Recent events of land subsidence in Alaknanda valley: a case study of sinking holy town Joshimath, Uttarakhand, India

  • Published: 09 December 2023

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case study on joshimath landslide

  • Divya Singh 1   na1 ,
  • Deepesh Goyal   ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-1716-6360 1   na1 ,
  • Prakash Biswakarma 1 &
  • Varun Joshi 1  

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Recent events of land subsidence in culturally and tourism-centric Joshimath town in the Chamoli district of Uttarakhand culminate in declaring the town as a landslide/subsidence ‘hit zone’ area. The area is highly vulnerable to various geological and hydrological disasters stemming from its rugged terrain and geological instability. The recent tragic occurrence of land subsidence caused adverse implications on the infrastructure and local population’s sustenance inducing disturbances in environmental, and social facets. This study incorporates a brief review of the current status and plausible causes of land subsidence in Joshimath town. The establishment of the town on the ‘debris of ancient landslide,’ proximity to major geological discontinuities, tectonically fragile area, and population upsurge are key drivers that appear to have exacerbated the ongoing slope instability and land subsidence. Thus, the present review will aid to encompass further scientific studies to monitor the sinking of ground in such mountainous regions for mitigating land subsidence. Furthermore, it also discusses the consequences of land subsidence and remedial measures, thereby aiding policymakers and concerned authorities to develop risk management plans and therefore enhancing the region’s overall resilience to such disasters.

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(Source: Nawani, 2015 ), b Close view of cavity and water influx (Source: Nawani, 2015 )

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(Source: ESRI, 2023)

case study on joshimath landslide

(Source: Bathla, 2023 )

case study on joshimath landslide

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case study on joshimath landslide

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Acknowledgements

Authors acknowledges to the Dean, University School of Environment Management, Guru Gobind Singh Indraprastha University, India, for providing space and facility in carrying out the research work. DS, DG and PB are also thankful to Guru Gobind Singh Indraprastha University for providing the financial support.

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Singh, D., Goyal, D., Biswakarma, P. et al. Recent events of land subsidence in Alaknanda valley: a case study of sinking holy town Joshimath, Uttarakhand, India. Environ Dev Sustain (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-023-04263-0

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DOI : https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-023-04263-0

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Joshimath crisis: What is land subsidence and why does it happen?

Joshimath sinking: the exact reason behind joshimath land subsidence is still unknown but experts cite unplanned construction, over-population, obstruction of the natural flow of water, and hydel power activities as possible causes..

case study on joshimath landslide

Almost a week after cracks appeared in many roads and hundreds of houses of Joshimath , Uttarakhand, authorities on Sunday declared it a landslide and subsidence-hit zone.

The announcement came after a high-level meeting took place among the senior officials of the Central government, Uttarakhand state officials, and top officers from agencies including the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA), Geological Survey of India (GSI) and the National Institute of Hydrology (NIH).

case study on joshimath landslide

As of Sunday, 68 families have been evacuated to temporary relief centres and around 90 more will be evacuated soon, according to officials. The Indian Express takes a look at what land subsidence is and what might have led to the incident in Joshimath.

A house collapses at the landslide affected area of Joshimath, in Chamoli district, with cracks and rubble.

What is land subsidence?

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), subsidence is the “sinking of the ground because of underground material movement”. It can happen for a host of reasons, man-made or natural, such as the removal of water, oil, or natural resources, along with mining activities. Earthquakes, soil erosion, and soil compaction are also some of the well-known causes of subsidence.

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The US-based agency’s website also mentions that this phenomenon can “happen over very large areas like whole states or provinces, or very small areas like the corner of your yard.”

What can be the reasons behind Joshimath’s subsidence?

The exact reason behind Joshimath land subsidence is still unknown but experts suggest that the incident might have occurred because of unplanned construction, over-population, obstruction of the natural flow of water and hydel power activities. Not only this, the area is a seismic zone, which makes it prone to frequent earthquakes.

As The Indian Express reported , the possibility of such an incident happening in the region was first highlighted around 50 years when the MC Mishra committee report was published and it cautioned against “unplanned development in this area, and identified the natural vulnerabilities.”

According to experts, Joshimath city has been built on an ancient landslide material — meaning it rests on a deposit of sand and stone, not rock, which doesn’t have high load-bearing capacity. This makes the area extremely vulnerable to ever-burgeoning infrastructure and population.

Moreover, the lack of a proper drainage system might have also contributed to the sinking of the area. Experts say that unplanned and unauthorised construction has led to the blocking of the natural flow of water, which eventually results in frequent landslides.

