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Null Hypothesis: Definition, Rejecting & Examples

By Jim Frost 6 Comments

What is a Null Hypothesis?

The null hypothesis in statistics states that there is no difference between groups or no relationship between variables. It is one of two mutually exclusive hypotheses about a population in a hypothesis test.

• Null Hypothesis H 0 : No effect exists in the population.
• Alternative Hypothesis H A : The effect exists in the population.

In every study or experiment, researchers assess an effect or relationship. This effect can be the effectiveness of a new drug, building material, or other intervention that has benefits. There is a benefit or connection that the researchers hope to identify. Unfortunately, no effect may exist. In statistics, we call this lack of an effect the null hypothesis. Researchers assume that this notion of no effect is correct until they have enough evidence to suggest otherwise, similar to how a trial presumes innocence.

In this context, the analysts don’t necessarily believe the null hypothesis is correct. In fact, they typically want to reject it because that leads to more exciting finds about an effect or relationship. The new vaccine works!

You can think of it as the default theory that requires sufficiently strong evidence to reject. Like a prosecutor, researchers must collect sufficient evidence to overturn the presumption of no effect. Investigators must work hard to set up a study and a data collection system to obtain evidence that can reject the null hypothesis.

Related post : What is an Effect in Statistics?

Null Hypothesis Examples

Null hypotheses start as research questions that the investigator rephrases as a statement indicating there is no effect or relationship.

After reading these examples, you might think they’re a bit boring and pointless. However, the key is to remember that the null hypothesis defines the condition that the researchers need to discredit before suggesting an effect exists.

Let’s see how you reject the null hypothesis and get to those more exciting findings!

When to Reject the Null Hypothesis

So, you want to reject the null hypothesis, but how and when can you do that? To start, you’ll need to perform a statistical test on your data. The following is an overview of performing a study that uses a hypothesis test.

The first step is to devise a research question and the appropriate null hypothesis. After that, the investigators need to formulate an experimental design and data collection procedures that will allow them to gather data that can answer the research question. Then they collect the data. For more information about designing a scientific study that uses statistics, read my post 5 Steps for Conducting Studies with Statistics .

After data collection is complete, statistics and hypothesis testing enter the picture. Hypothesis testing takes your sample data and evaluates how consistent they are with the null hypothesis. The p-value is a crucial part of the statistical results because it quantifies how strongly the sample data contradict the null hypothesis.

When the sample data provide sufficient evidence, you can reject the null hypothesis. In a hypothesis test, this process involves comparing the p-value to your significance level .

Rejecting the Null Hypothesis

Reject the null hypothesis when the p-value is less than or equal to your significance level. Your sample data favor the alternative hypothesis, which suggests that the effect exists in the population. For a mnemonic device, remember—when the p-value is low, the null must go!

When you can reject the null hypothesis, your results are statistically significant. Learn more about Statistical Significance: Definition & Meaning .

Failing to Reject the Null Hypothesis

Conversely, when the p-value is greater than your significance level, you fail to reject the null hypothesis. The sample data provides insufficient data to conclude that the effect exists in the population. When the p-value is high, the null must fly!

Note that failing to reject the null is not the same as proving it. For more information about the difference, read my post about Failing to Reject the Null .

That’s a very general look at the process. But I hope you can see how the path to more exciting findings depends on being able to rule out the less exciting null hypothesis that states there’s nothing to see here!

Let’s move on to learning how to write the null hypothesis for different types of effects, relationships, and tests.

Related posts : How Hypothesis Tests Work and Interpreting P-values

How to Write a Null Hypothesis

The null hypothesis varies by the type of statistic and hypothesis test. Remember that inferential statistics use samples to draw conclusions about populations. Consequently, when you write a null hypothesis, it must make a claim about the relevant population parameter . Further, that claim usually indicates that the effect does not exist in the population. Below are typical examples of writing a null hypothesis for various parameters and hypothesis tests.

Related posts : Descriptive vs. Inferential Statistics and Populations, Parameters, and Samples in Inferential Statistics

Group Means

T-tests and ANOVA assess the differences between group means. For these tests, the null hypothesis states that there is no difference between group means in the population. In other words, the experimental conditions that define the groups do not affect the mean outcome. Mu (µ) is the population parameter for the mean, and you’ll need to include it in the statement for this type of study.

For example, an experiment compares the mean bone density changes for a new osteoporosis medication. The control group does not receive the medicine, while the treatment group does. The null states that the mean bone density changes for the control and treatment groups are equal.

• Null Hypothesis H 0 : Group means are equal in the population: µ 1 = µ 2 , or µ 1 – µ 2 = 0
• Alternative Hypothesis H A : Group means are not equal in the population: µ 1 ≠ µ 2 , or µ 1 – µ 2 ≠ 0.

Group Proportions

Proportions tests assess the differences between group proportions. For these tests, the null hypothesis states that there is no difference between group proportions. Again, the experimental conditions did not affect the proportion of events in the groups. P is the population proportion parameter that you’ll need to include.

For example, a vaccine experiment compares the infection rate in the treatment group to the control group. The treatment group receives the vaccine, while the control group does not. The null states that the infection rates for the control and treatment groups are equal.

• Null Hypothesis H 0 : Group proportions are equal in the population: p 1 = p 2 .
• Alternative Hypothesis H A : Group proportions are not equal in the population: p 1 ≠ p 2 .

Correlation and Regression Coefficients

Some studies assess the relationship between two continuous variables rather than differences between groups.

In these studies, analysts often use either correlation or regression analysis . For these tests, the null states that there is no relationship between the variables. Specifically, it says that the correlation or regression coefficient is zero. As one variable increases, there is no tendency for the other variable to increase or decrease. Rho (ρ) is the population correlation parameter and beta (β) is the regression coefficient parameter.

For example, a study assesses the relationship between screen time and test performance. The null states that there is no correlation between this pair of variables. As screen time increases, test performance does not tend to increase or decrease.

• Null Hypothesis H 0 : The correlation in the population is zero: ρ = 0.
• Alternative Hypothesis H A : The correlation in the population is not zero: ρ ≠ 0.

For all these cases, the analysts define the hypotheses before the study. After collecting the data, they perform a hypothesis test to determine whether they can reject the null hypothesis.

The preceding examples are all for two-tailed hypothesis tests. To learn about one-tailed tests and how to write a null hypothesis for them, read my post One-Tailed vs. Two-Tailed Tests .

Related post : Understanding Correlation

Neyman, J; Pearson, E. S. (January 1, 1933).  On the Problem of the most Efficient Tests of Statistical Hypotheses .  Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A .  231  (694–706): 289–337.

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January 11, 2024 at 2:57 pm

Thanks for the reply.

January 10, 2024 at 1:23 pm

Hi Jim, In your comment you state that equivalence test null and alternate hypotheses are reversed. For hypothesis tests of data fits to a probability distribution, the null hypothesis is that the probability distribution fits the data. Is this correct?

January 10, 2024 at 2:15 pm

Those two separate things, equivalence testing and normality tests. But, yes, you’re correct for both.

Hypotheses are switched for equivalence testing. You need to “work” (i.e., collect a large sample of good quality data) to be able to reject the null that the groups are different to be able to conclude they’re the same.

With typical hypothesis tests, if you have low quality data and a low sample size, you’ll fail to reject the null that they’re the same, concluding they’re equivalent. But that’s more a statement about the low quality and small sample size than anything to do with the groups being equal.

So, equivalence testing make you work to obtain a finding that the groups are the same (at least within some amount you define as a trivial difference).

For normality testing, and other distribution tests, the null states that the data follow the distribution (normal or whatever). If you reject the null, you have sufficient evidence to conclude that your sample data don’t follow the probability distribution. That’s a rare case where you hope to fail to reject the null. And it suffers from the problem I describe above where you might fail to reject the null simply because you have a small sample size. In that case, you’d conclude the data follow the probability distribution but it’s more that you don’t have enough data for the test to register the deviation. In this scenario, if you had a larger sample size, you’d reject the null and conclude it doesn’t follow that distribution.

I don’t know of any equivalence testing type approach for distribution fit tests where you’d need to work to show the data follow a distribution, although I haven’t looked for one either!

February 20, 2022 at 9:26 pm

Is a null hypothesis regularly (always) stated in the negative? “there is no” or “does not”

February 23, 2022 at 9:21 pm

Typically, the null hypothesis includes an equal sign. The null hypothesis states that the population parameter equals a particular value. That value is usually one that represents no effect. In the case of a one-sided hypothesis test, the null still contains an equal sign but it’s “greater than or equal to” or “less than or equal to.” If you wanted to translate the null hypothesis from its native mathematical expression, you could use the expression “there is no effect.” But the mathematical form more specifically states what it’s testing.

It’s the alternative hypothesis that typically contains does not equal.

There are some exceptions. For example, in an equivalence test where the researchers want to show that two things are equal, the null hypothesis states that they’re not equal.

In short, the null hypothesis states the condition that the researchers hope to reject. They need to work hard to set up an experiment and data collection that’ll gather enough evidence to be able to reject the null condition.

February 15, 2022 at 9:32 am

Dear sir I always read your notes on Research methods.. Kindly tell is there any available Book on all these..wonderfull Urgent

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Null Hypothesis Definition and Examples

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In a scientific experiment, the null hypothesis is the proposition that there is no effect or no relationship between phenomena or populations. If the null hypothesis is true, any observed difference in phenomena or populations would be due to sampling error (random chance) or experimental error. The null hypothesis is useful because it can be tested and found to be false, which then implies that there is a relationship between the observed data. It may be easier to think of it as a nullifiable hypothesis or one that the researcher seeks to nullify. The null hypothesis is also known as the H 0, or no-difference hypothesis.

The alternate hypothesis, H A or H 1 , proposes that observations are influenced by a non-random factor. In an experiment, the alternate hypothesis suggests that the experimental or independent variable has an effect on the dependent variable .

How to State a Null Hypothesis

There are two ways to state a null hypothesis. One is to state it as a declarative sentence, and the other is to present it as a mathematical statement.

