Pradesh

70

67

65

57

46

37

34

18.6

40.4

51.4

Assam

76

77

65

57

58

47

44

25.0

22.8

42.1

Bihar

75

73

62

61

48

42

38

18.7

37.7

49.3

Gujarat

72

62

62

54

44

33

30

25.0

44.4

58.3

Haryana

69

69

67

60

48

36

33

13.0

45.0

52.2

Karnataka

70

62

57

50

38

28

24

28.6

52.0

65.7

Kerala

17

15

14

14

13

12

10

17.6

28.6

41.2

Madhya Pradesh

111

99

88

76

62

50

47

31.5

38.2

57.7

Maharashtra

58

55

48

36

28

21

19

37.9

47.2

67.2

Orissa

122

103

95

75

61

46

44

38.5

41.3

63.9

Punjab

61

54

52

44

34

23

21

27.9

52.3

65.6

Rajasthan

79

85

80

67

55

43

41

15.2

38.8

48.1

Tamil Nadu

59

54

51

37

24

19

17

37.3

54.1

71.2

Uttar Pradesh

99

86

83

73

61

46

43

26.3

41.1

56.6

West Bengal

63

58

51

38

31

26

25

39.7

34.2

60.3

a Undivided including Telangana for the years 1990, 1995, 2005, and 2010

b Undivided including Jharkhand for the years 1990 and 1995.

c Undivided including Chhattisgarh for the years 1990 and 1995.

d Undivided including Uttarakhand for the years 1990 and 1995.

Source: Infant mortality rates from the annual statistical report of the Sample Registration System of India.

Table 12 presents the gender-specific U5MRs for India and states for 1990–2016 . An average of 114 children per 1,000 live births died in India in 1990 before celebrating their 5th birthday, which declined to 39 in 2016 ; a two-thirds decline in 26 years. During the same period, the U5MR declined from 119 to 37 for male children and from 132 to 41 for female children. Similar to IMR, the U5MR fell relatively faster in the last 16 years in India ( 2000–2016 ) when compared with the corresponding change during 1990–2000 . Once again, there are vast differences across states of India in U5MR as well; the lagging states continue to have significantly higher levels of childhood mortality. In 2016 Kerala had the lowest U5MR (11), and the Madhya Pradesh had the highest (55), followed by Assam (52) and Odisha (50). The improvement in child survival in India brought a sense of security for the families to go for smaller families and contributed to the lowering of the TFR. An important point to note here is that regardless of the period studied, the U5MR in India has exceeded for female children compared to the male children. Surprisingly, most states have revealed a gender gap in childhood mortality. A study by Ram et al. ( 2013 , 2014 ) documented wide disparities in the levels of under-5 mortalities in districts of India.

Table 12. Gender-Specific Under-5 Mortality Rate and Percentage Change, India and Selected States, 1990–2016

Country/State

Under-5 Mortality Rate in the Year

Change During (%)

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2016

1990–2005

2005–2016

1990–2016

Both sexes combined

Andhra Pradesh

89

83

73

66

49

39

37

25.8

43.9

58.4

Assam

115

109

90

85

84

62

52

26.1

38.8

54.8

Bihar

111

112

88

76

66

48

43

31.5

43.4

61.3

Gujarat

104

83

82

68

57

39

33

34.6

51.5

68.3

Haryana

92

94

83

68

56

43

37

26.1

45.6

59.8

Karnataka

94

81

70

57

47

31

29

39.4

49.1

69.1

Kerala

23

20

18

18

15

13

11

21.7

38.9

52.2

Madhya Pradesh

161

139

115

102

84

62

55

36.6

46.1

65.8

Maharashtra

79

73

56

44

33

24

21

44.3

52.3

73.4

Orissa

165

141

116

97

80

56

50

41.2

48.5

69.7

Punjab

82

69

60

54

43

27

24

34.1

55.6

70.7

Rajasthan

119

120

108

88

69

50

45

26.1

48.9

62.2

Tamil Nadu

78

68

57

43

28

20

19

44.9

55.8

75.6

Uttar Pradesh

148

126

117

102

82

51

47

31.1

53.9

68.2

West Bengal

93

85

67

50

38

30

27

46.2

46.0

71.0

114

105

89

77

61

43

39

32.5

49.4

65.8

Male children

Andhra Pradesh

97

84

74

70

46

37

36

27.8

48.6

62.9

Assam

143

117

105

92

79

58

48

35.7

47.8

66.4

Bihar

117

110

84

75

60

43

35

35.9

53.3

70.1

Gujarat

110

88

77

71

52

38

34

35.5

52.1

69.1

Haryana

93

89

78

69

51

41

34

25.8

50.7

63.4

Karnataka

110

81

76

61

43

31

26

44.5

57.4

76.4

Kerala

30

19

18

16

14

12

10

46.7

37.5

66.7

Madhya Pradesh

177

150

123

109

79

63

58

38.4

46.8

67.2

Maharashtra

83

69

55

40

31

21

20

51.8

50.0

75.9

Orissa

154

135

114

97

76

56

49

37.0

49.5

68.2

Punjab

76

64

60

52

38

27

24

31.6

53.8

68.4

Rajasthan

144

116

104

93

60

44

42

35.4

54.8

70.8

Tamil Nadu

84

58

53

47

26

20

19

44.0

59.6

77.4

Uttar Pradesh

155

123

110

99

71

49

46

36.1

53.5

70.3

West Bengal

97

85

70

51

37

28

27

47.4

47.1

72.2

119

102

87

75

55

40

37

37.0

50.7

68.9

Female children

Andhra Pradesh

96

75

73

67

51

42

38

30.2

43.3

60.4

Assam

140

123

110

91

87

66

57

35.0

37.4

59.3

Bihar

139

128

98

85

68

54

51

38.8

40.0

63.3

Gujarat

123

101

86

79

60

41

33

35.8

58.2

73.2

Haryana

115

117

107

87

59

46

42

24.3

51.7

63.5

Karnataka

105

83

72

62

47

32

31

41.0

50.0

70.5

Kerala

25

17

15

15

16

14

12

40.0

20.0

52.0

Madhya Pradesh

194

158

140

118

85

61

52

39.2

55.9

73.2

Maharashtra

80

68

60

46

35

26

23

42.5

50.0

71.3

Orissa

159

131

114

98

79

55

51

38.4

48.0

67.9

Punjab

92

84

82

64

48

26

25

30.4

60.9

72.8

Rajasthan

172

133

118

103

79

56

49

40.1

52.4

71.5

Tamil Nadu

90

62

55

44

28

21

19

51.1

56.8

78.9

Uttar Pradesh

189

142

131

119

87

53

49

37.0

58.8

74.1

West Bengal

97

86

63

49

38

31

28

49.5

42.9

71.1

132

113

96

82

64

45

41

37.9

50.0

68.9

a Undivided including Telangana for the years 1990, 1995, 2005, and 2010.

b Undivided including Jharkhand for the years 1990, 1995, 2005, and 2010.

c Undivided including Chhattisgarh for the years 1990, 1995, 2005, and 2010.

d Undivided including Uttarakhand for the years 1990, 1995, 2005, and 2010.

Source: Author calculations based on data from SRS Based Life Tables for 1988–1992, 1993–1997, 1998–2002, and 2003–2007. Data for 2015 and 2016 from the annual statistical report of the Sample Registration System of India for the respective years.

We now examine levels of life expectancy at birth (LEB). Table 13 presents the relevant data for India and its states for both sexes combined as well as separately. The LEB for India was nearly 49 years during 1970–1975 , which increased to about 58 years in 1986–1990 , an increase of 9 years in 16 years resulting in an annual improvement of approximately 0.6 years. By 1996–2000 , the LEB in India increased to 62 years and further to 69 years in 2013–2017 . Up until the 1980s, nationally, Indian males lived longer than the Indian females (Ram & Ram, 1997 ). Data on gender-specific LEB since 1993 indicates that in India, females now live longer than males, and the gap was by 2 years in 2013–2017 . The gender gap indeed widened in the mid-1990s when male LEB was at 60.4 years and females at 61.8 years. But at the same time, gender gaps in mortality have also widened for adolescents (to the female disadvantage), an anomaly indicating the downside of using only LEB for exploring gender disparity.