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As per the reports, residents have also blamed NTPC’s Tapovan Vishnugad Hydro Power Project for the incident. They allege that the tunnel had water seepage “from a punctured aquifer, leading to the drying of water sources in Joshimath.” Experts suggest that it could be one of the reasons for the collapse of the area.

However, NTPC denied the allegations and in a statement said, “The tunnel built by NTPC does not pass under Joshimath town. This tunnel is dug by a tunnel boring machine (TBM) and no blasting is being carried out presently”, according to a report by The Indian Express.

Apart from the aforementioned possible reasons, reports have pointed out that subsidence in Joshimath might have been triggered by the reactivation of a geographic fault — defined as a fracture or zone of fractures between two blocks of rock — where the Indian Plate has pushed under the Eurasian Plate along the Himalayas.

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28 February 2023

Joshimath: new satellite imagery and ongoing issues with the movement of the landslide

Posted by Dave Petley

The current phase of the Joshimath landslide crisis in India is now almost two months old, with little sign of a permanent solution to the problem.  This remains a case study in poor hazard communication – for example, the panel set up to investigate the hazard has still to release a report, although it does appear to have been submitted to the Prime Minister’s Office. The Economic Times reports that “[t]he committee has flagged concerns about potential problems in the adjoining areas and directed the state authorities to take immediate steps, according to officials” , whatever that means. Meanwhile, another group of experts visited the site yesterday , but I am unsure as to how this relates to the original panel.

Demolition of two large hotels at Joshimath, Mount View and Malari Inn, has now been completed .  Planet has managed to capture a high resolution satellite image of the Joshimath landslide – this is shown below, draped onto the Google Earth DEM,with the Hotel Mount View marked:-

High resolution image of the Joshimath landslide draped onto the Google Earth DEM.

High resolution image of the Joshimath landslide draped onto the Google Earth DEM. Image copyright Planet , captured 27 February 2023, used with permission.

Below is the image in more conventional format, for reference:-

High resolution image of the Joshimath landslide.

High resolution image of the Joshimath landslide. Image copyright Planet , captured 27 February 2023, used with permission.

Al Jazeera has a very good article about the wider implications of the rapid pace of poorly controlled development in the Indian Himalayas , which includes some beautifully framed images of the damage to Joshimath.  It includes a description of the village of Haat, which was located at [30.426, 79.419]. This is a Google Earth image of the site of the village, collected on 9 November 2022:-

Google Earth image of the village of Haat in northern India.

Google Earth image of the site of the village of Haat in northern India.

The Al Jazeera article makes this point about Haat :-

Haat, along the Alaknanda River, was once a sacred hamlet where Adi Shankaracharya is said to have established another temple in the eighth century.

Today, it is a dumping site for waste and a storage pit for construction materials after the village was acquired in 2009 by an energy enterprise to build a hydropower project.

The Laxmi Narayan temple is the only part of the village still standing. All of its residents were relocated, said Rajendra Hatwal, once the village chief who now lives in another town.

Hatwal and a few others still check in on the temple. A caretaker, who refused to leave, lives in a makeshift room next to it. He sweeps the ground, cleans the idols and prepares tea for the odd guest who comes through.

The point is well made – the image clearly shows waste being stored in large volumes on the slope in at least three locations.  This looks to be somewhat hazardous.

Meanwhile, slope deformation is being noted in other locations in the Indian mountains, such as Doda in Jammu and Noklak in Eastern Nagaland .

Reference and acknowledgement

Thanks as ever to my friends at Planet for providing fabulous imagery again.

Planet Team (2023). Planet Application Program Interface: In Space for Life on Earth. San Francisco, CA. https://www.planet.com/

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Joshimath Land Subsidence

Joshimath in Uttarakhand had experienced an enormous landslide-like incidence leading to the development of various cracks. This topic has been in the news and hence assumes importance for the UPSC Exam , especially in the disaster management, geography, and environment & ecology segments.

What is the Joshimath Issue?

Joshimath (also called Jyotirmath), located in the Chamoli district of the Himalayan state of Uttarakhand, is located in seismic zone five and bound by two regional thrusts: Vaikrita in the north and Munsiari in the south.

case study on joshimath landslide

  • The 1991 and 1999 earthquakes proved that the area is susceptible to earthquakes .
  • Scientists from the Indian Institute of Remote Sensing, Dehradun, observed that Joshimath and the surrounding areas have been sinking at a rate of 6.5 cm (2.5 inches) per year based on satellite data from July 2020 to March 2022. Their findings correlate well with the base erosion of the Joshimath slope along the Alaknanda river.
  • The city is located at an altitude of approximately 1875 m in the Middle Himalayas. It is also an important tourist and religious site, being close to the holy shrine of Badrinath, the Valley of Flowers National Park and Shri Hemkund Sahib, a holy place for Sikhism.