For example, say a researcher suspects that exercise is correlated to weight loss, assuming diet remains unchanged. The average length of time to achieve a certain amount of weight loss is six weeks when a person works out five times a week. The researcher wants to test whether weight loss takes longer to occur if the number of workouts is reduced to three times a week.

The first step to writing the null hypothesis is to find the (alternate) hypothesis. In a word problem like this, you're looking for what you expect to be the outcome of the experiment. In this case, the hypothesis is "I expect weight loss to take longer than six weeks."

This can be written mathematically as: H 1 : μ > 6

In this example, μ is the average.

Now, the null hypothesis is what you expect if this hypothesis does not happen. In this case, if weight loss isn't achieved in greater than six weeks, then it must occur at a time equal to or less than six weeks. This can be written mathematically as:

H 0 : μ ≤ 6

The other way to state the null hypothesis is to make no assumption about the outcome of the experiment. In this case, the null hypothesis is simply that the treatment or change will have no effect on the outcome of the experiment. For this example, it would be that reducing the number of workouts would not affect the time needed to achieve weight loss:

H 0 : μ = 6

Null Hypothesis Examples

"Hyperactivity is unrelated to eating sugar " is an example of a null hypothesis. If the hypothesis is tested and found to be false, using statistics, then a connection between hyperactivity and sugar ingestion may be indicated. A significance test is the most common statistical test used to establish confidence in a null hypothesis.

Another example of a null hypothesis is "Plant growth rate is unaffected by the presence of cadmium in the soil ." A researcher could test the hypothesis by measuring the growth rate of plants grown in a medium lacking cadmium, compared with the growth rate of plants grown in mediums containing different amounts of cadmium. Disproving the null hypothesis would set the groundwork for further research into the effects of different concentrations of the element in soil.

Why Test a Null Hypothesis?

You may be wondering why you would want to test a hypothesis just to find it false. Why not just test an alternate hypothesis and find it true? The short answer is that it is part of the scientific method. In science, propositions are not explicitly "proven." Rather, science uses math to determine the probability that a statement is true or false. It turns out it's much easier to disprove a hypothesis than to positively prove one. Also, while the null hypothesis may be simply stated, there's a good chance the alternate hypothesis is incorrect.

For example, if your null hypothesis is that plant growth is unaffected by duration of sunlight, you could state the alternate hypothesis in several different ways. Some of these statements might be incorrect. You could say plants are harmed by more than 12 hours of sunlight or that plants need at least three hours of sunlight, etc. There are clear exceptions to those alternate hypotheses, so if you test the wrong plants, you could reach the wrong conclusion. The null hypothesis is a general statement that can be used to develop an alternate hypothesis, which may or may not be correct.

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Null Hypothesis

In mathematics, Statistics deals with the study of research and surveys on the numerical data. For taking surveys, we have to define the hypothesis. Generally, there are two types of hypothesis. One is a null hypothesis, and another is an alternative hypothesis .

In probability and statistics, the null hypothesis is a comprehensive statement or default status that there is zero happening or nothing happening. For example, there is no connection among groups or no association between two measured events. It is generally assumed here that the hypothesis is true until any other proof has been brought into the light to deny the hypothesis. Let us learn more here with definition, symbol, principle, types and example, in this article.

Table of contents:

• Comparison with Alternative Hypothesis

Null Hypothesis Definition

The null hypothesis is a kind of hypothesis which explains the population parameter whose purpose is to test the validity of the given experimental data. This hypothesis is either rejected or not rejected based on the viability of the given population or sample . In other words, the null hypothesis is a hypothesis in which the sample observations results from the chance. It is said to be a statement in which the surveyors wants to examine the data. It is denoted by H 0 .

Null Hypothesis Symbol

In statistics, the null hypothesis is usually denoted by letter H with subscript ‘0’ (zero), such that H 0 . It is pronounced as H-null or H-zero or H-nought. At the same time, the alternative hypothesis expresses the observations determined by the non-random cause. It is represented by H 1 or H a .

Null Hypothesis Principle

The principle followed for null hypothesis testing is, collecting the data and determining the chances of a given set of data during the study on some random sample, assuming that the null hypothesis is true. In case if the given data does not face the expected null hypothesis, then the outcome will be quite weaker, and they conclude by saying that the given set of data does not provide strong evidence against the null hypothesis because of insufficient evidence. Finally, the researchers tend to reject that.

Null Hypothesis Formula

Here, the hypothesis test formulas are given below for reference.

The formula for the null hypothesis is:

H 0 :  p = p 0

The formula for the alternative hypothesis is:

H a = p >p 0 , < p 0 ≠ p 0

The formula for the test static is:

Remember that,  p 0  is the null hypothesis and p – hat is the sample proportion.

Also, read:

Types of Null Hypothesis

There are different types of hypothesis. They are:

Simple Hypothesis

It completely specifies the population distribution. In this method, the sampling distribution is the function of the sample size.

Composite Hypothesis

The composite hypothesis is one that does not completely specify the population distribution.

Exact Hypothesis

Exact hypothesis defines the exact value of the parameter. For example μ= 50

Inexact Hypothesis

This type of hypothesis does not define the exact value of the parameter. But it denotes a specific range or interval. For example 45< μ <60

Null Hypothesis Rejection

Sometimes the null hypothesis is rejected too. If this hypothesis is rejected means, that research could be invalid. Many researchers will neglect this hypothesis as it is merely opposite to the alternate hypothesis. It is a better practice to create a hypothesis and test it. The goal of researchers is not to reject the hypothesis. But it is evident that a perfect statistical model is always associated with the failure to reject the null hypothesis.

How do you Find the Null Hypothesis?

The null hypothesis says there is no correlation between the measured event (the dependent variable) and the independent variable. We don’t have to believe that the null hypothesis is true to test it. On the contrast, you will possibly assume that there is a connection between a set of variables ( dependent and independent).

When is Null Hypothesis Rejected?

The null hypothesis is rejected using the P-value approach. If the P-value is less than or equal to the α, there should be a rejection of the null hypothesis in favour of the alternate hypothesis. In case, if P-value is greater than α, the null hypothesis is not rejected.

Null Hypothesis and Alternative Hypothesis

Now, let us discuss the difference between the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis.

Null Hypothesis Examples

Here, some of the examples of the null hypothesis are given below. Go through the below ones to understand the concept of the null hypothesis in a better way.

If a medicine reduces the risk of cardiac stroke, then the null hypothesis should be “the medicine does not reduce the chance of cardiac stroke”. This testing can be performed by the administration of a drug to a certain group of people in a controlled way. If the survey shows that there is a significant change in the people, then the hypothesis is rejected.

Few more examples are:

1). Are there is 100% chance of getting affected by dengue?

Ans: There could be chances of getting affected by dengue but not 100%.

2). Do teenagers are using mobile phones more than grown-ups to access the internet?

Ans: Age has no limit on using mobile phones to access the internet.

3). Does having apple daily will not cause fever?

Ans: Having apple daily does not assure of not having fever, but increases the immunity to fight against such diseases.

4). Do the children more good in doing mathematical calculations than grown-ups?

Ans: Age has no effect on Mathematical skills.

In many common applications, the choice of the null hypothesis is not automated, but the testing and calculations may be automated. Also, the choice of the null hypothesis is completely based on previous experiences and inconsistent advice. The choice can be more complicated and based on the variety of applications and the diversity of the objectives. 

The main limitation for the choice of the null hypothesis is that the hypothesis suggested by the data is based on the reasoning which proves nothing. It means that if some hypothesis provides a summary of the data set, then there would be no value in the testing of the hypothesis on the particular set of data. 

Frequently Asked Questions on Null Hypothesis

What is meant by the null hypothesis.

In Statistics, a null hypothesis is a type of hypothesis which explains the population parameter whose purpose is to test the validity of the given experimental data.

What are the benefits of hypothesis testing?

Hypothesis testing is defined as a form of inferential statistics, which allows making conclusions from the entire population based on the sample representative.

When a null hypothesis is accepted and rejected?

The null hypothesis is either accepted or rejected in terms of the given data. If P-value is less than α, then the null hypothesis is rejected in favor of the alternative hypothesis, and if the P-value is greater than α, then the null hypothesis is accepted in favor of the alternative hypothesis.

Why is the null hypothesis important?

The importance of the null hypothesis is that it provides an approximate description of the phenomena of the given data. It allows the investigators to directly test the relational statement in a research study.

How to accept or reject the null hypothesis in the chi-square test?

If the result of the chi-square test is bigger than the critical value in the table, then the data does not fit the model, which represents the rejection of the null hypothesis.

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Null Hypothesis Definition and Examples, How to State

What is the null hypothesis, how to state the null hypothesis, null hypothesis overview.

Why is it Called the “Null”?

The word “null” in this context means that it’s a commonly accepted fact that researchers work to nullify . It doesn’t mean that the statement is null (i.e. amounts to nothing) itself! (Perhaps the term should be called the “nullifiable hypothesis” as that might cause less confusion).

Why Do I need to Test it? Why not just prove an alternate one?

The short answer is, as a scientist, you are required to ; It’s part of the scientific process. Science uses a battery of processes to prove or disprove theories, making sure than any new hypothesis has no flaws. Including both a null and an alternate hypothesis is one safeguard to ensure your research isn’t flawed. Not including the null hypothesis in your research is considered very bad practice by the scientific community. If you set out to prove an alternate hypothesis without considering it, you are likely setting yourself up for failure. At a minimum, your experiment will likely not be taken seriously.

• Null hypothesis : H 0 : The world is flat.
• Alternate hypothesis: The world is round.

Several scientists, including Copernicus , set out to disprove the null hypothesis. This eventually led to the rejection of the null and the acceptance of the alternate. Most people accepted it — the ones that didn’t created the Flat Earth Society !. What would have happened if Copernicus had not disproved the it and merely proved the alternate? No one would have listened to him. In order to change people’s thinking, he first had to prove that their thinking was wrong .

