Globalization and India’s international trade: does distance still matter?

  • Published: 27 February 2020
  • Volume 86 , pages 1927–1941, ( 2021 )

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research paper on globalization in india

  • Purva Yadav 1  

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This paper attempts to capture the missing ‘distance’ puzzle in the globalization process driven by trade flows. It is widely recognized that the growing global economic integration process play a major role in the spatial restructuring of many countries at varying geographical scales. The paper illustrates a model of international trade flows that builds upon existing research on the geographies of global trade. Empirical results of the current study indicate that the basic and augmented gravity model provides a useful framework for understanding international trade. The evidence of map pattern in residuals across temporal scale is noted. The results further indicate the importance of distance in the Indian context. An identification of the patterns and determinants of India’s international trade with 87 countries suggests that potentially important differences in regional demands and country specific factors may impact the trade interaction over the years.

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Also refer https://www.researchgate.net/publication/325809249-External-Sector-Reforms-in-India-An-Overview .

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The present paper relies on the non-linear version of the gravity model. There exists vast literature that lends support to the use of non-linear gravity model estimations. Cesario ( 1975 ) in his work on linear and non-linear regression models on spatial interaction model has pointed that estimates of the gravity equation “can be performed by either linear or non-linear regression, and that in either case the calculations can be made in an efficient and straightforward manner.” White (1980) has also written “The method of nonlinear least squares is a popular method of estimating the parameters of the model.” Over the years there have been concerted efforts to debate different estimation methods (linear and nonlinear) to accurately predict trade flows. It is worth noting that the results obtained vary with different estimation methods. Silva and Tenreyro ( 2006 ) have noted that the “log-linearisation of the gravity equation changes the property of the error term, thus leading to inefficient estimations in the presence of heteroskedasticity. If the data are homoskedastic, the variance and the expected value of the error term are constant but if they are not -as usually happens with trade data, the expected value of the error term is a function of the regressors. The conditional distribution of the dependent variable is then altered and OLS estimation is inconsistent. Heteroskedasticity does not affect the parameter estimates; the coefficients should still be unbiased, but it biases the variance of the estimated parameters and, consequently, the t-values cannot be trusted. Hence, the recent literature concerning estimation techniques has opted to use nonlinear methods as well as two parts models for estimating the gravity equation.” So there are different estimation methods for gravity equation. In this context Herrera ( 2013 ) has written “Every method has advantages and disadvantages and it cannot be asserted that any one of them absolutely outperforms the others. For that reason, it has become a frequent practice in the literature to include several estimation methods for the same database”.

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Acknowledgements

I am thankful to Professor Hariharan Ramachandran for his fruitful suggestions. I also thank anonymous referees for their useful comments.

This research work is supported by University with potential for Excellence (UPE-II).

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Yadav, P. Globalization and India’s international trade: does distance still matter?. GeoJournal 86 , 1927–1941 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10708-020-10152-0

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Published : 27 February 2020

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Female labor force participation

Across the globe, women face inferior income opportunities compared with men. Women are less likely to work for income or actively seek work. The global labor force participation rate for women is just over 50% compared to 80% for men. Women are less likely to work in formal employment and have fewer opportunities for business expansion or career progression. When women do work, they earn less. Emerging evidence from recent household survey data suggests that these gender gaps are heightened due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Women’s work and GDP

Women’s work is posited to be related to development through the process of economic transformation.

Levels of female labor force participation are high for the poorest economies generally, where agriculture is the dominant sector and women often participate in small-holder agricultural work. Women’s participation in the workforce is lower in middle-income economies which have much smaller shares of agricultural activities. Finally, among high-income economies, female labor force participation is again higher, accompanied by a shift towards a service sector-based economy and higher education levels among women.

This describes the posited  U-shaped relationship  between development (proxied by GDP per capita) and female labor force participation where women’s work participation is high for the poorest economies, lower for middle income economies, and then rises again among high income economies.

This theory of the U-shape is observed globally across economies of different income levels. But this global picture may be misleading. As more recent studies have found, this pattern does not hold within regions or when looking within a specific economy over time as their income levels rise.

In no region do we observe a U-shape pattern in female participation and GDP per capita over the past three decades.