Table 13. Gender-Specific Life Expectancy at Birth and Changes in the Life Expectancy, India and Selected States, 1986–2017

Country/State

Both Sexes

Change (%) 1986/1990 to 2013/2017

Males

Change (%) 1986/1990 to 2013/2017

Females

Change (%) 1986/1990 to 2013/2017

1986–1990

1996–2000

2006–2010

2013–2017

1986–1990

1996–2000

2006–2010

2013–2017

1986–1990

1996–2000

2006–2010

2013–2017

Andhra Pradesh

59.1

62.7

65.8

69.7

−17.9

58.2

61.1

63.5

68.3

−14.8

60.4

64.4

68.2

71.2

–17.9

Assam

53.6

57.4

61.9

66.2

−23.5

53.6

57.3

61.0

65.4

−18.0

54.2

57.7

63.2

67.3

–24.2

Bihar

54.9

60.5

65.8

68.9

−25.5

55.7

61.1

65.5

69.2

−19.5

53.6

59.9

66.2

68.6

–28.0

Gujarat

57.7

64.4

66.8

69.7

−20.8

57.0

63.0

64.9

67.6

−15.7

58.8

65.8

69.0

72.0

–22.4

Haryana

62.2

64.4

67.0

69.7

−12.1

62.2

64.1

64.9

67.6

−8.0

62.2

64.7

69.5

72.3

–16.2

Karnataka

61.1

64.5

67.2

69.2

−13.3

60.4

62.6

64.9

67.7

−10.8

62.6

66.7

69.7

70.8

–13.1

Kerala

69.5

71.6

74.2

75.2

−8.2

66.8

68.7

71.5

72.5

−7.9

72.3

74.7

76.9

77.8

–7.6

Madhya Pradesh

53.0

57.1

62.4

66.0

−24.5

53.7

56.6

61.1

64.2

−16.4

53.0

57.6

63.8

67.6

–27.5

Maharashtra

62.6

65.9

69.9

72.5

−15.8

61.2

64.2

67.9

71.2

−14.0

63.5

67.8

71.9

73.9

–16.4

Orissa

54.4

58.3

63.0

68.4

−25.7

54.6

57.8

62.2

67.1

−18.6

54.0

58.8

63.9

69.9

–29.4

Punjab

65.2

66.5

69.3

72.4

−11.0

64.7

65.5

67.4

71.0

−8.9

66.9

67.7

71.6

74.0

–10.6

Rajasthan

55.2

62.1

66.5

68.5

−24.1

55.2

61.0

64.7

66.3

−16.7

56.2

63.5

68.3

70.9

–26.2

Tamil Nadu

60.5

64.8

68.9

71.7

−18.5

60.0

63.5

67.1

69.9

−14.2

60.6

66.2

70.9

73.7

–21.6

Uttar Pradesh

53.4

59.2

62.7

65.0

−21.7

54.2

59.6

61.8

64.3

−15.7

52.5

58.7

63.7

65.6

–25.0

West Bengal

60.8

64.3

69.0

71.2

−17.1

60.2

63.0

67.4

70.4

−14.5

61.2

65.7

71.0

72.2

–18.0

INDIA

59.1

62.7

65.8

69.7

−17.9

57.7

61.2

64.6

67.8

−14.9

58.1

62.7

67.7

70.4

–21.2

$$ authors calculation using SRS gender-specific life tables.

b Undivided including Jharkhand for 1986–1990 and 1996–2000.

c Undivided including Chhattisgarh for 1986–1990 and 1996–2000.

d Undivided including Uttarakhand for 1986–1990, 1996–2000, and 2006–2010

Source: From Life tables of the Sample Registration System (SRS) of India.

Family Planning and Unmet Need

India acquired the status of being the first nation globally to launch an official family planning program in 1952 . However, the real push to the program came through in the 1960s when the program adopted a target-specific approach. The federal authorities in India assigned targets to the states, which were allocated to districts and further to the individual health workers at the lowest level of service provision. These targets became extremely volatile over the years, and the authorities announced disincentives and incentives to the users and the service providers based on performance (Pachauri, 2014 ). This period was accompanied by the emergency period ( 1975–1977 ) in India, when the program became extremely coercive. This act of the government damaged the program to a great extent and impacted the northern Hindi-speaking belt where fertility levels were higher. Although the success in fertility reduction in India is not comparable to that of other Asian countries, its achievements are by no means modest. In the initial phase, the program success was mostly monitored and evaluated using service statistics with the help of the number of acceptors and births averted as a result of family planning acceptance. Family planning surveys conducted in the 1970s and 1980s (ORG, 1972 , 1982 , 1990 ) complemented monitoring and evaluating efforts. After 1990 , India launched nationwide surveys (see IIPS, 1993 ; IIPS & ICF, 2017 ; IIPS & ORC-Macro 2000 , 2007 ). Tables 14 , 15 , and 16 give selected family planning indicators for India.

There has been a continuous rise in the percentage of married women using modern contraception in India. For example, just over 10% of married Indian women in 1970 used modern contraception (ORG, 1972 ). This percentage increased to 42.8% in 1998–1999 and to 48.5% in 2005–2006 (Table 14 ). India’s contraceptive prevalence rates (CPRs) are presented for the period between 1992–1993 to 2015–2016 in Table 13 . At the national level, overall CPR has increased from a little over 36% in the early 1990s to close to 48% in 2015–2016 , which translates to an increase of 12 units over the 23 years (an annual increase of 1.4%). The 2017 NFHS indicated that modern method CPR had marginally decreased from 48.5% in 2005–2006 to 47.8% in 2015–2016 (IIPS & ICF, 2017 ; IIPS & ORC-Macro, 2007 ). The decline in CPR of the modern method is substantial in many states, including Bihar, Gujarat, Karnataka, Kerala, Madhya Pradesh, and Tamil Nadu. This has raised debates among policy makers and researchers because these states have concurrently exhibited a significant decline in TFR levels. There is some research evidence that has indicated doubt about the estimated CPR for the period 2015–2016 . A study by Jayachandran and Stover ( 2018 ) expressed concern over the quality of contraceptive data collected in the 2017 NFHS. The modern limiting method CPR showed an increase of five units (from 31% to a little over 36%) and there was a twofold rise in the modern spacing method CPR (from about 6% to over 11%) during the same period. Interestingly, CPR for traditional methods also increased, from 4% to almost 6% (IIPS & ICF, 2017 ).

The levels of CPR, as well as the pace of change in it, varied considerably across Indian states included in the analysis. Generally, the states in the southern and western regions revealed higher levels of CPR compared to those in the northern and eastern regions of India. While the CPR rose over time, Gujarat and Kerala had a marginal decline in the overall CPR. Assam, Odisha, and West Bengal (all three in the eastern region) and Uttar Pradesh in the northern part had higher CPR of the traditional method (abstinence and withdrawal/rhythm) compared to the remaining states. While the CPR for traditional methods declined in Assam and West Bengal, it increased from 1%–2% in 1992–1993 to over 12%–14% in 2015–2016 in Odisha and Uttar Pradesh. The use of traditional methods is higher among women who live in urban areas, who were more educated and resided in economically better-off households. The patterns of CPR are somewhat similar for the modern limiting and spacing methods across states, as seen for all methods combined. Nonetheless, a few states, such as Assam, Haryana, Odisha, Uttar Pradesh, and West Bengal, have shown a tremendous rise in the CPR for modern spacing methods.