How to State the Null Hypothesis from a Word Problem

You’ll be asked to convert a word problem into a hypothesis statement in statistics that will include a null hypothesis and an alternate hypothesis . Breaking your problem into a few small steps makes these problems much easier to handle.

Step 2: Convert the hypothesis to math . Remember that the average is sometimes written as μ.

H 1 : μ > 8.2

Broken down into (somewhat) English, that’s H 1 (The hypothesis): μ (the average) > (is greater than) 8.2

Step 3: State what will happen if the hypothesis doesn’t come true. If the recovery time isn’t greater than 8.2 weeks, there are only two possibilities, that the recovery time is equal to 8.2 weeks or less than 8.2 weeks.

H 0 : μ ≤ 8.2

Broken down again into English, that’s H 0 (The null hypothesis): μ (the average) ≤ (is less than or equal to) 8.2

How to State the Null Hypothesis: Part Two

But what if the researcher doesn’t have any idea what will happen.

Example Problem: A researcher is studying the effects of radical exercise program on knee surgery patients. There is a good chance the therapy will improve recovery time, but there’s also the possibility it will make it worse. Average recovery times for knee surgery patients is 8.2 weeks. 

Step 1: State what will happen if the experiment doesn’t make any difference. That’s the null hypothesis–that nothing will happen. In this experiment, if nothing happens, then the recovery time will stay at 8.2 weeks.

H 0 : μ = 8.2

Broken down into English, that’s H 0 (The null hypothesis): μ (the average) = (is equal to) 8.2

Step 2: Figure out the alternate hypothesis . The alternate hypothesis is the opposite of the null hypothesis. In other words, what happens if our experiment makes a difference?

H 1 : μ ≠ 8.2

In English again, that’s H 1 (The  alternate hypothesis): μ (the average) ≠ (is not equal to) 8.2

That’s How to State the Null Hypothesis!

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Gonick, L. (1993). The Cartoon Guide to Statistics . HarperPerennial. Kotz, S.; et al., eds. (2006), Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences , Wiley.

9.1 Null and Alternative Hypotheses

The actual test begins by considering two hypotheses . They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis . These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints.

H 0 , the — null hypothesis: a statement of no difference between sample means or proportions or no difference between a sample mean or proportion and a population mean or proportion. In other words, the difference equals 0.

H a —, the alternative hypothesis: a claim about the population that is contradictory to H 0 and what we conclude when we reject H 0 .

Since the null and alternative hypotheses are contradictory, you must examine evidence to decide if you have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis or not. The evidence is in the form of sample data.

After you have determined which hypothesis the sample supports, you make a decision. There are two options for a decision. They are reject H 0 if the sample information favors the alternative hypothesis or do not reject H 0 or decline to reject H 0 if the sample information is insufficient to reject the null hypothesis.

Mathematical Symbols Used in H 0 and H a :

H 0 always has a symbol with an equal in it. H a never has a symbol with an equal in it. The choice of symbol depends on the wording of the hypothesis test. However, be aware that many researchers use = in the null hypothesis, even with > or < as the symbol in the alternative hypothesis. This practice is acceptable because we only make the decision to reject or not reject the null hypothesis.

Example 9.1

H 0 : No more than 30 percent of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p ≤ 30 H a : More than 30 percent of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p > 30

A medical trial is conducted to test whether or not a new medicine reduces cholesterol by 25 percent. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

Example 9.2

We want to test whether the mean GPA of students in American colleges is different from 2.0 (out of 4.0). The null and alternative hypotheses are the following: H 0 : μ = 2.0 H a : μ ≠ 2.0

We want to test whether the mean height of eighth graders is 66 inches. State the null and alternative hypotheses. Fill in the correct symbol (=, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses.

• H 0 : μ __ 66
• H a : μ __ 66

Example 9.3

We want to test if college students take fewer than five years to graduate from college, on the average. The null and alternative hypotheses are the following: H 0 : μ ≥ 5 H a : μ < 5

We want to test if it takes fewer than 45 minutes to teach a lesson plan. State the null and alternative hypotheses. Fill in the correct symbol ( =, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses.

• H 0 : μ __ 45
• H a : μ __ 45

Example 9.4

An article on school standards stated that about half of all students in France, Germany, and Israel take advanced placement exams and a third of the students pass. The same article stated that 6.6 percent of U.S. students take advanced placement exams and 4.4 percent pass. Test if the percentage of U.S. students who take advanced placement exams is more than 6.6 percent. State the null and alternative hypotheses. H 0 : p ≤ 0.066 H a : p > 0.066

On a state driver’s test, about 40 percent pass the test on the first try. We want to test if more than 40 percent pass on the first try. Fill in the correct symbol (=, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses.

• H 0 : p __ 0.40
• H a : p __ 0.40

Collaborative Exercise

Bring to class a newspaper, some news magazines, and some internet articles. In groups, find articles from which your group can write null and alternative hypotheses. Discuss your hypotheses with the rest of the class.

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• Null and Alternative Hypotheses | Definitions & Examples

Null and Alternative Hypotheses | Definitions & Examples

Published on 5 October 2022 by Shaun Turney . Revised on 6 December 2022.

The null and alternative hypotheses are two competing claims that researchers weigh evidence for and against using a statistical test :

• Null hypothesis (H 0 ): There’s no effect in the population .
• Alternative hypothesis (H A ): There’s an effect in the population.

The effect is usually the effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable .

Table of contents

Answering your research question with hypotheses, what is a null hypothesis, what is an alternative hypothesis, differences between null and alternative hypotheses, how to write null and alternative hypotheses, frequently asked questions about null and alternative hypotheses.

The null and alternative hypotheses offer competing answers to your research question . When the research question asks “Does the independent variable affect the dependent variable?”, the null hypothesis (H 0 ) answers “No, there’s no effect in the population.” On the other hand, the alternative hypothesis (H A ) answers “Yes, there is an effect in the population.”

The null and alternative are always claims about the population. That’s because the goal of hypothesis testing is to make inferences about a population based on a sample . Often, we infer whether there’s an effect in the population by looking at differences between groups or relationships between variables in the sample.

You can use a statistical test to decide whether the evidence favors the null or alternative hypothesis. Each type of statistical test comes with a specific way of phrasing the null and alternative hypothesis. However, the hypotheses can also be phrased in a general way that applies to any test.

The null hypothesis is the claim that there’s no effect in the population.

If the sample provides enough evidence against the claim that there’s no effect in the population ( p ≤ α), then we can reject the null hypothesis . Otherwise, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Although “fail to reject” may sound awkward, it’s the only wording that statisticians accept. Be careful not to say you “prove” or “accept” the null hypothesis.

Null hypotheses often include phrases such as “no effect”, “no difference”, or “no relationship”. When written in mathematical terms, they always include an equality (usually =, but sometimes ≥ or ≤).

Examples of null hypotheses

The table below gives examples of research questions and null hypotheses. There’s always more than one way to answer a research question, but these null hypotheses can help you get started.

*Note that some researchers prefer to always write the null hypothesis in terms of “no effect” and “=”. It would be fine to say that daily meditation has no effect on the incidence of depression and p 1 = p 2 .

The alternative hypothesis (H A ) is the other answer to your research question . It claims that there’s an effect in the population.

Often, your alternative hypothesis is the same as your research hypothesis. In other words, it’s the claim that you expect or hope will be true.

The alternative hypothesis is the complement to the null hypothesis. Null and alternative hypotheses are exhaustive, meaning that together they cover every possible outcome. They are also mutually exclusive, meaning that only one can be true at a time.

Alternative hypotheses often include phrases such as “an effect”, “a difference”, or “a relationship”. When alternative hypotheses are written in mathematical terms, they always include an inequality (usually ≠, but sometimes > or <). As with null hypotheses, there are many acceptable ways to phrase an alternative hypothesis.

Examples of alternative hypotheses

The table below gives examples of research questions and alternative hypotheses to help you get started with formulating your own.

Null and alternative hypotheses are similar in some ways:

• They’re both answers to the research question
• They both make claims about the population
• They’re both evaluated by statistical tests.

However, there are important differences between the two types of hypotheses, summarized in the following table.

To help you write your hypotheses, you can use the template sentences below. If you know which statistical test you’re going to use, you can use the test-specific template sentences. Otherwise, you can use the general template sentences.

The only thing you need to know to use these general template sentences are your dependent and independent variables. To write your research question, null hypothesis, and alternative hypothesis, fill in the following sentences with your variables:

Does independent variable affect dependent variable ?

• Null hypothesis (H 0 ): Independent variable does not affect dependent variable .
• Alternative hypothesis (H A ): Independent variable affects dependent variable .

Test-specific

Once you know the statistical test you’ll be using, you can write your hypotheses in a more precise and mathematical way specific to the test you chose. The table below provides template sentences for common statistical tests.

Note: The template sentences above assume that you’re performing one-tailed tests . One-tailed tests are appropriate for most studies.

The null hypothesis is often abbreviated as H 0 . When the null hypothesis is written using mathematical symbols, it always includes an equality symbol (usually =, but sometimes ≥ or ≤).

The alternative hypothesis is often abbreviated as H a or H 1 . When the alternative hypothesis is written using mathematical symbols, it always includes an inequality symbol (usually ≠, but sometimes < or >).

A research hypothesis is your proposed answer to your research question. The research hypothesis usually includes an explanation (‘ x affects y because …’).

A statistical hypothesis, on the other hand, is a mathematical statement about a population parameter. Statistical hypotheses always come in pairs: the null and alternative hypotheses. In a well-designed study , the statistical hypotheses correspond logically to the research hypothesis.

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Null Hypothesis Examples

The null hypothesis (H 0 ) is the hypothesis that states there is no statistical difference between two sample sets. In other words, it assumes the independent variable does not have an effect on the dependent variable in a scientific experiment .

The null hypothesis is the most powerful type of hypothesis in the scientific method because it’s the easiest one to test with a high confidence level using statistics. If the null hypothesis is accepted, then it’s evidence any observed differences between two experiment groups are due to random chance. If the null hypothesis is rejected, then it’s strong evidence there is a true difference between test sets or that the independent variable affects the dependent variable.