Structural transformation, declining fertility, and increasing female education in many parts of the world have not resulted in significant increases in women’s participation as was theorized. Rather, rigid historic, economic, and social structures and norms factor into stagnant female labor force participation.

Historical view of women’s participation and GDP

Taking a historical view of female participation and GDP, we ask another question: Do lower income economies today have levels of participation that mirror levels that high-income economies had decades earlier?

The answer is no.

This suggests that the relationship of female labor force participation to GDP for lower-income economies today is different than was the case decades past. This could be driven by numerous factors -- changing social norms, demographics, technology, urbanization, to name a few possible drivers.

Gendered patterns in type of employment

Gender equality is not just about equal access to jobs but also equal access for men and women to good jobs. The type of work that women do can be very different from the type of work that men do. Here we divide work into two broad categories: vulnerable work and wage work.

The Gender gap in vulnerable and wage work by GDP per capita

Vulnerable employment is closely related to GDP per capita. Economies with high rates of vulnerable employment are low-income contexts with a large agricultural sector. In these economies, women tend to make up the higher share of the vulnerably employed. As economy income levels rise, the gender gap also flips, with men being more likely to be in vulnerable work when they have a job than women.

From COVID-19 crisis to recovery

The COVID-19 crisis has exacerbated these gender gaps in employment. Although comprehensive official statistics from labor force surveys are not yet available for all economies,  emerging studies  have consistently documented that working women are taking a harder hit from the crisis. Different patterns by sector and vulnerable work do not explain this. That is, this result is not driven by the sectors in which women work or their higher rates of vulnerable work—within specific work categories, women fared worse than men in terms of COVID-19 impacts on jobs.

Among other explanations is that women have borne the brunt of the increase in the demand for care work (especially for children). A strong and inclusive recovery will require efforts which address this and other underlying drivers of gender gaps in employment opportunities.

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Defining the role of artificial intelligence in evolving scientific research and academia

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Multilingual Support for Research Publications

A study by the National Library of Medicine highlights that globally, most scientific papers are written in English by non-native English speakers. In a world where English dominates the scientific discourse, overcoming language barriers is necessary for fostering inclusivity and ensuring equitable access to knowledge. AI-powered language tools can offer comprehensive support to non-native English speakers, aiding them in crafting clear, concise, and grammatically accurate scientific papers. This can not only improve the quality of the manuscript but also facilitate a smoother publication journey into an established journal.

Enhancing the discovery of research

AI's strength in literature search and knowledge discovery is its ability to navigate extensive databases with unprecedented efficiency. It can assist researchers in these tasks.

Also Read:  How AI could potentially manipulate consumers

Currently, AI-powered solutions can automatically scan vast databases of scientific literature, extract relevant information, and provide researchers with a thorough overview of existing studies. Furthermore, AI's impact extends beyond the research community to publishers. By utilising platforms powered by modern-day NLP and indexing technologies, publishers can efficiently organise and categorise vast amounts of research content across diverse fields, making it seamlessly accessible to a larger audience.

Facilitating global collaboration and knowledge sharing

AI accelerates collaboration among researchers and institutions on a global scale. By transcending geographical boundaries, AI platforms can connect scientists from diverse corners of the world, fostering collaborations in research findings and breakthroughs. This collaborative environment can broaden the scope of research and encourage cross-pollination of ideas, paving the way for novel breakthroughs that may have been challenging within traditional silos.

The Future of AI in Scientific Research

As we stand at the cusp of a new era in academia, AI poses immense potential for further innovation and discovery. The collaborative force between technology and the academic research ecosystem paints a promising picture of a future in which AI is not just a tool but a genuine partner in the pursuit of knowledge.

Also Read:  To use AI tools smartly, think like a strategist

In conclusion, the integration of AI into scientific research helps accelerate every step of the academic publishing lifecycle and addresses the challenges that have long persisted in academia. As AI continues to evolve, the synergy between human intellect and AI capabilities holds the key to unlocking new frontiers in scientific exploration.

The thoughts and opinions shared here are of the author.

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  26. (PDF) Globalization and Higher Education in India

    This paper explores the contours of the on-going process of globalization Liberalization and privatization. Throughout this paper, there is an underlying focus on the impact of LPG on Indian economy.