Reasons for Joshimath Crisis  

The residents of Joshimath are alarmed over the unprecedented number of cracks appearing on roads, and commercial and residential buildings. People have been asked to vacate following fears of landslide and imminent disaster. Authorities have declared Joshimath a landslide and subsidence-hit zone.

  • Experts have pointed out that Joshimath city has been built on an ancient landslide material meaning it rests on a deposit of sand and stone, not rock , which doesn’t have high load-bearing capacity. This makes the area extremely vulnerable to ever-burgeoning infrastructure and population.
  • Unplanned and unauthorised construction has led to the blocking of the natural flow of water, which eventually results in frequent landslides.
  • The construction of NTPC’s Tapovan Vishnugad Hydro Power Project is also seen as one of the reasons for the incident. It was found that the tunnel had water seepage from a punctured aquifer, leading to the drying of water sources in Joshimath.
  • It may also be the result of the reactivation of a geographic fault — defined as a fracture or zone of fractures between two blocks of rock — where the Indian Plate has pushed under the Eurasian Plate along the Himalayas.

What is Land Subsidence?

Land subsidence is the sinking of the ground because of underground material movement. Subsidence can be caused by gradual settling or sudden sinking of the Earth’s surface (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA, USA)). The causes for subsidence generally are:

  • Natural causes – earthquakes, glacial isostatic adjustment, soil compaction, erosion, sinkhole formation, etc.
  • Resource extraction – extracting resources such as oil, water, minerals, natural gas, etc. from the ground by mining, fracking or pumping.
  • Construction of infrastructure – excess infrastructure load above the carrying capacity of the soil.

Mishra Committee (1976) Recommendation

This was a committee appointed in 1976, to look into why Joshimath is experiencing a sink. This committee made various recommendations in this regard:  

  • In the slip zone, no new construction should be undertaken. Construction should only be permitted once the site’s stability has been assessed, and such regions should be appropriately investigated before being delineated.
  • No trees should be chopped down within landslide-prone sites, nor should boulders be removed by excavating or blasting to repair roads or perform any other building activity.
  • The region between Marwari (most affected during the recent incident) and Joshimath, below the Joshimath Reserve Forest, and in the cantonment should all undergo extensive planting.
  • It was also highlighted that there should be a complete restriction on gathering building material within a radius of 3 to 5 kilometres of the Joshimath township.

Seismic mapping in India: 

Seismic Map of India

Image source – Maps of India.com

  • The National Centre for Seismology under the Ministry of Earth Sciences is the nodal agency of the Government of India (GoI), for monitoring earthquakes in and around the country.
  • Zone V is seismically the most active region.
  • Zone II is the least. 
  • 11% of the country falls in zone V, 18% in zone IV, 30% in zone III and the remaining in zone II.

Joshimath Land Subsidence:- Download PDF Here

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Month later, rehabilitation eludes residents in India’s Joshimath

As houses and roads began to crack, about 240 families were temporarily relocated and many others fled the Himalayan town out of fear.

India Joshimath

Joshimath, India – It was 3.40am on January 3 when Digambar Singh Bisht woke up hearing a loud rumble. “It felt like the ground beneath us would crack open,” he told Al Jazeera.

The house shook and the glass windowpanes of two nearby hotels got shattered. The family of five rushed out in fear. “We spent the night on the road,” the 41-year-old said.

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A himalayan town in india is sinking, forcing residents to leave a himalayan town in india is sinking, ..., demolitions begin in india’s ‘sinking’ joshimath, hundreds moved demolitions begin in india’s ‘sinking’ ..., sinking himalayan town puts spotlight on india’s hydropower push sinking himalayan town puts spotlight on ....

In the morning, Bisht returned to a house that was severely damaged with wide cracks on the walls and the floor. It had become unliveable. Cracks were also visible on some patches of the town’s roads.

Bisht lives in Joshimath , a Himalayan town close to the India-China border in Chamoli district of India’s northern state of Uttarakhand.

India Joshimath

As panic set in and the protests became shriller, the local administration moved the Bisht family to a room in the Joshimath municipality building.

Several families whose houses were damaged, including the Bishts, have been residing in the building for more than a month now. “We were told that this relocation is temporary and the government will provide us proper compensation and rehabilitation. But we haven’t yet heard anything from the government,” Bisht told Al Jazeera, adding that his family has received a compensation of only 150,000 rupees ($1,820).