• The null hypothesis is a nullifiable hypothesis. A researcher seeks to reject it because this result strongly indicates observed differences are real and not just due to chance.
• The null hypothesis may be accepted or rejected, but not proven. There is always a level of confidence in the outcome.

What Is the Null Hypothesis?

The null hypothesis is written as H 0 , which is read as H-zero, H-nought, or H-null. It is associated with another hypothesis, called the alternate or alternative hypothesis H A or H 1 . When the null hypothesis and alternate hypothesis are written mathematically, they cover all possible outcomes of an experiment.

An experimenter tests the null hypothesis with a statistical analysis called a significance test. The significance test determines the likelihood that the results of the test are not due to chance. Usually, a researcher uses a confidence level of 95% or 99% (p-value of 0.05 or 0.01). But, even if the confidence in the test is high, there is always a small chance the outcome is incorrect. This means you can’t prove a null hypothesis. It’s also a good reason why it’s important to repeat experiments.

Exact and Inexact Null Hypothesis

The most common type of null hypothesis assumes no difference between two samples or groups or no measurable effect of a treatment. This is the exact hypothesis . If you’re asked to state a null hypothesis for a science class, this is the one to write. It is the easiest type of hypothesis to test and is the only one accepted for certain types of analysis. Examples include:

There is no difference between two groups H 0 : μ 1  = μ 2 (where H 0  = the null hypothesis, μ 1  = the mean of population 1, and μ 2  = the mean of population 2)

Both groups have value of 100 (or any number or quality) H 0 : μ = 100

However, sometimes a researcher may test an inexact hypothesis . This type of hypothesis specifies ranges or intervals. Examples include:

Recovery time from a treatment is the same or worse than a placebo: H 0 : μ ≥ placebo time

There is a 5% or less difference between two groups: H 0 : 95 ≤ μ ≤ 105

An inexact hypothesis offers “directionality” about a phenomenon. For example, an exact hypothesis can indicate whether or not a treatment has an effect, while an inexact hypothesis can tell whether an effect is positive of negative. However, an inexact hypothesis may be harder to test and some scientists and statisticians disagree about whether it’s a true null hypothesis .

How to State the Null Hypothesis

To state the null hypothesis, first state what you expect the experiment to show. Then, rephrase the statement in a form that assumes there is no relationship between the variables or that a treatment has no effect.

Example: A researcher tests whether a new drug speeds recovery time from a certain disease. The average recovery time without treatment is 3 weeks.

• State the goal of the experiment: “I hope the average recovery time with the new drug will be less than 3 weeks.”
• Rephrase the hypothesis to assume the treatment has no effect: “If the drug doesn’t shorten recovery time, then the average time will be 3 weeks or longer.” Mathematically: H 0 : μ ≥ 3

This null hypothesis (inexact hypothesis) covers both the scenario in which the drug has no effect and the one in which the drugs makes the recovery time longer. The alternate hypothesis is that average recovery time will be less than three weeks:

H A : μ < 3

Of course, the researcher could test the no-effect hypothesis (exact null hypothesis): H 0 : μ = 3

The danger of testing this hypothesis is that rejecting it only implies the drug affected recovery time (not whether it made it better or worse). This is because the alternate hypothesis is:

H A : μ ≠ 3 (which includes μ <3 and μ >3)

Even though the no-effect null hypothesis yields less information, it’s used because it’s easier to test using statistics. Basically, testing whether something is unchanged/changed is easier than trying to quantify the nature of the change.

Remember, a researcher hopes to reject the null hypothesis because this supports the alternate hypothesis. Also, be sure the null and alternate hypothesis cover all outcomes. Finally, remember a simple true/false, equal/unequal, yes/no exact hypothesis is easier to test than a more complex inexact hypothesis.

• Adèr, H. J.; Mellenbergh, G. J. & Hand, D. J. (2007).  Advising on Research Methods: A Consultant’s Companion . Huizen, The Netherlands: Johannes van Kessel Publishing. ISBN  978-90-79418-01-5 .
• Cox, D. R. (2006).  Principles of Statistical Inference . Cambridge University Press. ISBN  978-0-521-68567-2 .
• Everitt, Brian (1998).  The Cambridge Dictionary of Statistics . Cambridge, UK New York: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-0521593465.
• Weiss, Neil A. (1999).  Introductory Statistics  (5th ed.). ISBN 9780201598773.

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Hypothesis Testing | A Step-by-Step Guide with Easy Examples

Published on November 8, 2019 by Rebecca Bevans . Revised on June 22, 2023.

Hypothesis testing is a formal procedure for investigating our ideas about the world using statistics . It is most often used by scientists to test specific predictions, called hypotheses, that arise from theories.

There are 5 main steps in hypothesis testing:

• State your research hypothesis as a null hypothesis and alternate hypothesis (H o ) and (H a  or H 1 ).
• Collect data in a way designed to test the hypothesis.
• Perform an appropriate statistical test .
• Decide whether to reject or fail to reject your null hypothesis.
• Present the findings in your results and discussion section.

Though the specific details might vary, the procedure you will use when testing a hypothesis will always follow some version of these steps.

Table of contents

Step 1: state your null and alternate hypothesis, step 2: collect data, step 3: perform a statistical test, step 4: decide whether to reject or fail to reject your null hypothesis, step 5: present your findings, other interesting articles, frequently asked questions about hypothesis testing.

After developing your initial research hypothesis (the prediction that you want to investigate), it is important to restate it as a null (H o ) and alternate (H a ) hypothesis so that you can test it mathematically.

The alternate hypothesis is usually your initial hypothesis that predicts a relationship between variables. The null hypothesis is a prediction of no relationship between the variables you are interested in.

• H 0 : Men are, on average, not taller than women. H a : Men are, on average, taller than women.

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For a statistical test to be valid , it is important to perform sampling and collect data in a way that is designed to test your hypothesis. If your data are not representative, then you cannot make statistical inferences about the population you are interested in.

There are a variety of statistical tests available, but they are all based on the comparison of within-group variance (how spread out the data is within a category) versus between-group variance (how different the categories are from one another).

If the between-group variance is large enough that there is little or no overlap between groups, then your statistical test will reflect that by showing a low p -value . This means it is unlikely that the differences between these groups came about by chance.

Alternatively, if there is high within-group variance and low between-group variance, then your statistical test will reflect that with a high p -value. This means it is likely that any difference you measure between groups is due to chance.

Your choice of statistical test will be based on the type of variables and the level of measurement of your collected data .

• an estimate of the difference in average height between the two groups.
• a p -value showing how likely you are to see this difference if the null hypothesis of no difference is true.

Based on the outcome of your statistical test, you will have to decide whether to reject or fail to reject your null hypothesis.

In most cases you will use the p -value generated by your statistical test to guide your decision. And in most cases, your predetermined level of significance for rejecting the null hypothesis will be 0.05 – that is, when there is a less than 5% chance that you would see these results if the null hypothesis were true.

In some cases, researchers choose a more conservative level of significance, such as 0.01 (1%). This minimizes the risk of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis ( Type I error ).

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The results of hypothesis testing will be presented in the results and discussion sections of your research paper , dissertation or thesis .

In the results section you should give a brief summary of the data and a summary of the results of your statistical test (for example, the estimated difference between group means and associated p -value). In the discussion , you can discuss whether your initial hypothesis was supported by your results or not.

In the formal language of hypothesis testing, we talk about rejecting or failing to reject the null hypothesis. You will probably be asked to do this in your statistics assignments.

However, when presenting research results in academic papers we rarely talk this way. Instead, we go back to our alternate hypothesis (in this case, the hypothesis that men are on average taller than women) and state whether the result of our test did or did not support the alternate hypothesis.

If your null hypothesis was rejected, this result is interpreted as “supported the alternate hypothesis.”

These are superficial differences; you can see that they mean the same thing.

You might notice that we don’t say that we reject or fail to reject the alternate hypothesis . This is because hypothesis testing is not designed to prove or disprove anything. It is only designed to test whether a pattern we measure could have arisen spuriously, or by chance.

If we reject the null hypothesis based on our research (i.e., we find that it is unlikely that the pattern arose by chance), then we can say our test lends support to our hypothesis . But if the pattern does not pass our decision rule, meaning that it could have arisen by chance, then we say the test is inconsistent with our hypothesis .

If you want to know more about statistics , methodology , or research bias , make sure to check out some of our other articles with explanations and examples.

• Normal distribution
• Descriptive statistics
• Measures of central tendency
• Correlation coefficient

Methodology

• Cluster sampling
• Stratified sampling
• Types of interviews
• Cohort study
• Thematic analysis

Research bias

• Implicit bias
• Cognitive bias
• Survivorship bias
• Availability heuristic
• Nonresponse bias
• Regression to the mean

Hypothesis testing is a formal procedure for investigating our ideas about the world using statistics. It is used by scientists to test specific predictions, called hypotheses , by calculating how likely it is that a pattern or relationship between variables could have arisen by chance.

A hypothesis states your predictions about what your research will find. It is a tentative answer to your research question that has not yet been tested. For some research projects, you might have to write several hypotheses that address different aspects of your research question.

A hypothesis is not just a guess — it should be based on existing theories and knowledge. It also has to be testable, which means you can support or refute it through scientific research methods (such as experiments, observations and statistical analysis of data).

Null and alternative hypotheses are used in statistical hypothesis testing . The null hypothesis of a test always predicts no effect or no relationship between variables, while the alternative hypothesis states your research prediction of an effect or relationship.

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Basics of machine learning, machine learning lifecycle, importance of stats and eda, understanding data, probability, exploring continuous variable, exploring categorical variables, missing values and outliers, central limit theorem, bivariate analysis introduction, continuous - continuous variables, continuous categorical, categorical categorical, multivariate analysis, different tasks in machine learning, build your first predictive model, evaluation metrics, preprocessing data, linear models, selecting the right model, feature selection techniques, decision tree, feature engineering, naive bayes, multiclass and multilabel, basics of ensemble techniques, advance ensemble techniques, hyperparameter tuning, support vector machine, advance dimensionality reduction, unsupervised machine learning methods, recommendation engines, improving ml models, working with large datasets, interpretability of machine learning models, automated machine learning, model deployment, deploying ml models, embedded devices, a simple guide to hypothesis testing for dummies.