Table 14. Contraceptive Prevalence Rate for Modem Limiting, Modern Spacing Methods and Traditional Methods of Family Planning and Percentage Change in Them, India and Selected States, 1992–2016

Country/State

1992–1993

1998–1999

2005–2006

2015–2016

Change (%): 1992–2016

1992–1993

1998–1999

2005–2006

2015–2016

Change (%): 1992–2016

Modern methods only (Overall)

Traditional methods only

Andhra Pradesh

47.0

58.9

67.0

69.4

47.7

0.4

1.8

0.6

0.6

50.0

Assam

19.9

26.6

27.0

37.0

85.9

23.1

16.7

29.5

15.4

-33.3

Bihar

21.6

22.4

28.9

23.3

7.9

1.5

1.6

5.2

0.8

–46.7

Gujarat

46.9

53.3

56.5

43.1

–8.1

2.4

5.6

10.1

3.8

58.3

Haryana

44.3

53.2

58.3

59.4

34.1

5.3

8.9

5.0

4.5

–15.1

Karnataka

47.3

56.5

62.5

51.3

8.5

1.8

1.7

1.1

0.5

–72.2

Kerala

54.4

56.1

57.9

50.3

–7.5

8.9

7.6

10.7

2.8

–68.5

Madhya Pradesh

35.5

42.6

52.8

49.6

39.7

1.0

1.4

3.2

1.9

90.0

Maharashtra

52.5

59.9

64.9

62.5

19.0

1.2

1.0

1.9

2.3

91.7

Orissa

34.6

40.3

44.7

45.4

31.2

1.6

5.6

6.1

12.1

656.3

Punjab

51.3

53.8

56.1

66.3

29.2

7.4

12.4

7.2

9.5

28.4

Rajasthan

30.9

38.1

44.4

53.5

73.1

0.8

1.9

2.8

6.2

675.0

Tamil Nadu

45.2

50.3

60.0

52.6

16.4

4.6

1.8

1.4

0.6

–87.0

Uttar Pradesh

18.5

22.0

29.3

31.7

71.4

1.3

5.7

14.3

13.9

969.2

West Bengal

37.3

47.3

49.9

57.0

52.8

20.1

18.5

21.3

14.2

–29.4

Modern methods only (limiting)

Modern methods only (spacing)

Andhra Pradesh

45.2

52.2

65.8

63.5

40.5

1.8

4.3

1.2

1.2

–33.3

Assam

14.6

16.8

13.2

9.6

–34.2

5.3

9.9

13.8

27.4

417.0

Bihar

18.6

20.1

24.4

20.7

11.3

2.9

2.2

4.5

2.5

–13.8

Gujarat

41.0

45.3

43.5

33.7

–17.8

5.9

8.1

12.9

9.4

59.3

Haryana

34.7

40.8

38.9

38.6

11.2

9.6

12.4

19.4

20.6

114.6

Karnataka

42.5

52.2

57.6

48.6

14.4

4.8

4.4

5.0

2.6

–45.8

Kerala

48.3

51.0

49.7

45.9

–5.0

6.1

5.1

8.2

4.4

–27.9

Madhya Pradesh

31.5

38.0

45.5

42.7

35.6

4.0

4.6

7.2

6.8

70.0

Maharashtra

46.1

52.2

53.2

51.1

10.8

6.4

7.7

11.7

11.4

78.1

Orissa

31.6

35.6

34.1

28.4

–10.1

3.0

4.7

10.5

16.8

460.0

Punjab

34.0

30.9

32.0

38.1

12.1

17.3

23.0

24.0

28.3

63.6

Rajasthan

27.7

32.3

35.0

40.9

47.7

3.3

5.8

9.4

12.5

278.8

Tamil Nadu

39.5

45.9

55.4

49.4

25.1

5.7

4.3

4.6

3.1

–45.6

Uttar Pradesh

13.1

15.6

17.4

17.4

32.8

5.5

6.4

11.8

14.2

158.2

West Bengal

30.6

33.8

32.9

29.4

–3.9

6.7

13.5

17.0

27.4

309.0

a Undivided including Telangana (1992–1993).

c Undivided including Chhattisgarh (1992–1993).

d Undivided including Uttarakhand (1992–1993 and 1998–1999).

Tables 15 and 16 provide data on the future demand for family planning as assessed using the information on unmet need for family planning over 25 years. Nationally, the unmet need for family planning declined by nearly 37% in two and a half decades; the unmet need of almost 20% in 1992–1993 to about 13% in 2015–2016 (Table 15 ). The unmet need for modern spacing methods had halved in the country from nearly 12% to 6% during the same period. However, the unmet need for family planning seemingly has remained unchanged since 2010 , as the decline was by only one percentage point (from 14% to 13% for all methods and from 6.1% to 5.6% for spacing methods). Gujarat and Kerala were the only states where the total unmet need for family planning increased over time. In the remaining states, the change in the total unmet need has followed the national pattern. While the total unmet need remained nearly unchanged in Haryana, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, and Tamil Nadu, it increased only marginally in Andhra Pradesh, Assam, and Wes Bengal. The unmet need doubled in Gujarat and increased substantially in Kerala.

In contrast, the unmet need declined in Bihar, Odisha, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh during the same period. In case of unmet need for spacing methods, the data indicated substantial decline over the period for all states except Kerala, where unmet need for spacing methods rose from 6% to 8% in the last decade. A on-going investigation of NFHS data by Ram et al. ( in press ) showed that unmet need increased mainly due to the rise in the unmet need among the nonusers.

Table 15. Total Unmet Need for Family Planning, Unmet Need for Spacing, and Percentage Change, India and Selected States, 1992–2016

Country/State

Total Unmet Need: Limiting and Spacing Methods

Change (%) 1992–2016

Unmet Need for Spacing Methods Only

Change (%) 1992–2016

1992–1993

1998–1999

2005–2006

2015–2016

1992–1993

1998–1999

2005–2006

2015–2016

Andhra Pradesh

11.8

7.8

4.8

5.8

−50.8

7.9

5.1

2.8

3.4

–57.0

Assam

22.7

17.1

12.3

14.1

−37.9

11.8

6.9

3.6

5.8

–50.8

Bihar

25.9

25.4

24.0

20.5

−20.8

15.8

12.6

10.6

9.3

–41.1

Gujarat

13.3

8.8

8.3

17.0

27.8

8.1

5

3.9

6.6

–18.5

Haryana

16.6

7.6

9.5

9.3

−44.0

9.3

2.9

3.0

3.8

–59.1

Karnataka

18.8

11.6

10.1

10.4

−44.7

12.6

8.2

5.6

6.0

–52.4

Kerala

12.1

11.8

9.8

13.7

13.2

8.1

6.9

6.1

8.3

2.5

Madhya Pradesh

22.4

16.6

11.8

11.9

−46.9

15.1

8.8

5.4

5.6

–62.9

Maharashtra

14.8

13

10.0

9.7

−34.5

8.8

8

5.3

4.3

–51.1

Orissa

24.3

15.7

16.1

13.6

−44.0

14.8

8.7

6.5

4.7

–68.2

Punjab

13.2

7.4

9.0

6.2

−53.0

6.8

2.8

2.8

2.3

–66.2

Rajasthan

21.2

17.9

15.7

12.3

−42.0

12.7

8.7

7.3

5.7

–55.1

Tamil Nadu

14.8

13

10.3

10.1

−31.8

8.5

6.6

4.1

4.8

–43.5

Uttar Pradesh

30.7

25.6

22.6

17.9

−41.7

17.8

11.7

8.8

6.7

–62.4

West Bengal

17.4

12.1

9.5

7.5

−56.9

9.5

6.2

4.3

3.0

–68.4

There are 46 million married women aged 15–49 in India who have expressed an unmet need for modern contraception, of whom 14 million prefer limiting methods and 18 million prefer spacing methods. The remaining 14 million couples, who used traditional methods, are considered to have an unmet need for modern methods of contraception in the NFHS for 2015–2016 (IIPS & ICF, 2017 ). It is important to note that all of the nonusers having unmet need will not convert into the users for various reasons as unmet need is highly unlikely to attain a zero value. The current unmet need of 18.7% may best reduce to 4%–5%, as observed in some states (as well as other countries in the neighborhood). In other words, 35 million couples actually can be converted to users. Nonuse of contraception could be due to sterility (primary and secondary), which varies considerably across India’s states, especially after age 30 (Ram, 2010 ). In other words, the potential pool of available users will include fewer people, around 28–30 million. Table 16 presents the share of current users and couples with unmet needs in the states of India in the national totals. The 14 states included consist of 88% of all users in India, and nearly 84% of the couples with unmet need belonged to these 14 states. Almost 47% of the couples with unmet need come from Bihar (13%), Madhya Pradesh (5%), Rajasthan (7%), and Uttar Pradesh (21%). This share is likely to rise because the demand for contraception in other states has almost reached a saturation point. The geographic allocation of unmet need creates a challenging situation because program strength and social development in these states are inadequate and of poor quality.