Officials say parts of the town are sinking. Bisht’s house is among 860-odd “unsafe” buildings where cracks have been identified so far. The government has declared Joshimath a disaster-hit “landslide” and a “land subsidence” zone.

At least 240 families have been temporarily relocated . Many have left the town out of fear. “There are no tourists here after the disaster,” said Ajay Sharma, who drives a taxi.

Authorities have been carrying out “controlled mechanical demolition” of a few buildings. These include a government guesthouse, hotels, and houses.

India Joshimath

Months of red flags

Perched between 5,249 feet and 6,889 feet, Joshimath is a fast-growing town of about 23,000 residents. It is a gateway to Badrinath and Hemkund Sahib, visited by millions of Hindu and Sikh devotees respectively every year.

Tourists hiking to the Valley of Flowers, a UNESCO World Heritage Site, and skiers headed to Auli, a short drive away, often halt at Joshimath.

On January 3, like Bisht, several residents in the town heard the rumble, vibrations, or the sound of water gurgle underneath the ground. A government official, on condition of anonymity, said a few Indian Army personnel also informed the survey teams about it.

Joshimath is home to an Indian Army base. It also houses facilities for the Indo-Tibetan Border Police, deployed on the India-China border.

“We are not sure of what happened on January 3,” Ranjit Kumar Sinha, Disaster Management Secretary in the Uttarakhand government, told Al Jazeera. “It is a mystery so far.”

A report by the National Remote Sensing Centre (NRSC) of the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) said land in the town rapidly sunk by 5.4cm (2.1 inches) between December 27, 2022 and January 8 this year.

It further said that between April and November 2022, the land had sunk by 8.9cm (3.5 inches). The report led to a gag order by the government, prohibiting 12 government agencies from discussing the Joshimath issue with the media. Soon after the gag order, the Joshimath report vanished from the NRSC website.

India Joshimath

But other reports confirm surface displacement in Joshimath over the past few years.

Navin Juyal, a geologist currently studying the cause of sinking land and damaged houses in Joshimath, says the town reached a “tipping point” on January 3.

More than 500 litres of turbid water started gushing out every minute from an underground channel in the Marwari area, and damage to several houses was sudden and severe, he pointed out.

“Joshimath slopes are currently experiencing a vertical subsidence, which is causing land to sink, and a horizontal creep, which is a slow downward movement of soil and debris,” Juyal told Al Jazeera.

At least 14 families in the town’s Chhawani Bazar area first noted cracks in their houses in October 2021. With time, the cracks got wider and deeper, and appeared in hundreds of houses across the town. In several houses, the beams got dislodged.

Rajendra Lal, a 60-year-old former Indian Army soldier whose house was completely damaged by the end of 2022, says, “Every few days, I have to argue with the local administration to finalise my compensation and rehabilitation before they demolish my house.”

“I have been asking them [officials] about what their plans are for people like me, but I haven’t received an answer yet,” Lal adds.

Nearly 190 prefabricated huts for affected families have been proposed for construction at Dhak village, about 11km (7 miles) from Joshimath, says Sinha, adding that 15 huts are currently under construction.

India Joshimath

Government reports question rampant construction

A September 2022 report by the Uttarakhand State Disaster Management Authority (USDMA) blamed rampant construction in Joshimath and inadequate wastewater disposal and drainage systems for the sinking land.

“The town is built on the debris of an old landslide and cannot bear the burden of rampant construction,” Piyoosh Rautela, executive director of Uttarakhand’s Disaster Mitigation and Management Centre (DMMC), told Al Jazeera.

Only 10-15 percent of the buildings currently have sewerage connections, while the remaining use soak pits.

“Water from the soak pits enters the ground and pushes down fine sediments, which leads to land subsidence,” Yaspal Sundriyal, a geologist from the Hemvati Nandan Bahuguna (HNB) Garhwal University in the state’s Srinagar town, told Al Jazeera.

These issues were also pointed out in a 1976 report by the MC Mishra Committee, which was the first administrative report elaborating the causes behind land subsidence in Joshimath, Himalayan historian Shekhar Pathak told Al Jazeera.

India Joshimath

Joshimath is in Zone V, the highest-risk zone on the seismic map. The Mishra Committee report had warned against developing Joshimath into a township. It also said the “vibrations produced by blasting and heavy traffic” will worsen the pre-existent geological challenges.

But nobody paid heed to the warnings. “Unscientific constructions and poor governance have forced Joshimath to become a sinking town,” Sundriyal said.

Locals blame road and dam construction

“Go back NTPC” signs can be spotted across Joshimath, as angry residents blame an under-construction hydropower project by the state-owned corporation for their woes.