This article was published as a part of the  Data Science Blogathon

Introduction

Statistics is the science of analyzing huge amounts of data. In the real world, it is nearly impossible to deduce statistics about the entire population. And this huge amount of data needs interpretation to draw meaningful conclusions. Hence, we take some random samples from the population, derive some statistical measures (e.g. mean, standard deviation, variance), and draw conclusions about relationships from the data collected.

Data can be interpreted by assuming a specific outcome and use statistical methods to confirm or reject the assumption. This assumption is called a hypothesis and the statistical test used for this purpose is called hypothesis testing .

In statistics, a hypothesis is a statement about a population that we want to verify based on information contained in the sample data.

Hypothesis testing quantifies an observation or outcome of an experiment under a given assumption. The result of the test enables us to interpret whether the assumption holds true or false. In other words, it signifies if the hypothesis can be confirmed or rejected for the observation made.

An observation or outcome of an experiment is known as a test statistic , which is a statistic measure or a standardized value that is calculated from sample data of the underlying population.

The assumption of hypothesis testing is called the null hypothesis. A null hypothesis is a type of assumption used in statistics indicating that there is no significant difference between the samples from the underlying population. It is also known as the default hypothesis, represented by H 0 . In contrast, there is a term “Alternative Hypothesis”, represented by H 1 . For every null hypothesis, there is an alternative hypothesis that is opposite to what the null hypothesis states. In other words, if we reject the null hypothesis, we fail to reject the alternative hypothesis.

The decision of confirming or rejecting the null hypothesis is made by interpreting the result of the test. The result of the hypothesis testing can be interpreted using p-values or critical values. The p-value is the probability of deducing the observed value, given the assumption. On the other hand, critical values are cut-off values that define regions where the test statistic is unlikely to lie.

Perform Hypothesis Testing

Hypothesis testing can be performed using these 3 steps:

1. Design a test statistic

2. Design a null hypothesis

3. Compute the p-value or critical values

How about looking at this coin-toss example to see how is hypothetical testing performed?

Given a coin, determine if the coin is biased towards heads or not.

What do you mean by saying a coin is biased towards heads? This means that the probability of getting heads is greater than 0.5 i.e. P(H) > 0.5.

Design an experiment

Flip a coin 5 times, and count the number of heads.

Consider the count of the number of heads as a random variable ‘X’. In the theory of statistical hypothesis testing, it is known as a test statistic i.e. X = 5.

Perform the experiment

We flip the coin 5 times.

There are 32 such observations. Out of these 32 possibilities, there is only one observation that has 5 heads. Hence, the test statistic is X = 5.

Now, compute the probability that X = 5, when the coin is not biased towards Heads.

Here, the assumption is “coin is not biased towards heads”. In hypothetical testing, this assumption is known as the null hypothesis (H 0 ).

Result of the experiment

When a coin is tossed once, the probability of getting Heads, i.e. P(H) = 1/2. Similarly, when a coin is tossed 5 times, the probability of getting heads assuming the coin is not biased is 1/2 5 or 1/32.

P(X = 5 | H 0 ) ≈ 0.03 = 3%

This means that there is a probability of 3% of getting 5 heads in 5 flips if the coin is not biassed towards heads.

While performing this experiment, an observation is made which is X = 5.

In hypothesis testing, the probability of observing the value of the test statistic by experimentation i.e. X = 5 if the null hypothesis is true is 3%.

Here, the test statistic i.e. X = 5 is the observation which is the ground truth. Hence, this fact cannot be revoked.

So, given that this observation has already been made, the probability of this observation if the assumption is also true is only 3% which is very low.

This probability value is called the p-value; the result of the statistical hypothesis testing.

Typically, the p-value is said to be small if it is less than or equal to 5%. This is just a rule of thumb.

If the probability of making the observation that we already made, given the null hypothesis is less than or equal to 5%, then probably the assumption (the coin is not biased towards heads) is incorrect. Hence, it can be concluded that the null hypothesis is incorrect. In this scenario, the assumption that the coin is not biased towards heads is rejected, confirming the idea that the coin is biased. In other words, the alternative hypothesis (H 1 ) is failing to reject.

Here the experiment was designed saying the coin was flipped 5 times. What if the coin was flipped 3 times or 10 times? The probability values will change. So, this experiment is dependent on the number of flips. This is often called a sample size.

Now, let the same experiment be modified as flip a coin 3 times and count the number of heads . Here, the new test statistic is 3 i.e. X = 3. Hence, when the coin is tossed 3 times, the probability of getting heads assuming the coin is not biased is 1/2 3 = 1/8.

P(X = 3 | H 0 ) = 0.125 = 12.5%

This means that there is a probability of 12.5% of getting 3 heads in 3 flips if the coin is not biased towards heads.

This probability value is much greater than 5%. Hence, the assumption is failing to reject i.e. the coin is not biased.

The results of the hypothesis testing must be wisely interpreted to make claims about the data. The results can be interpreted in different ways. They are the p-values and critical values.

How to interpret the p-value?

A statistical hypothesis test may return a p-value. A p-value is defined as the probability of making the observation made, given the null hypothesis is true. It is calculated using the sample distribution of the test statistic, under the assumption i.e. null hypothesis.

The p-value is used to quantify the result of the test given the null hypothesis. This is done by comparing the p-value to the threshold value also known as significance level referred to by the Greek letter alpha .

Typically, the alpha value is 0.05 or 5%.

The p-value is compared to the pre-defined alpha value. The result of the experiment is significant when the p-value is less than, equal to the alpha value signifying that a change was detected, rejecting the null hypothesis.

P(test statistic | H 0 ) > alpha (5%): failed to reject H 0

P(test statistic | H 0 ) <= alpha (5%): reject H 0

Let us assume, we performed a statistical hypothesis test of whether the data sample is normally distributed and calculated a p-value of 0.9, we can say that the hypothesis test found that the sample is normally distributed, failing to reject the null hypothesis at a 5% significance level.

There is one mistake that a lot of people often make. Some people think that it is the probability that the null hypothesis (H 0 ) is true.

This is incorrect! We cannot state anything about the null hypothesis (H 0 ).

Instead, the p-value is the probability of the observation you have made given that the null hypothesis (H 0 ) is true.

How to interpret critical values?

Not all statistical tests return a p-value. Instead, they might return a critical value and associated significance level along with the test statistic.

The interpretation of the results is similar to the p-value results. Instead of comparing the p-value to a pre-defined significance level, the test statistic is compared to the critical value at a chosen significance level.

test statistic < critical value: fail to reject H 0

test statistic >= critical value: reject H 0

Representation of the results using the critical values are in the same way as they are interpreted using the p-value.

While performing a statistical hypothesis test of whether the data sample is normally distributed is calculated and the test statistic was compared to the critical value at the 5% significance level, we can say that the hypothesis test found that the sample is normally distributed, failing to reject the null hypothesis at a 5% significance level.

Errors in Hypothesis Testing

In hypothesis testing, relatively small samples are used to answer questions about population parameters. There is always a chance that the selected sample is not representative of the population; therefore, there is always a chance that the conclusion deduced is wrong.

Hypothesis testing provides confidence in favor of a certain hypothesis. In other words, hypothesis testing refers to the use of statistical analysis to determine if observed differences between two or more data samples are due to random chance or to be true differences in the samples.

Since we are computing the probability of an experiment it can be deduced that interpretation of the hypothetical test is purely probabilistic. This means that the outcome of the experiment can be misunderstood.

If the p-value is small; rejecting the null hypothesis indicates either of these 2 scenarios:

• The null hypothesis is false – we are right
• The null hypothesis is true and some rare and unlikely event occurred – we made a mistake.

This type of error is called False Positive – Type I Error.

On contrary, if the p-value is large; failing to reject the null hypothesis indicates either of these 2 scenarios:

• The null hypothesis is true – we are right
• The null hypothesis is false and some rare and unlikely event occurred – we made a mistake.

This type of error is called False Negative – Type II Error.

There is always a possibility of making these kinds of errors while interpreting the results of hypothesis testing. Hence, we must be cautious of encountering such errors and verify the findings before drawing conclusions.

In machine learning, mostly hypothesis testing is used in a test that assumes that the data has a normal distribution and in a test that assumes that 2 or more sample data are drawn from the same population.

Remember these 2 most important things while performing hypothesis testing:

1. Design the Test statistic

Design the experiment ingeniously.

Here in the above experiment, a coin is flipped 5 and 3 times. The sample sizes have to be carefully chosen while designing the experiment.

2. Design the null hypothesis (H 0 ) carefully

It should be designed in such a manner that it makes the probability computation easy and feasible.

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Research Hypothesis In Psychology: Types, & Examples

Saul McLeod, PhD

Editor-in-Chief for Simply Psychology

BSc (Hons) Psychology, MRes, PhD, University of Manchester

Saul McLeod, PhD., is a qualified psychology teacher with over 18 years of experience in further and higher education. He has been published in peer-reviewed journals, including the Journal of Clinical Psychology.

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Associate Editor for Simply Psychology

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Olivia Guy-Evans is a writer and associate editor for Simply Psychology. She has previously worked in healthcare and educational sectors.

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A research hypothesis, in its plural form “hypotheses,” is a specific, testable prediction about the anticipated results of a study, established at its outset. It is a key component of the scientific method .

Hypotheses connect theory to data and guide the research process towards expanding scientific understanding

Some key points about hypotheses:

• A hypothesis expresses an expected pattern or relationship. It connects the variables under investigation.
• It is stated in clear, precise terms before any data collection or analysis occurs. This makes the hypothesis testable.
• A hypothesis must be falsifiable. It should be possible, even if unlikely in practice, to collect data that disconfirms rather than supports the hypothesis.
• Hypotheses guide research. Scientists design studies to explicitly evaluate hypotheses about how nature works.
• For a hypothesis to be valid, it must be testable against empirical evidence. The evidence can then confirm or disprove the testable predictions.
• Hypotheses are informed by background knowledge and observation, but go beyond what is already known to propose an explanation of how or why something occurs.