Table 16. State Share of the Users of Modern Methods of Family Planning and State Share of Couples Having Total Unmet Need for Family Planning (Limiting and Spacing Combined) in the National Totals, 1992–2016

Country/State

State Share of Modern Method Users

State Share of Couples With Unmet Need

1992–1993

1998–1999

2005–2006

2015–2016

1992–1993

1998–1999

2005–2006

2015–2016

Andhra Pradesh

11.4

11.6

10.9

9.8

5.2

4.1

2.7

3.3

Assam

1.4

1.6

1.4

2.0

3.0

2.7

2.2

2.8

Bihar

5.1

4.3

4.9

3.9

11.0

13.0

13.8

13.1

Gujarat

6.4

6.4

6.0

4.7

3.3

2.8

3.1

3.2

Haryana

2.3

2.5

2.5

2.6

1.6

1.0

1.4

1.5

Karnataka

6.8

6.9

6.8

5.7

4.9

3.8

3.8

4.2

Kerala

4.9

4.3

3.8

3.0

2.0

2.4

2.2

2.2

Madhya Pradesh

7.8

7.2

6.9

5.8

8.9

7.5

5.5

5.2

Maharashtra

13.7

13.1

12.6

12.5

7.0

7.6

6.7

7.4

Orissa

3.5

3.3

3.2

3.2

4.5

3.5

4.0

4.2

Punjab

3.2

2.9

2.6

3.1

1.5

1.1

1.5

1.6

Rajasthan

4.6

4.9

5.2

6.6

5.8

6.2

6.3

7.3

Tamil Nadu

8.4

7.7

8.0

7.1

5.0

5.3

4.8

5.0

Uttar Pradesh

8.2

7.9

9.5

9.8

24.8

24.6

24.2

20.7

West Bengal

8.2

8.9

8.4

10.0

6.9

6.1

5.5

5.2

Remaining states/Union Territories (UTs)

4.0

6.5

7.3

10.1

4.5

8.3

12.3

13.3

A very dark side of Indian culture has been the practice of child marriage, which was rampant in the 20th century . The Hindu scripture advocated marriage for a girl before puberty (onset of menstruation). However, girls who married early remained in the parental home until “Gauna” (Kapadia, 1966 ), which was generally performed at the age when the girl attains physical maturity (onset of menstruation). The Sarda Act enacted in 1929 , followed by the Child Marriage Restraint Act of 1978 in India, defined the minimum legal age for marriage as 18 years for girls and 21 years for boys. Early marriage has a multidimensional effect on the lives of the females in India throughout their life course, from deprivation of education, skill development, health care access, and so on. At the macro level, the marriage pattern of a population has a significant effect on fertility and mortality (especially child mortality) levels. Marriage is one of the proximate determinants of fertility besides family planning use. The female age at marriage in India is rising, but rather slowly. The singulate mean age at marriage in India was 15.9 years in 1961 , which increased to 18.3 years in 1981 and 20.8 years in 2011 , an increase of about five years in five decades. In the 1990s, nearly half of the women aged 20–24 in India were married before age 18 years. This percentage reduced to about 45% in 2005–2006 .

The institution of marriage in India almost remained universal. Close to 97% of the Indian women aged 30–34 years in 2011 were married (Table 17 ). The percentage of these women varied marginally across states. Only two states (Kerala and Odisha) had 5% of the women aged 30–34 years who were single. The percentage of single women aged 30–34 years was 4% in Karnataka and West Bengal. Data from the 2015–2016 survey indicated that about one-quarter of women aged 20–24 years were married before they were 18 years (in absolute terms, 14.5 million women married below age 18). There is a great deal of variation across the states. Around 42% of women aged 20–24 years were married before age 18 in West Bengal, followed by 40% in Bihar, 31–33% in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Andhra Pradesh, and 23–26% in Gujarat, Karnataka, and Maharashtra.

Table 17. Percentage of Women Ages 20–24 Married Before Age 18 and Percentage of Single Women Ages 30–34, India and Selected States, 2015–2016

Country/State

Women Married Before 18 Years

% Single Women Ages 30–34 Years

Percent

Number (in Thousands)

% Share in State in National Total

Andhra Pradesh

33.6

761.7

5.2

2.6

Assam

33.1

499.1

3.4

7.5

Bihar

39.7

1,763.9

12.1

1.1

Gujarat

24.0

684.8

4.7

2.9

Haryana

18.7

236.2

1.6

1.5

Karnataka

23.6

669.9

4.6

4.1

Kerala

7.8

100.9

0.7

5.0

Madhya Pradesh

31.1

1,088.8

7.5

1.9

Maharashtra

25.9

1,351.9

9.3

3.8

Orissa

21.7

424.7

2.9

5.3

Punjab

7.5

95.9

0.7

3.4

Rajasthan

31.5

1,080.8

7.4

0.9

Tamil Nadu

16.3

495.6

3.4

3.9

Uttar Pradesh

19.3

1,965.3

13.5

2.1

West Bengal

41.8

1,812.9

12.5

4.3

Subtotal

13,032.5

89.7

Rest of India

18.7

1,503.9

10.3

Source: Authors’ calculation based on data from NCP ( 2019 ) and IIPS and ICF ( 2017 ). Percent of single women data from Census of India, 2011.

Concluding Remarks

Although India holds a national treasure in its decadal censuses that have been continuously reported since 1881 , the country has failed to develop and strengthen its civil registration system for births and deaths. A significant constraint faced by Indian policy makers is a lack of data with regard to its socioeconomic and demographic scenario, including fertility and mortality. This shortcoming became apparent in several policies and programs that lacked evidence-based decisions to improve the health and well-being of the population. These experiences motivated the authorities in India, and nearly two decades after the country attained independence, the Government of India initiated the sample registration system SRS in an effort to replace the civil registration system and fill the data void. In the early 1990s, the government’s focus on health and well-being led to the publication of the first National Family Health Survey in 2017 . The data from these surveys has helped policy makers and researchers to gain insight into the demographic changes in India, nationally and subnationally.

India is the second-most populous country in the world. The international community has expressed concerns about the rising population size and high growth rate in India, which has received unprecedented attention in almost all platforms. Between 1961 and 2001 , India’s population grew at an average rate of about 2%, and the size of the population in absolute terms exceeded one billion in 2001 . During 2001–2011 , the population growth slowed down substantially. However, India continued to add an average of 18 million people annually to its already large base, leading to a total national population of 1.21 billion in 2011 . An assessment by the UN ( 2019 ) indicated that India’s population would peak at 1.65 billion in 2061 and would begin to decline after that and reach 1.44 billion in the year 2100 . The four large states in India (Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, and Rajasthan) continue to reveal high levels of fertility and mortality (especially during early childhood), and have great potential for future population growth. The spatial distribution of India’s population will have a significant influence on its future political and economic scenario. Kerala state may experience a negative population growth rate around 2036 . The undivided Andhra Pradesh (including the newly created state of Telangana) may experience the same around 2041 and Karnataka and Tamil Nadu around 2046 . Four states of Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, and Rajasthan would have 764 million people in 2061 (45% of the national total) by the time India’s population reaches around 1.65 billion (Verma, 2018 ).

Changes in fertility and mortality are the two most important demographic factors contributing to population growth in India. The total fertility rate (TFR) in India declined from about 6.5 children per woman in the early 1960s to 2.3 children per woman in 2016 (a reduction of 4.2 children per woman in fewer than six decades). India is concerned about relatively high TFR in Bihar (3.3 children per woman), Uttar Pradesh (3.1 children per woman), Madhya Pradesh (2.8 children per woman), and Rajasthan (2.7 children per woman). The states have exhibited a higher unmet need for contraception and a weak public health-care delivery system. Childhood mortality in India has declined substantially, especially after the 1990s (114 in 1990 to 39 children deaths per 1,000 live births in 2016 ). This remarkable improvement is the result of massive efforts to improve comprehensive maternal and child health programs and nationwide implementation of the national health mission. The latter focused attention on improving the maternal and child health indicators in the country. Despite this, childhood mortality continues to be unacceptably high in Uttar Pradesh (47 children deaths per 1,000 live births), Bihar (43 children deaths per 1,000 live births), Rajasthan (45 children deaths per 1,000 live births), and Madhya Pradesh (55 children deaths per 1,000 live births). Besides, more considerable attention to improving access to public health-care services would promote contraception use immensely by way of reducing unmet needs and, in turn, reduce child mortality.

Figure 5. Future prospects of the demographic transition for India, 1950–2100.