Predictions typically arise from a thorough knowledge of the research literature, curiosity about real-world problems or implications, and integrating this to advance theory. They build on existing literature while providing new insight.

Types of Research Hypotheses

Alternative hypothesis.

The research hypothesis is often called the alternative or experimental hypothesis in experimental research.

It typically suggests a potential relationship between two key variables: the independent variable, which the researcher manipulates, and the dependent variable, which is measured based on those changes.

The alternative hypothesis states a relationship exists between the two variables being studied (one variable affects the other).

A hypothesis is a testable statement or prediction about the relationship between two or more variables. It is a key component of the scientific method. Some key points about hypotheses:

• Important hypotheses lead to predictions that can be tested empirically. The evidence can then confirm or disprove the testable predictions.

In summary, a hypothesis is a precise, testable statement of what researchers expect to happen in a study and why. Hypotheses connect theory to data and guide the research process towards expanding scientific understanding.

An experimental hypothesis predicts what change(s) will occur in the dependent variable when the independent variable is manipulated.

It states that the results are not due to chance and are significant in supporting the theory being investigated.

The alternative hypothesis can be directional, indicating a specific direction of the effect, or non-directional, suggesting a difference without specifying its nature. It’s what researchers aim to support or demonstrate through their study.

Null Hypothesis

The null hypothesis states no relationship exists between the two variables being studied (one variable does not affect the other). There will be no changes in the dependent variable due to manipulating the independent variable.

It states results are due to chance and are not significant in supporting the idea being investigated.

The null hypothesis, positing no effect or relationship, is a foundational contrast to the research hypothesis in scientific inquiry. It establishes a baseline for statistical testing, promoting objectivity by initiating research from a neutral stance.

Many statistical methods are tailored to test the null hypothesis, determining the likelihood of observed results if no true effect exists.

This dual-hypothesis approach provides clarity, ensuring that research intentions are explicit, and fosters consistency across scientific studies, enhancing the standardization and interpretability of research outcomes.

Nondirectional Hypothesis

A non-directional hypothesis, also known as a two-tailed hypothesis, predicts that there is a difference or relationship between two variables but does not specify the direction of this relationship.

It merely indicates that a change or effect will occur without predicting which group will have higher or lower values.

For example, “There is a difference in performance between Group A and Group B” is a non-directional hypothesis.

Directional Hypothesis

A directional (one-tailed) hypothesis predicts the nature of the effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable. It predicts in which direction the change will take place. (i.e., greater, smaller, less, more)

It specifies whether one variable is greater, lesser, or different from another, rather than just indicating that there’s a difference without specifying its nature.

For example, “Exercise increases weight loss” is a directional hypothesis.

Falsifiability

The Falsification Principle, proposed by Karl Popper , is a way of demarcating science from non-science. It suggests that for a theory or hypothesis to be considered scientific, it must be testable and irrefutable.

Falsifiability emphasizes that scientific claims shouldn’t just be confirmable but should also have the potential to be proven wrong.

It means that there should exist some potential evidence or experiment that could prove the proposition false.

However many confirming instances exist for a theory, it only takes one counter observation to falsify it. For example, the hypothesis that “all swans are white,” can be falsified by observing a black swan.

For Popper, science should attempt to disprove a theory rather than attempt to continually provide evidence to support a research hypothesis.

Can a Hypothesis be Proven?

Hypotheses make probabilistic predictions. They state the expected outcome if a particular relationship exists. However, a study result supporting a hypothesis does not definitively prove it is true.

All studies have limitations. There may be unknown confounding factors or issues that limit the certainty of conclusions. Additional studies may yield different results.

In science, hypotheses can realistically only be supported with some degree of confidence, not proven. The process of science is to incrementally accumulate evidence for and against hypothesized relationships in an ongoing pursuit of better models and explanations that best fit the empirical data. But hypotheses remain open to revision and rejection if that is where the evidence leads.

• Disproving a hypothesis is definitive. Solid disconfirmatory evidence will falsify a hypothesis and require altering or discarding it based on the evidence.
• However, confirming evidence is always open to revision. Other explanations may account for the same results, and additional or contradictory evidence may emerge over time.

We can never 100% prove the alternative hypothesis. Instead, we see if we can disprove, or reject the null hypothesis.

If we reject the null hypothesis, this doesn’t mean that our alternative hypothesis is correct but does support the alternative/experimental hypothesis.

Upon analysis of the results, an alternative hypothesis can be rejected or supported, but it can never be proven to be correct. We must avoid any reference to results proving a theory as this implies 100% certainty, and there is always a chance that evidence may exist which could refute a theory.

How to Write a Hypothesis

• Identify variables . The researcher manipulates the independent variable and the dependent variable is the measured outcome.
• Operationalized the variables being investigated . Operationalization of a hypothesis refers to the process of making the variables physically measurable or testable, e.g. if you are about to study aggression, you might count the number of punches given by participants.
• Decide on a direction for your prediction . If there is evidence in the literature to support a specific effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable, write a directional (one-tailed) hypothesis. If there are limited or ambiguous findings in the literature regarding the effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable, write a non-directional (two-tailed) hypothesis.
• Make it Testable : Ensure your hypothesis can be tested through experimentation or observation. It should be possible to prove it false (principle of falsifiability).
• Clear & concise language . A strong hypothesis is concise (typically one to two sentences long), and formulated using clear and straightforward language, ensuring it’s easily understood and testable.

Consider a hypothesis many teachers might subscribe to: students work better on Monday morning than on Friday afternoon (IV=Day, DV= Standard of work).

Now, if we decide to study this by giving the same group of students a lesson on a Monday morning and a Friday afternoon and then measuring their immediate recall of the material covered in each session, we would end up with the following:

• The alternative hypothesis states that students will recall significantly more information on a Monday morning than on a Friday afternoon.
• The null hypothesis states that there will be no significant difference in the amount recalled on a Monday morning compared to a Friday afternoon. Any difference will be due to chance or confounding factors.

More Examples

• Memory : Participants exposed to classical music during study sessions will recall more items from a list than those who studied in silence.
• Social Psychology : Individuals who frequently engage in social media use will report higher levels of perceived social isolation compared to those who use it infrequently.
• Developmental Psychology : Children who engage in regular imaginative play have better problem-solving skills than those who don’t.
• Clinical Psychology : Cognitive-behavioral therapy will be more effective in reducing symptoms of anxiety over a 6-month period compared to traditional talk therapy.
• Cognitive Psychology : Individuals who multitask between various electronic devices will have shorter attention spans on focused tasks than those who single-task.
• Health Psychology : Patients who practice mindfulness meditation will experience lower levels of chronic pain compared to those who don’t meditate.
• Organizational Psychology : Employees in open-plan offices will report higher levels of stress than those in private offices.
• Behavioral Psychology : Rats rewarded with food after pressing a lever will press it more frequently than rats who receive no reward.

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What Is a Null Hypothesis?

The alternative hypothesis.

• Additional Examples
• Null Hypothesis and Investments

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Null Hypothesis: What Is It, and How Is It Used in Investing?

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A null hypothesis is a type of statistical hypothesis that proposes that no statistical significance exists in a set of given observations. Hypothesis testing is used to assess the credibility of a hypothesis by using sample data. Sometimes referred to simply as the “null,” it is represented as H 0 .

The null hypothesis, also known as “the conjecture,” is used in quantitative analysis to test theories about markets, investing strategies, and economies to decide if an idea is true or false.

Key Takeaways

• A null hypothesis is a type of conjecture in statistics that proposes that there is no difference between certain characteristics of a population or data-generating process.
• The alternative hypothesis proposes that there is a difference.
• Hypothesis testing provides a method to reject a null hypothesis within a certain confidence level.
• If you can reject the null hypothesis, it provides support for the alternative hypothesis.
• Null hypothesis testing is the basis of the principle of falsification in science.

Alex Dos Diaz / Investopedia

Understanding a Null Hypothesis

A gambler may be interested in whether a game of chance is fair. If it is, then the expected earnings per play come to zero for both players. If it is not, then the expected earnings are positive for one player and negative for the other.

To test whether the game is fair, the gambler collects earnings data from many repetitions of the game, calculates the average earnings from these data, then tests the null hypothesis that the expected earnings are not different from zero.

If the average earnings from the sample data are sufficiently far from zero, then the gambler will reject the null hypothesis and conclude the alternative hypothesis—namely, that the expected earnings per play are different from zero. If the average earnings from the sample data are near zero, then the gambler will not reject the null hypothesis, concluding instead that the difference between the average from the data and zero is explainable by chance alone.

A null hypothesis can only be rejected, not proven.

The null hypothesis assumes that any kind of difference between the chosen characteristics that you see in a set of data is due to chance. For example, if the expected earnings for the gambling game are truly equal to zero, then any difference between the average earnings in the data and zero is due to chance.

Analysts look to reject   the null hypothesis because doing so is a strong conclusion. This requires evidence in the form of an observed difference that is too large to be explained solely by chance. Failing to reject the null hypothesis—that the results are explainable by chance alone—is a weak conclusion because it allows that while factors other than chance may be at work, they may not be strong enough for the statistical test to detect them.

An important point to note is that we are testing the null hypothesis because there is an element of doubt about its validity. Whatever information that is against the stated null hypothesis is captured in the alternative (alternate) hypothesis (H 1 ).

For the examples below, the alternative hypothesis would be:

• Students score an average that is not equal to seven.
• The mean annual return of a mutual fund is not equal to 8% per year.

In other words, the alternative hypothesis is a direct contradiction of the null hypothesis.

Null Hypothesis Examples

Here is a simple example: A school principal claims that students in their school score an average of seven out of 10 in exams. The null hypothesis is that the population mean is not 7.0. To test this null hypothesis, we record marks of, say, 30 students ( sample ) from the entire student population of the school (say, 300) and calculate the mean of that sample.