A great deal of scientific evidence suggests that the intertwined programmatic interventions focusing on female education and child survival are essential. Such efforts, notably in the four large states of Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, and Rajasthan, would go a long way to reduce unmet need for contraception and enhance contraception use giving a big push to reducing fertility in the future. This would be crucial for India to stabilize its population before reaching 1.65 billion. India’s demographic journey through the path of the classical demographic transition suggests that the country is very close to achieving replacement fertility. Figure 5 outlines the future path of India’s transition according to the UN’s ( 2019 ) assessment. Although India may achieve replacement level fertility very soon (around 2023 ), the population will continue to grow until 2060 due to population momentum. Only after this, India may experience a negative growth rate; that is, the crude death rate will exceed the crude birth rate.

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  • United Nations . (2019). World population prospectsI . United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs.
  • Verma, R. K. (2018). Convergence to population stability in India: A state-wise assessment of demographic potential and demographic dividend (Unpublished doctoral dissertation, International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS)).
  • Visaria, P. , & Visaria, L. (1994). Demographic transition, accelerating fertility decline in 1980 . Economic and Political Weekly , 29 (51–52), 3281–3292.
  • Yadav, A. K. , & Ram, F. (2019). There is a glaring gender bias in death registrations in India. Economic and Political Weekly , 54 (51), 2349–8846.
  • Zachariah, K. C. (1983). Anomaly of fertility decline in Kerala (Report No. 1, RPO 677–670). World Bank.

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Demonetisation Essay - Download Demonetisation Essay PDF for UPSC Preparation

On the heels of The Undisclosed Foreign Income and Assets (Imposition of Tax) act of 2015; and the Income Disclosure Scheme of 2016, the Narendra Modi government had announced demonetization of Rs 500 and Rs 1000 currency, which has been referred to as a masterstroke by many experts.

This article is an essay on demonetisation. It elaborates on the concept, merit and demerits, and the effect of demonetisation in India. It also showcases the critical analysis of demonetisation in India.

The essay on Demonetisation holds relevance for both Prelims and Mains examination of various competitive exams. It is an important topic for the UPSC civil services exam as well.

Table of Contents:

Essay On Demonetisation in India

Concept of demonetisation .

The withdrawal of currencies or other valuables by the central bank to be used as the legal tender in the nation. Such currencies either turn into scrap or a deposited in the banks and replaced by the new currencies. 

Governments of many countries across the world have taken this drastic measure to curb black money and stop the counterfeiting of currency notes. Some countries failed miserably while others were successful in their goals behind demonetization. Let’s take a glance at the countries that underwent demonetisation and the impacts they had to face. 

The Decimal System in the United Kingdom in 1971: The biggest change to the currency of Britain for more than a thousand years took place in 1971 when the British adopted the decimal system. As per this system the pound was divided into 100 pence. The transition of Britain’s currency to decimal was a success as it was done after spreading awareness and doing education campaigns for three years.

African countries:

In the year 1984 during the government of Muhammadu Buhari, Nigeria banned old notes and introduced a new currency. However, the inflation hit, and the debt-ridden country did not make the change well and the economy collapsed. 

Similar is the case with Ghana, another African country that underwent Demonetisation in the year 1982. Ghana wanted to curb tax evasion and empty excess liquidity so they ditched their 50 cedis note. This made the nationalists support the black market and they started investing in physical assets which resulted in further weakening of the economy.

The Government of Zimbabwe in 2015 replaced the Zimbabwe dollar with the American dollar. Before this, Zimbabwe had a currency denomination of 100 trillion Zimbabwean dollars. Now, the multiple currency system is abolished by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe and replaced with a new Zimbabwe dollar known as the RTGS Dollar. 

In 1987 the military government in Myanmar invalidated eighty percent of the Myanmar kyat to curb black-marketeering and smuggling.  This demonetisation drive caused terrible economic unease as it had no provision for any exchange of the scrapped denominations. There were mass protests and resulted in the ruthless killing of around a thousand people. 

Soviet Union Monetary Reform 1991: 

In 1991 Mikhail Gorbachev decided to withdraw 50 and 100 ruble notes. It was also known as Pavlov Reform on the name of  Minister of Finance Valentin Pavlov. Due to this reform, the economy collapsed and even resulted in the dissolution of the Soviet Union .

The Australian government was the first to introduce polymer-based plastic notes in 1992. To curb black money and improve the security features, Australia underwent Demonetisation and replaced all paper notes by plastic currency in 1996. As polymer-based notes were already in use for four years, the transition was smooth and didn’t have any impact on the economy.

Pakistan’s central bank, in 2016 decided to phase out banknotes of older design to curb black money and gave the general public six years to exchange their currency. People were notified regarding the change and there wasn’t any chaos in the process. But field officers of the central bank will continue to accept the notes of older design till December 31, 2021.

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Demonetisation In India

Basic meaning

  • It refers to the decision of RBI/Government to recall the status of a currency note to be used as a legal tender. Usually, all the currencies issued by RBI can be used as a legal tender as the value they carry is promised by RBI and once the value has been demonetized/recalled/revoked, the currency note cannot be used. Globally the central banks follow a practice wherein older currency notes are recalled and new currency notes with enhanced security features are issued to overcome the menace of counterfeit currency.

Why was demonetization done (as per the reasons given by the government in the present case )

  • To tackle the menace of black money/parallel economy/shadow economy
  • The cash circulation in India is directly connected to corruption hence we want to reduce the cash transactions and also control corruption and thereby move towards cashless transactions.
  • To counter the menace of counterfeit currency
  • To prevent the cash being used for terrorist activities/terror funding
  • It was an ineffective move as only 15% of the high denominations were exchanged
  • The rest never surfaced for the fear of stringent penalties by the government. As per the High Denomination Bank Notes (Demonetization) Act, 1978, it barred the transfer and receipt of high denomination banknotes and made any contravention including a false declaration by depositors and others punishable — with a fine or a three-year prison term
  • The report concluded that demonetization may not be a solution as black money was largely held in the form of benami properties, bullion, and jewellery. Such a measure would only increase the cost as more currency notes which have to be printed. It could also harm the banking logistics

(In the present age the European Central Bank has announced that it would demonetize €500 note)

  • India has one of the highest levels of currencies in circulation which is more than 12% of its GDP value, and the 1000 and 500 rupee notes account for 24.4% (around 2300 crore pieces) of currencies in circulation but over 85% in terms of the value of the currency in circulation Having said so it has to be kept in mind that India is not an outlier in this segment as there are various other countries such as USA’s $100 note and Japan’s ‎¥10000 account for over 80% of currencies under circulation.
Denomination Number of Units in Circulation (in millions) %age of units out of the total circulation %age value out of the total value of notes
Rs 100 note 15778 17.5 09.6
Rs 500 note 15707 17.4 47.8
Rs 1000 note 06326 07.0 38.6

Cash to GDP ratio

Cash is the king – In India majority of the transactions are done in the form of cash

  • As per RBI, 87% of the transactions in India are cash transactions
  • As per the RBI report, debit cards at ATMs account for 88% and 94% (by volume and value respectively) of the debit card transactions, and 12% and 6% account for POS transactions.
  • The infrastructure growth is slow – The POS machines and ATMs are 1.2 million (and there are around 14 million merchants in India, in essence, more than 90% of the merchants are not using the POS machines) and 0.19 million respectively. (From 2013 to 2015, ATMs increased by 43% and POS machines by 28%)
  • ATMs and POS machines are concentrated in an urban area
  • Penetration in non-urban areas is very poor add to this, the connectivity issues
  • Even if the POS machines are installed, low-value transactions are discouraged by the merchants
  • The number of cards issued is on the rise
  • The acceptance infrastructure has to be placed
  • Increasing trade on e-commerce (provided it promotes online payments/transactions)
  • The increasing number of digital wallets-Paytm, Pockets, etc
  • The government has implemented Jan Dhan Yojana and under this, a large population has been able to open their accounts which will be helpful (in the sense the debit cards issued have increased)

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  • As per the statements given in RS by Arjun Ram Meghawal (Minister of State for Finance), the total FICN is to the tune of Rs 400 Cr
  • As per the Lok Sabha Website between 2011 and 2015, the RBI has seized around 26 lakh counterfeit notes of denomination Rs 500 and Rs 1000 amounting to Rs 167 Cr
  • Amongst the two, the FICN of Rs 500 currency notes were higher (both in numbers and in value)
  • As per a study done by ISI (Indian Statistical Institute), at any given point of time, the FICN is to the tune of Rs400 Cr and annually the FICN pumped into the economy is Rs 70 Cr

demonetization-graph 3 (notes seized between 2011 to 2015)

Measures taken

  • FCORD (FICN Co-Ordination) group has been set up by MHA (Ministry of Home Affairs) to share the information with other security agencies regarding controlling FICN
  • The MHA (Ministry of Home Affairs) has set up CCT Cell (Combating Financing of Terrorism Cell) to co-ordinate with FATF (Financial Action Task Force- it’s an intergovernmental body has remarked that high-value bills are used in money laundering schemes, racketeering, and drug and people trafficking)
  • TFFC (Terror Funding and Fake Currency Cell) has been set up under NIA ( National Investigation Agency ) to investigate the terror financing using FICN
  • MoU (Memorandum of Understanding) has been signed between India and Bangladesh to prevent circulation and smuggling of FICN (the majority of the inflows of FICN is done through Pakistan, Nepal, and Bangladesh)
  • Less cash Vs Cashless

The debate has been raging in India over the need for the country to become a cashless economy but the fact of the matter is that a sudden shift from cash-based to cashless will have huge repercussions and not to forget that cash facilitates trade, hence there is a need for India to first move into the less-cash economy (one of the aims in introducing Rs 2000 note) and then move towards becoming a cashless economy

  • The intelligent always find a way around when the currency is demonetized
  • It becomes much more difficult if they have stored the black money in other forms-gold, asset, etc
  • So the way out is that rather than running behind these measures, we must implement the systems, procedures which will bring all those who are supposed to pay the tax, under the tax bracket and we can collect the appropriate taxes from them (as in India, the highest rate of taxation is around 33%, whereas in America, after including the federal and state taxes the tax rates are around 50% and in case of UK it is hovering around 45%)

essay on positive changes in india

Analysis of Demonetisation in India

  • The menace of black money can be controlled to some extent
  • Terror financing, using black money for illegal activities, etc will all take a hit
  • The counterfeit currencies which have an impact on the real economy will be rooted out
  • The mobilization of deposits in the banks will increase, which may lead to increased credit flow and lowering of lending rates
  • The black money adds to the inconspicuous demand and hence the inflation to some extent will be under control
  • The government is also aiming to raise its revenue collection (eg- by taxing exorbitant IT rates over certain deposits, the tax collection in other forms will also increase, etc)
  • Real estate is one of the major sources of black money generation. With this move, it is expected that the property market rates may bottom out or moderate
  • It’s a major step by the government towards forming a cashless economy
  • The honest workers will be rewarded under such a scenario
  • The elections are usually associated with black money generation and circulation, with this scheme the funding of elections through nefarious ways will be hit
  • It is expected that with this move the Fiscal Deficit of the government may come down
  • For one all the black money is not stored in the form of cash only and secondly, the measure takes care of the result but not the cause-black money is generated mainly because of corruption and tax evasion. This measure controls the usage of black money but cannot control the causes
  • Sudden and huge demand for the new currencies
  • Panic amongst the common man (already we have seen the case wherein people have looted fair price shop in MP, Cash Carrying companies seeking higher insurance, etc). already the panic has led to people hoarding currencies which have further reduced the liquidity in the market
  • The small trade/shopkeepers are facing difficulties
  • Black marketing of the new notes/currencies is on the rise
  • The establishments such as banks, hospitals, etc are under a lot of stress
  • Another area that is a cause of worry is the likely drop in the rural demand as the cash usage will become restricted. Apart from this, the experts are also expecting an impact on the SME sector, agricultural production (the economy was expected to perform well as there was an expectation of a good rabi crop after two bad monsoons but a prominent economist, Pronab Sen has said that demonetization is akin to third bad monsoon year as it will have an impact on agricultural production, but the more dangerous situation is this having a spillover effect on to fertilizer, tractor sectors)
  • Only 27% of the villages have a bank within 5 Kms (as per Economic Survey 2015-16)
  • Despite recording breaking implementation of JDY, the banking penetration is low-on an average 46% in all the states (as per Economic Survey 2015-16)
  • Another challenge in implementing and eradicating black money would be the presence of the informal economy. It accounts for 45% of GDP and 80% of employment hence this move may have a greater impact on the informal economy
  • Logistics and cost challenges of replacing all the Rs 500 and Rs 1000 notes – as per the RBI documents this measure would cost at least Rs 12000 crore as it has to replace over 2300 crore pieces of these currencies
  • The decision to issue Rs 2000 denomination currency and withdrawal of Rs 500 and Rs 1000 currency will lead to huge challenge as most of the day to day transactions in India are centered around Rs 500 note (more than 47% of the value of notes in circulation is in Rs 500 note form)
  • The availability of Rs 500 and Rs 1000 notes will be the biggest challenge as both of them covered over 85% in terms of the value of total currencies issued
  • The process has led to huge rush and long queues of the people in front of ATMs and as per the statement of the finance minister the ATM recalibration would take around 2 to 3 weeks
  • As per data furnished by the Finance Ministry, Rs 17,50,000 crore worth of currency notes were in circulation in October-end, out of which over 85% percent or Rs 14,50,000 crore is in the now-defunct Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 notes. So far for the first four days, the government has been able to pump in Rs 50000 cr (on an average 12500 Cr). Going by these numbers it would take around 4 months to replace these notes as against the 50 days promised by the PM

Impact of Demonetization

  • The rural demand even after a good monsoon is unlikely to pick up and agriculture production is unlikely to achieve a 3.5 to 4% GDP growth rate
  • As per Prof Bhanumurthy (NIPFP), all the black money may not find its way to the banks hence GDP growth rate may come down by 1.1% (the professor has also remarked that the money which was not there in the system is being pumped in and add to this if the online transactions are promoted then the GDP growth may pick up rather than declining)
  • As per economist Pronab Sen, this may lead to a lowering of GDP by 0.2 to 0.3%, and in extreme cases, we may end up achieving 7% (targeted is 8%)
  • The opportunists

The online service providers have up their ante when there is a shortage of currency notes, pushing their products/services by providing discounts, coupons, credit, etc. For example, Paytm, which is the largest mobile wallet company, has said that it (since the ban kicked in)

  • Has seen a 700% increase in overall traffic on the platform
  • 1000% growth in the value of money added to the Paytm accounts
  • The average transaction value has increased by 200%
  • Mobile app downloads have increased by 300%
  • Has processed around 5 million transactions each on 12 th and 13 th (Saturday and Sunday respectively) of this month

There is no doubt that the coming months will be painful for the common man, small businesses, housewives, etc as there will be some shortage of legal tender/currency that will have an impact on them. Another rising issue will be that the demand for POS machines, Debit Cards which has to be resolved lest the measures will become an obstacle rather than the solution.

If these measures are implemented efficiently then we can expect a higher collection of taxes, higher investments in the market, price corrections, improvement of India in some of the international rankings, prevent corruption practices, etc and these are some of the reasons why people, although are going through difficulties, are lauding this measure of the government

But after having discussed so much, will this measure eliminate all the black money in the economy? The answer simply would be a confirmative NO as it has been seen that the black money is stored in various forms other than cash (such as gold, jewellery, assets, etc) and as per A 2012 report prepared by the National Institute of Financial Management – on unaccounted income – found that cash was the least preferred option for storing unaccounted wealth

Measures by the Government to control black money

  • One of the first cabinet decisions taken by the government was to set up SIT (Special Investigation Team) on Black Money
  • The Black Money (Undisclosed Foreign Income and Assets) and Imposition of Tax Act, 2015, came into force on July 1, 2015, under which the tax rate imposed was 60%
  • Further upon the leaks of the Panama Papers, the government constituted a Multi-Agency Group (MAG) comprising officers of the Central Board of Direct Taxes , Reserve Bank of India, Enforcement Directorate, and Financial Intelligence Unit.
  • Lok Sabha recently has passed the Benami Transaction Bill, 2015 which is an anti-black money measure that aims to seize unknown property and prosecute those indulging in such activities.
  • This year the government has amended its DTAA’s and is in negotiations with some other countries
  • It is also under negotiations with the authorities in Switzerland in signing Automatic Exchange of Information (AEOI)
  • In this year’s budget government had announced IDS (Income Declaration Scheme) under which it has successfully collected Rs 65,250 crore in the form of taxes .