We can then compare the (calculated) sample mean to the (hypothesized) population mean of 7.0 and attempt to reject the null hypothesis. (The null hypothesis here—that the population mean is not 7.0—cannot be proved using the sample data. It can only be rejected.)

Take another example: The annual return of a particular  mutual fund  is claimed to be 8%. Assume that the mutual fund has been in existence for 20 years. The null hypothesis is that the mean return is not 8% for the mutual fund. We take a random sample of annual returns of the mutual fund for, say, five years (sample) and calculate the sample mean. We then compare the (calculated) sample mean to the (claimed) population mean (8%) to test the null hypothesis.

For the above examples, null hypotheses are:

• Example A: Students in the school don’t score an average of seven out of 10 in exams.
• Example B: The mean annual return of the mutual fund is not 8% per year.

For the purposes of determining whether to reject the null hypothesis (abbreviated H0), said hypothesis is assumed, for the sake of argument, to be true. Then the likely range of possible values of the calculated statistic (e.g., the average score on 30 students’ tests) is determined under this presumption (e.g., the range of plausible averages might range from 6.2 to 7.8 if the population mean is 7.0).

If the sample average is outside of this range, the null hypothesis is rejected. Otherwise, the difference is said to be “explainable by chance alone,” being within the range that is determined by chance alone.

Traditional null hypothesis testing, consisting of a comparative statistical test for two competing theories, was suggested by Ronald Fisher in 1925.

How Null Hypothesis Testing Is Used in Investments

As an example related to financial markets, assume Alice sees that her investment strategy produces higher average returns than simply buying and holding a stock . The null hypothesis states that there is no difference between the two average returns, and Alice is inclined to believe this until she can conclude contradictory results.

Refuting the null hypothesis would require showing statistical significance, which can be found by a variety of tests. The alternative hypothesis would state that the investment strategy has a higher average return than a traditional buy-and-hold strategy.

One tool that can determine the statistical significance of the results is the p-value. A p-value represents the probability that a difference as large or larger than the observed difference between the two average returns could occur solely by chance.

A p-value that is less than or equal to 0.05 often indicates whether there is evidence against the null hypothesis. If Alice conducts one of these tests, such as a test using the normal model, resulting in a significant difference between her returns and the buy-and-hold returns (the p-value is less than or equal to 0.05), she can then reject the null hypothesis and conclude the alternative hypothesis.

How Is the Null Hypothesis Identified?

The analyst or researcher establishes a null hypothesis based on the research question or problem they are trying to answer. Depending on the question, the null may be identified differently. For example, if the question is simply whether an effect exists (e.g., does X influence Y?), the null hypothesis could be H 0 : X = 0. If the question is instead, is X the same as Y, the H 0 would be X = Y. If it is that the effect of X on Y is positive, H 0 would be X > 0. If the resulting analysis shows an effect that is statistically significantly different from zero, the null can be rejected.

How Is Null Hypothesis Used in Finance?

In finance , a null hypothesis is used in quantitative analysis. It tests the premise of an investing strategy, the markets, or an economy to determine if it is true or false.

For instance, an analyst may want to see if two stocks, ABC and XYZ, are closely correlated. The null hypothesis would be ABC ≠ XYZ.

How Are Statistical Hypotheses Tested?

Statistical hypotheses are tested in a four-step process . The first is for the analyst to state the two hypotheses so that only one can be right. The second is to formulate an analysis plan, which outlines how the data will be evaluated. The third is to carry out the plan and physically analyze the sample data. The fourth and final step is to analyze the results and either reject the null hypothesis or claim that the observed differences are explainable by chance alone.

What Is an Alternative Hypothesis?

An alternative hypothesis is a direct contradiction of a null hypothesis. This means that if one of the two hypotheses is true, the other is false.

A null hypothesis states there is no difference between groups or relationship between variables. It is a type of statistical hypothesis and proposes that no statistical significance exists in a set of given observations. “Null” means nothing.

The null hypothesis is used in quantitative analysis to test theories about economies, investing strategies, and markets to decide if an idea is true or false. Hypothesis testing assesses the credibility of a hypothesis by using sample data. It is represented as H 0 and is sometimes simply known as “the null.”

Correction—July 23, 2024:  This article was corrected to state accurate examples of null hypothesis in the Null Hypothesis Examples section.

National Library of Medicine. " Current Controversies: Null Hypotheses in Statistical Testing ."

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• Null Hypothesis

Before understanding the Null Hypothesis in detail, let us first understand the definition of the Hypothesis.

In Statistics, a hypothesis can be defined as a formal statement, which gives an explanation about the relationship between any two or more variables of the specified population. 

Hypothesis helps the researcher to translate any given problem to a clear explanation for the outcome of the study.

 Hypothesis clearly explains and predicts the expected outcome and it indicates the types of experimental design and directs the study of any research process.

What Is The Null Hypothesis?

We can define a null hypothesis as a general statement or a default position that says there is no relationship between two measured phenomena or there is no association among groups. 

Why is Null Hypothesis Important?

Testing (which involves accepting, approving, rejecting, or disproving) the null hypothesis and thus concluding that there are or we can say that there are no grounds for believing that there is any relationship between two phenomena is basically a central task in the modern practice of science; in the field of statistics.

To be more specific, hypothesis testing gives precise criteria for rejecting or accepting a null hypothesis within a level known as the confidence level.

Null Hypothesis Symbol-

A Null Hypothesis is denoted by the symbol H 0  in statistics. It is usually pronounced as “h-nought” or “H-null”. The Subscript in H is the digit 0.

Null Hypothesis Principle and When is A Null Hypothesis Rejected?

The principle followed for null hypothesis testing is basically collecting the data and determining the chances of a given set of data during the study on any given random sample, assuming that the null hypothesis is true.

Suppose, if the given data does not face the expected null hypothesis, then the outcome we will get will be quite weaker and they conclude that by saying that the given set of data does not provide strong evidence against the null hypothesis which is because of insufficient evidence.

Finally, this leads to null hypothesis rejection.

Null Hypothesis Formula or How Do You Find The Null Hypothesis :

So far, understanding the concept of null hypothesis, let’s now discuss the null hypothesis formula:

Here, the null hypothesis formula is given below.

H 0 :  p = p 0

The formula for the alternative hypothesis can be written as: H a = p >p 0 , and < p 0 ≠ p 0

The formula for the test static is denoted by:

\[Z=\frac{P-P_{0}}{\sqrt{\frac{P-P_{0}}{n}}}\]

Remember that, p 0 here is the null hypothesis.

Types of Null Hypothesis.

There are 4 different types of Null hypothesis. Each of them is explained below with examples.

Simple Hypothesis: A simple Hypothesis is the one in which the relationship between two variables is predicted. One is an independent variable and the other is a dependent variable. A simple Hypothesis completely specifies the population distribution. An example of a simple Hypothesis is “Consuming sugar drinks daily leads to being overweight.”

Composite hypothesis. A Composite hypothesis describes the relationship between two or more independent variables and two or more dependent variables. In this hypothesis, the population distribution is not specified. An example of the Composite hypothesis is stated below. “ Individuals who consume sugar drinks daily and have a family history of health issues are more likely to become overweight and develop diabetes.”

Exact hypothesis. In this hypothesis, the exact value of the parameter or variable is defined. All the assumptions made during the derivation of the hypothesis are met in the exact hypothesis. An example of an exact hypothesis is, “ Students in a division score an average 17 out of 25 in exams. Hence, μ=17.”

Inexact hypothesis. Unlike the exact hypothesis, the exact value of the parameter or variable is not defined in the Inexact type of Hypothesis. Instead, a specific range or interval of the parameter is stated. For example, Students in class score an average between 12 to 15 out of 20 in exams. Hence, 12< μ< 15.

Null Hypothesis Problem Problem : A researcher thinks that if the knee surgery patients go to physical therapy twice a week (instead of going 3 times), their recovery period will be longer. Given average recovery time knee surgery patients are given 8.2 weeks. 

Step 1: First, we need to figure out the hypothesis from the problem . The hypothesis is usually hidden in a word problem that you need to figure out. The hypothesis that has been given in the above question is “I expect the average recovery period to be greater than 8.2 weeks.”

Step 2: You need to convert the hypothesis to math . Remember that the average can be sometimes written as μ.

H 1 : μ > 8.2(average)

Step 3: Now state what will happen if the hypothesis doesn’t come true. If the recovery time is not greater than the given average that is 8.2 weeks, there are only two possibilities, that the recovery time is equal to 8.2 weeks or it is less than 8.2 weeks.

H 0 : μ ≤ 8.2

H 0 (The null hypothesis): μ (the average) ≤ (is less than or equal to) 8.2

H 0 🡪 μ 1 = μ 2 where

H 0 is the null hypothesis,

μ 1 is the mean of population 1, and

μ 2 is the mean of population 2.

A stronger null hypothesis denotes that if two samples are drawn from the same given population, such that the variances and shapes of the given distributions are also equal.

Examples of situations where hypothesis tests are used in the real world.

Is there a 100% chance of getting affected by dengue?

Answer : There could be chances of getting affected by dengue but the chances of getting affected by dengue are not 100%.

Do teenagers these days use mobile phones more than adults to access the internet?

Answer : Age has no limit and is not a factor that we can use mobile phones to access the internet.

Does having the fruit apple daily will not cause fever?

Answer : Having an apple daily does not assure of not having fever, but on the other hand it does increase the immunity to fight against such diseases.

Are children better at performing mathematical calculations than adults?

Answer : Again in this example too, age has no effect on Mathematical skills.

Hypothesis tests are often conducted in botany to determine whether some new treatment, fertilizer or chemical can cause increased growth, stamina or immunity in plants and animals. 

Suppose, a botanist believes that a certain fertilizer will cause plants to grow more during a 1 month period than what they actually grow. Currently, they grow to 20 inches. To test the effectiveness of the fertilizer, the botanist applies the fertilizer to each of the plants in her lab for a month. Then performs a hypothesis test using the following hypothesis: H 0 : μ = 20 inches as the effect is nil on the mean plant growth by the fertilizer.