Aspirants can download the Demonetisation PDF from the link provided below:

Demonetisation Essay PDF:- Download PDF Here

Frequently Asked Questions about Demonetisation

What do you mean by demonetisation, what is the main aim of demonetisation.

The topic ‘ Demonetisation’ can be asked in either prelims or in Mains (GS 3, or Essay) exams. It makes a good topic for Indian Economy preparation that comes under Mains GS III. Aspirants can refer to UPSC Mains GS 3 Strategy and Syllabus article for more information on GS III preparation.

Aspirants can also practise answer writing for important topics other than Demonetisation Essay, from previous year Indian Economy Questions from Mains GS 3 .

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Effects of Globalization on Indian Society

Last updated on April 9, 2022 by ClearIAS Team

effects of globalization on indian society

Globalization has virtually diminished the distances and connected the whole world. Read here to know the effect of globalization on Indian society.

Globalization is a term used to describe how trade and technology have made the world a more connected and interdependent place. Globalization also captures in its scope the economic and social changes that have come about as a result.

In today’s world, consumers have a wide choice of goods and services before them. The latest models of digital cameras, mobile phones, and televisions made by the leading manufacturers of the world are within the reach. Every season, new models of automobiles can be seen on Indian roads. Gone are the days when Ambassador and Fiat were the only cars on Indian roads.

Today, Indians are buying cars produced by nearly all the top companies in the world. A similar explosion of brands can be seen for many other goods: from shirts to televisions to processed fruit juices. Such a wide-ranging choice of goods in our markets is a relatively recent phenomenon.

One wouldn’t have found such a wide variety of goods in Indian markets two decades back. In a matter of years, our markets have been transformed! How do we understand these rapid transformations? What are the factors that brought about these changes? And, how did these changes affect the lives of the people? The answer to all these questions starts with ‘globalization’.

Table of Contents

Effect of globalization on Indian society

Globalization has several aspects and can be political, cultural, social, and economic, out of which financial integration is the most common aspect. India is one of the fastest-growing economies in the world and is predicted to reach the top three in the next decade.

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India’s massive economic growth is largely due to globalization which was a transformational change that didn’t occur until the 1990s. Since then, the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) has grown at an exponential rate.

The many effects of globalization on Indian society and multiple aspects of it have been discussed here.

Impact of globalization on the Indian economy

Overall, globalization has improved various aspects of India, like:

  • International trade relations
  • Technology and communication
  • Corporate world
  • Social and cultural expansion

The reduction of export subsidies and import barriers enabled free trade that made the Indian market attractive to the international community. The untapped potential of the nascent Indian market was opened to the global market and the significant changes were made to its industrial, financial, and agricultural sectors:

Industrial   sector: It saw a massive influx of both foreign capital investments ’ India became a favorite offshore market for pharmaceutical manufacturing, chemical, and petroleum industries. This brought advanced technologies and processes that helped in the modernization of the Indian industrial sector.

Financial sector: Prior to globalization and privatization, India’s financial sector had been mismanaged by a combination of corrupt and inept government officials. The privatization of the financial space created a much more dynamic financial services sector.

Agricultural sector: India still has a largely agrarian society , with a significant majority of the country’s population depending on this sector either directly or indirectly for their livelihood. The new technological capabilities of farmers have increased helping drive global exports of Indian products such as tea, coffee, and sugar.

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The betterment of these sectors has brought about an increase in national income, employment, exports, and GDP growth.

Advantages of globalization for India

  • The increasing globalization of India has access to markets of the country to foreign companies seeking to invest and operate within the massive Indian market.
  • Increase in employment opportunities.
  • Initially, globalization gave foreigners access to an inexpensive, robust labor force. But as the country has progressed, the labor force has grown more skilled and educated over time. Now India has the largest diaspora living abroad.
  • For foreign investors considering the economy as a whole, India offers a well-diversified export basket. This has been highlighted in the Economic Survey of India as well.

The cultural impact of globalization on Indian society

The process of globalization increased access to television and other entertainment sources over the years. Even in the rural areas satellite television has an established market. In the cities, Internet facility is everywhere and it is being extended to rural areas also through schemes like Smart Cities Mission .

There is an increase in the global food chain and restaurants in the urban areas of India. Multiple movie halls, big shopping malls, and high-rise residential are seen in every city.

The entertainment sector in India has now obtained a global market. After economic liberalization, Bollywood expanded its area and showed a major presence on the global scale. Bollywood movies are quite famous in Middle Eastern and many African countries as well.

Western styles began to be incorporated into Bollywood films to expand the outreach.

As these new cultural ideologies began to permeate the Indian population, the Indian urban population was pushed to re-evaluate their traditional Indian cultural ideology.

Bollywood movies are also distributed and accepted at the international level. Big international companies like Walt Disney, 20th Century Fox, and Columbia Pictures are investing in this sector.

Similarly, famous International brands such as Armani, Gucci, Nike, and Omega are also making investments in the Indian market with the changing of fashion statement of Indians.

Women are getting the equal opportunities they very well deserve now in more numbers due to the globalization of the market. Their empowerment has given considerable opportunities and possibilities for improving employment conditions through global solidarity and coordination. It is found that the growth of computers and other technologies enabled women with better waged, flex timings, and capacity to negotiate their role and status in-home and at the corporate level.

Effects of Globalization on Indian Education:

There is a profound effect observed in the educational sector due to globalization such as the literacy rate becoming high.

Foreign Universities are collaborating with different Indian Universities now, expanding the reach for Indian students.

The Indian educational system embraced globalization through Information technology and it offers opportunities to evolve new paradigms shifts in developmental education.

The shift from largely uneducated to an industrial society to an information society has gradually taken shape.

Globalization promotes new tools and techniques such as E-learning, Flexible learning, Distance Education Programs, and Overseas training.

Many government schemes like the ‘ New Education Policy ’ are pushing for a more global education system to make Indian students from every walk of life at par with the global community.

Challenges of globalization in Indian society

  • Economically, for a large market like India is harder to maintain a free, convertible, and open access enabled transnational market.
  • Globalization also means growing interdependence in other nations- this can issues like misdistribution of resources. The parity between underdeveloped, developing, and developed remains status quo in many cases.
  • The universalization of information technology has boons but also banes, in terms of cybercrimes and other darknet activities . The increase in the number of cyberattacks in India is proof of this.
  • Globalization does have a great effect on the ecologies and environments of nations that need safeguards that lessen the negative effects rather than exploiting them without regard to such concerns.
  • The negative effects of globalization on the Indian Industry are that with the coming of technology the number of labor required is decreased and this resulted in increasing unemployment, especially in the arena of the pharmaceutical, chemical, manufacturing, and cement industries.
  • There are a few challenges for companies due to globalization such as Migration, relocation, labor shortages, competition, and changes in skills and technology.

The effects of globalization on Indian society are manifold and have been discussed in detail. The process of globalization has changed the industrial pattern and social life of people. This has had an immense impact on Indian trade, finance, and cultural system.

The globalization of the economic, social, and cultural structures happened in simultaneously. Previously, the pace of the process was slow but now the change is happening in every arena at lightning-fast speed with the use of information technology.

Globalization has resulted in an increase in the production of a range of goods and services. MNCs have established manufacturing plants all over the world. It has positive effects on India and the administration is trying its best to overcome many obstacles and adopt global policies to expand business an international scale.

India is surely gaining international recognition which leads to the strengthening of economic and political areas.

Truly, globalization has made the world a small place, a whole lot of different people interconnected in diverse ways.

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Essay on Indian Education System for Students and Children

500+ words essay on indian education system for students and children.

The Indian education system is quite an old education system that still exists. It has produced so many genius minds that are making India proud all over the world. However, while it is one of the oldest systems, it is still not that developed when compared to others, which are in fact newer. This is so as the other countries have gone through growth and advancement, but the Indian education system is still stuck in old age. It faces a lot of problems that need to be sorted to let it reach its full potential.

Essay on Indian Education System

Problems with Indian Education System

Our Indian education system faces a lot of problems that do not let it prosper and help other children succeed in life . The biggest problem which it has to face is the poor grading system. It judges the intelligence of a student on the basis of academics which is in the form of exam papers. That is very unfair to students who are good in their overall performance but not that good at specific subjects.

Moreover, they only strive to get good marks not paying attention to understanding what is taught. In other words, this encourages getting good marks through mugging up and not actually grasping the concept efficiently.

Furthermore, we see how the Indian education system focuses on theory more. Only a little percentage is given for practical. This makes them run after the bookish knowledge and not actually applying it to the real world. This practice makes them perplexed when they go out in the real world due to lack of practical knowledge.

Most importantly, the Indian education system does not emphasize enough on the importance of sports and arts. Students are always asked to study all the time where they get no time for other activities like sports and arts.

Get the huge list of more than 500 Essay Topics and Ideas

How Can We Improve Indian Education System?

As the Indian Education System is facing so many problems, we need to come up with effective solutions so it improves and creates a brighter future for students . We can start by focusing on the skill development of the students. The schools and colleges must not only focus on the ranks and grades but on the analytical and creative skills of children.

In addition, subjects must not be merely taught theoretically but with practical. This will help in a better understanding of the subject without them having to mug up the whole thing due to lack of practical knowledge. Also, the syllabus must be updated with the changing times and not follow the old age pattern.

Other than that, the government and private colleges must now increase the payroll of teachers. As they clearly deserve more than what they offer. To save money, the schools hire teachers who are not qualified enough. This creates a very bad classroom environment and learning. They must be hired if they are fit for the job and not because they are working at a lesser salary.

In conclusion, the Indian education system must change for the better. It must give the students equal opportunities to shine better in the future. We need to let go of the old and traditional ways and enhance the teaching standards so our youth can get create a better world.

FAQs on Indian Education System

Q.1 What problems does the Indian Education System face?

A.1 Indian education is very old and outdated. It judges students on the basis of marks and grades ignoring the overall performance of the student. It focuses on academics side-lining arts and sports.

Q.2 How can we improve the Indian education system?

A.2 The colleges and schools must hire well and qualified teachers. They must help students to understand the concept instead of merely mugging up the whole subject.

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India election results 2024: How will votes be counted?

Here’s how votes for India’s Lok Sabha polls will be counted using EVMs on June 4.

Indian polling officials

India’s multiphase voting concluded on Saturday after seven rounds of elections over 44 days. The giant electoral exercise – the largest in democratic history – saw 15 million polling staff travelling the length and breadth of the vast country to conduct the vote at about 1 million polling stations, many of which were located in remote villages, hills, deserts and conflict zones.

Voters have braved soaring temperatures to cast their ballots, with the seven phases – April 19 ,  April 26,   May 7 ,  May 13,   May 20,   May 25 and June 1 – recording turnouts of 66.1, 66.7, 61.0, 67.3, 60.5, 63.4 and 62 percent, respectively. An estimated 969 million people were registered to vote. Ballots were cast using electronic voting machines (EVMs).

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At stake are 543 seats in the Lok Sabha – the lower house of India’s Parliament. Votes will be counted on Tuesday, June 4.

Here’s how vote counting for elections works:

What time will votes be counted for India’s 2024 election?

Counting for all constituencies will begin at 8am (02:30 GMT) on Tuesday, June 4.

What are EVMs?

EVMs have been used in India’s elections since 2004 instead of paper ballots.

The Election Commission of India (ECI) developed these machines in collaboration with Bengaluru-based Bharat Electronics Ltd and Hyderabad-based Electronic Corporation of India Ltd, both government-owned companies. EVMs are battery-powered, so electricity is not needed for their functioning. They are not connected to the internet.

An EVM comprises two parts, which are connected through a cable:

  • Control unit: It is operated by the polling officer at the polling booth. It has a “ballot button” which lights up a green LED on the other unit of the EVM, indicating the machine is ready for voting. It shows a “Busy” light while a vote is being cast. A “Close” button allows no more votes to be cast and a “Clear” button removes all data. A section displays the total number of votes cast.
  • Balloting unit: It is kept in the voting compartment at the polling booth. The candidates’ names and symbols are fed into this unit, with a blue button next to each name. The unit also facilitates braille script to enable visually impaired voters to cast their votes without external help. Voters register their votes by pressing the blue button next to their candidate of choice. After the vote is cast, a beep sound goes off on the control unit.

INTERACTIVE_India election 2024_Machine_VVPAT_MAY28_2024 (2)-1716961735

Who oversees vote counting?

The ECI appoints a returning officer (RO) for each parliamentary constituency, making them responsible for vote counting.

An RO is supported by assistant returning officers (AROs), who are responsible for counting in the assembly segments falling under the respective parliamentary constituency. Each parliamentary constituency is divided into assembly segments corresponding to the constituencies in the respective state assemblies. Most parliamentary constituencies typically consist of six or seven assembly constituencies.

How are votes counted?

  • As voting ends, the EVMs are sealed and stored in a strongroom in the parliamentary constituency. On the day of counting, the EVMs are taken out and unsealed in the presence of representatives from all participating political parties.
  • Vote counting begins with the RO counting votes through postal ballots. The counting of EVM votes begins 30 minutes after the postal ballot count. Only the control units of the EVMs are required during the counting.
  • Since there are several assembly constituencies within a parliamentary constituency, vote counting for each assembly segment takes place in a single hall where 14 tables are set up and control units of EVMs are distributed among the tables.
  • The number of halls or tables can be increased if there is a large number of candidates. But it requires the electoral body’s prior permission. Counting can also take place in more than one location within the assembly constituency under the supervision of an ARO.
  • Before counting, several checks are carried out to ensure that the control units are sealed, assigned correctly and functioning properly.
  • In each round, votes registered in 14 EVMs are counted and the results are announced and written on a blackboard attached to each table before the next round of counting.
  • The votes are counted by counting supervisors and counting assistants on each table, who are appointed by the RO through a randomisation process.
  • The control unit of the EVM contains a “Results” button to display the number of votes each candidate received. It also shows the total number of candidates per constituency.
  • When the Results button is pressed, the EVM displays votes secured by candidates one by one, indicated by beep sounds. The control unit shows “End” after the candidates’ vote numbers are displayed.

What is the VVPAT system?

This ECI introduced the Voter Verifiable Paper Audit Trail (VVPAT) system in 2013 to build voters’ confidence in the EVMs.

A VVPAT is connected to the control unit and the balloting unit of an EVM through cables. After a voter casts their vote, the VVPAT generates a corresponding paper slip, which is visible to the voter for about seven seconds to confirm that the vote was cast properly. These slips then fall into a drop box.

The Congress and some other opposition parties have been demanding that VVPAT slips be counted to tally votes for all polling stations across the country as a measure against vote rigging. The ECI has rejected the demand. However, the Supreme Court of India has directed the poll body to match the VVPAT slips from five randomly selected assembly segments with results from respective EVMs.

When will the election results be announced?

Initial trends and subsequent results start coming in soon after the counting begins. The final results of India’s general election will likely be announced on the night of June 4 or the morning of June 5.

Where to check India’s 2024 Lok Sabha election results?

The ECI will publish the results on its website. Al Jazeera will also be bringing you live results , updated with the latest from the ECI, on June 4.

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Climate Change Added a Month’s Worth of Extra-Hot Days in Past Year

Since last May, the average person experienced 26 more days of abnormal warmth than they would have without global warming, a new analysis found.

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A woman wearing a patterned scarf and green pants sits on a hospital bed while connected to an IV stand.

By Raymond Zhong

Over the past year of record-shattering warmth, the average person on Earth experienced 26 more days of abnormally high temperatures than they otherwise would have, were it not for human-induced climate change, scientists said Tuesday.

The past 12 months have been the planet’s hottest ever measured, and the burning of fossil fuels, which has added huge amounts of heat-trapping gases to the atmosphere, is a major reason. Nearly 80 percent of the world’s population experienced at least 31 days of atypical warmth since last May as a result of human-caused warming, the researchers’ analysis found.

Hypothetically, had we not heated the globe to its current state , the number of unusually warm days would have been far fewer, the scientists estimated, using mathematical modeling of the global climate.

The precise difference varies place to place. In some countries, it is just two or three weeks, the researchers found. In others, including Colombia, Indonesia and Rwanda, the difference is upward of 120 days.

“That’s a lot of toll that we’ve imposed on people,” said one of the researchers who conducted the new analysis, Andrew Pershing, the vice president for science at Climate Central, a nonprofit research and news organization based in Princeton, N.J., adding, “It’s a lot of toll that we’ve imposed on nature.” In parts of South America and Africa, he said, it amounts to “120 days that just wouldn’t be there without climate change.”

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