H A : μ > 20 inches (the fertilizer will cause mean plant growth to increase)

If the p-value of the test is significantly less then it will reject the null hypothesis and as a result, the fertilizer leads to increased plant growth.

In clinical trials, hypothesis tests are often used to determine whether some new treatment, drug, procedure, etc. cause improved outcomes in patients and thus elevate the treatment levels. Suppose a doctor wishes to test a new drug that reduces blood pressure in obese patients. To test its effectiveness, the doctor may measure the blood pressure of 40 patients before and after using the new drug for a month. Then a hypothesis test is performed using the following hypothesis. H 0 : μafter = μbefore  means the  mean blood pressure is the same before and after using the drug

H A : μafter < μbefore (the mean blood pressure is less after using the drug)

Hypothesis tests are often conducted in business organizations to determine whether a new advertising campaign will get more leads and cause an increase in sales. Suppose, the executive team of an organization believes that spending more on digital advertising leads to increased sales. To test this, the organization may increase money spent on digital advertising during a 3 month period and collect data to see if overall sales have increased or not. A hypothesis test can be performed using the following hypothesis.

H 0 : μafter = μbefore signifies  the  mean sales is the same before and after spending more on advertising

H A : μafter > μbefore (the mean sales increased spending more on advertising)

Apart from just the above 3 examples, hypothesis testing is widely used in research centers, chemical laboratories, stock market predictions, the Investment industry and several business organizations.

Decision errors.

There are two types of decision errors that can happen when doing a hypothesis test. They are described below.

Type I error: This happens when one rejects the null hypothesis despite the null hypothesis being true. The probability of making a type I error is equal to the alpha level significantly

Type II error. This happens when one fails to reject the null hypothesis when it is actually false. The probability of committing a type II error is the power of the test. 

Importance of Hypothesis testing in real life and examples

The main aim of a hypothesis statement in statistics is to determine whether or not some hypothesis of a population parameter is true or false. It is an essential part of the procedures in statistics. 

A hypothesis test evaluates two mutually exclusive statements and determines which statement is best supported by sample data. A discovery or a new finding holds a significant value when supported by a hypothesis test. Because the hypothesis test provides sufficient evidence to check the credibility of the given data.

To conduct a hypothesis test in the practical world, researchers obtain a random sample from the population and perform a hypothesis test on the sample data using Null and Alternative hypotheses.                          

Difference between Null Hypothesis and Alternative Hypothesis.

FAQs on Null Hypothesis

1. Why is a null hypothesis important and can you accept a null hypothesis?

The purpose and the importance of the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis are that they provide an approximate description of any given phenomena. The purpose of the null hypothesis is to provide the researcher or an investigator with the relational statement that is directly tested in any research study. 

A null hypothesis is a hypothesis that is never acceptable. We either reject them or we fail to reject them. Hence, failing to reject the null hypothesis does not mean that we have shown that there is no difference in accepting the null hypothesis.

2. State one example where a Null hypothesis is applied in a practical life scenario?

The concept of null hypothesis has a variety of practical applications. Let us take the example of stock investment, buying shares of a company. The annual return of company stock when invested for a long duration is assumed to be 7.5%. 

Now to test if the assumption is true or false, we consider the null hypothesis to be, ”the mean annual return for XYZ company shares is not 7.5%”. To test this hypothesis, we first accept the null hypothesis.

We then check the history of the stock performance of the last 5 years of XYZ company and then calculate the mean of the annual return. The result is then compared to the assumed annual return of 7.5%. 

If it turns out that the average annual return of the last 5 years is 7.5%, then the null hypothesis is rejected. And the alternative hypothesis is accepted.

3. What is the purpose of Hypothesis testing?

Hypothesis testing is a statistical process of testing an assumption regarding a particular phenomenon or parameter. Often a good theory can make accurate predictions. However, for an analyst, hypothesis testing is a rigorous way of backing up his prediction with statistical analysis to support the predictions. It is also helpful to determine sufficient statistical evidence that can favor a certain hypothesis about the specified parameter.

In simple words, hypothesis testing is a systematic approach to assessing theories through observations and then determining whether the stated statement is true or false.

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Difference between Null and Alternate Hypothesis

Hypothesis is a statement or an assumption that may be true or false. There are six types of hypotheses mainly the Simple hypothesis, Complex hypothesis, Directional hypothesis, Associative hypothesis, and Null hypothesis. Usually, the hypothesis is the start point of any scientific investigation, It gives the right direction to the process of investigation. It avoids the blind search and gives direction to the search. It acts as a compass in the process.

Null hypothesis suggests that there is no relationship between the two variables. Null hypothesis is also exactly the opposite of the alternative hypothesis. Null hypothesis is generally what researchers or scientists try to disprove and if the null hypothesis gets accepted then we have to make changes in our opinion i.e. we have to make changes in our original opinion or statement in order to match null hypothesis. Null hypothesis is represented as H0. If my alternative hypothesis is that 55% of boys in my town are taller than girls then my alternative hypothesis will be that 55% of boys in my town are not taller than girls. 

Alternative hypothesis is a method for reaching a conclusion and making inferences and judgements about certain facts or a statement. This is done on the basis of the data which is available. Usually, the statement which we check regarding the null hypothesis is commonly known as the alternative hypothesis. Most of the times alternative hypothesis is exactly the opposite of the null hypothesis. This is what generally researchers or scientists try to approve. Alternative hypothesis is represented as Ha or H1. If my null hypothesis is that 55% of boys in my town are not taller than girls then my alternative hypothesis will be that 55% of boys in my town are taller than girls.

Following is the difference between the null hypothesis and alternate hypothesis:

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Null hypothesis for linear regression

I am confused about the null hypothesis for linear regression.

If a variable in a linear model has $p < 0.05$ (when R prints out stars), I would say the variable is a statistically significant part of the model.

What does that translate to in terms of null hypothesis?

Am I rejecting the null hypothesis that the coefficient for that variable is $0,$ or am I accepting a null hypothesis that the coefficient is $\ne 0$ ?

Is there a difference between those statements?

• hypothesis-testing
• interpretation

3 Answers 3

The issue applies to null hypotheses more broadly than regression

You should get used to stating nulls before you look at p-values.

Am I rejecting the null hypothesis that the coefficient for that variable is 0

Yes, as long as it's the population coefficient, ($\beta_i$) you're talking about (obviously - with continuous response - the estimate of the coefficient isn't 0).

or am I accepting a null hypothesis that the coefficient is != 0?

Null hypotheses would generally be null - either 'no effect' or some conventionally accepted value. In this case, the population coefficient being 0 is a classical 'no effect' null.

More prosaically, when testing a point hypothesis against a composite alternative (a two-sided alternative in this case), one takes the point hypothesis as the null, because that's the one under which we can compute the distribution of the test statistic (more generally, using an open set for a null presents certain problems, even when both are composite). With a pair of point hypotheses, one is (at least mechanically) free to make either one the null (and even then one still would generally want to make the one that's most clearly "null" the null -- if either of them is; that is to choose the 'no effect' or conventionally-accepted one the null).

• $\begingroup$ Thanks. Now I finally understand why it's called the 'null hypothesis.' Related question: is there a way to accept the null hypothesis - to say you have enough evidence to state there is no relationship between the vars? $\endgroup$ –  wrschneider Commented Jan 30, 2015 at 15:37
• $\begingroup$ Well, that could depend on who you ask and partly on the circumstances. At least with a point null vs a composite alternative (the most common situation), I say the answer is no, since failure to reject doesn't indicate the null is actually true, only that the effect is probably quite small (relative to what the sample size could detect). In some of the other cases, more of an argument might be made, but I'd still say 'no'. Of course, ordinary null-hypothesis significance testing isn't the only possible choice, and some of the other choices would give more of a basis to do that. $\endgroup$ –  Glen_b Commented Jan 30, 2015 at 15:56
• 1 $\begingroup$ @wrschneider99 Obligatory plug for tests for equivalence as an alternative way of thinking about "accepting the null hypothesis." $\endgroup$ –  Alexis Commented Feb 13, 2015 at 3:53
• $\begingroup$ @Alexis +1 definitely worth raising. $\endgroup$ –  Glen_b Commented Feb 13, 2015 at 4:24
• $\begingroup$ @Glen_b: I know this is a broad question, but if you could give me a quick answer or ref: How does one go about choosing the right statistic, or any statistic to test a hypothesis? In this case we test wether the slope is 0. How do we choose/find a statistic that would allow us to test this claim? How do we come up with, e.g., the F-test when determining equality of variance? How is the process in general? Appreciate a ref. if question is too broad. $\endgroup$ –  MSIS Commented Oct 30, 2020 at 12:53

The P-Value in regression output in R tests the null hypothesis that the coefficient equals 0.

Any regression equation is given by y = a + b*x + u, where 'a' and 'b' are the intercept and slope of the best fit line and 'u' is the disturbance term. Imagine b=0; the equation would then be y = a + 0*x + u = a + u. Notice that the 'x' has disappeared. It simply means that there is no relationship between y and x. Thus are test hypothesis would be, Ho: b=0; Ha: b != 0

Next step is to compare the critical values with the test statistic. If the test stat lies within the Rejection region then we knockout the Null hypothesis.

Alternatively, the p-value also relays this information by pointing out how much probability remains between the test stat and the end tails.

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null hypothesis

Definition of null hypothesis

Examples of null hypothesis in a sentence.

These examples are programmatically compiled from various online sources to illustrate current usage of the word 'null hypothesis.' Any opinions expressed in the examples do not represent those of Merriam-Webster or its editors. Send us feedback about these examples.

Word History

1935, in the meaning defined above

Dictionary Entries Near null hypothesis

Nullarbor Plain

Cite this Entry

“Null hypothesis.” Merriam-Webster.com Dictionary , Merriam-Webster, https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/null%20hypothesis. Accessed 16 Oct. 2024.

More from Merriam-Webster on null hypothesis

Britannica.com: Encyclopedia article about null hypothesis

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