Once built, the Tapovan Vishnugad hydropower project will produce about 520MW of electricity. But it has been in the eye of the storm several times since 2006.

In December 2009, an aquifer punctured during the construction of the project’s tunnel. It resulted in a daily discharge of about 60-70 million litres of water that would sustain about two to three million people.

“Over a decade of water discharge from the aquifer puncture has resulted in the land sinking,” says Atul Sati of the Joshimath Bachao Sangharsh Samiti that is leading the ongoing protests for compensation and rehabilitation of the families.

NTPC has denied its project has any role to play in land subsidence.

Besides the hydropower project, a section of the residents and experts also blame the use of explosives for the under-construction 6km (3.7 miles) Helang-Marwari bypass road, part of the ambitious 825km (512.6 miles) Char Dham road project.

The project will allow faster deployment of troops to the Indo-China border and improve access to the Hindu religious sites of Badrinath, Kedarnath, Gangotri, Yamunotri and Kailash Mansarovar.

“The use of explosives and drilling for the bypass has contributed to destabilising Joshimath’s foundations,” said Sundriyal, the geologist.

In an attempt to control the situation and to cool down the tempers, on January 5, the local administration gave orders to temporarily stop construction of the NTPC project and the bypass.

But locals say it is too little, too late. “The NTPC must permanently stop work on the Tapovan Vishnugad project and acknowledge their role in the making of this disaster,” Sati said.

Nearly 150 organisations, experts, environmentalists and citizens, mainly from the Himalayan region, have supported Sati’s argument by issuing a statement this week, showing solidarity with Joshimath’s “ongoing struggle for justice and accountability”.

While the government has declared Joshimath a disaster-hit town, the statement argues the Joshimath disaster is “not natural”, and is largely a result of projects like dams and highways that are being built in the name of “national interest” and “development”.

Himalayan dams worsening climate crisis

Hydropower projects are a contentious issue across the Himalayan region. Such projects continue to be built with inadequate environmental and strategic impact assessments, and without policy compliance – issues which, for instance, are also true for the Nepal Himalayas, said Ajaya Dixit, a water specialist from Nepal who is a senior adviser at the Institute for Social and Environmental Transition-Nepal.

Uttarakhand is key to India’s focus on hydropower. The government estimates that the state has a potential for small hydropower plants with 1,664MW capacity, and large hydropower projects of 17,998MW. The current installed capacity stands at 219MW from small hydro projects and 3,975MW from large ones.

Such projects were blamed for exacerbating the effects of the 2013 floods in Uttarakhand which killed thousands. In the 2021 floods in Chamoli district, of the more than 200 deaths, 192 happened at the sites of two hydropower projects – 13.2MW Rishiganga, and NTPC’s Tapovan Vishnugad – leading to demands of scrapping such projects.

The government said the plants were being allowed to continue since more than 50 percent of the work had already happened.

India Joshimath

Various reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), a United Nations body, say that the Himalayan region, which extends over India, Tibet, Nepal, Bhutan, Myanmar, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Afghanistan, is at risk of floods and landslides from increased instances of heavy rainfall due to climate change. Also, Himalayan glaciers are fast melting due to global warming, the reports say.

In Uttarakhand, which lies in the central Himalayas, floods and landslides have caused thousands of deaths over the past decade. Some of these instances have been linked to climate change. According to Uttarakhand DMMC, 7,750 cloudbursts and extreme rain instances, and 1,961 landslides were recorded in the region between 2015 and mid-2021.

Anjal Prakash, an IPCC author who studies climate change in areas including the Himalayas, and is currently at the Hyderabad-based Indian School of Business, told Al Jazeera, “Large hydropower projects in the Himalayas will worsen the impacts of floods and landslides from climate change.”

For Joshimath, the 2022 USDMA report mentions three instances as being crucial to its current situation – the June 2013 Uttarakhand floods, February 2021 Chamoli floods, and the very heavy rains of October 18-19, 2021 (measuring up to 190mm or 7.5 inches).

Cycle of displacement

Sinha says the government is in the process of preparing a comprehensive package for the affected families, which will be presented during an Uttarakhand cabinet meeting scheduled for February 15.

“We will keep all options open for the residents, whether they want money, or a house built,” he told Al Jazeera, adding that the government is also scouting for land in nearby towns.

Various agencies have submitted reports on Joshimath to India’s National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA). Sinha says the findings are being collated by the NDMA. Once finalised, they will be presented to the Uttarakhand government.

“On February 15, we shall present a draft policy for Joshimath in front of the Uttarakhand cabinet. However, the specifics of rehabilitation will be decided after we receive NDMA’s final report,” he said.

However, residents say their lives are in limbo as they continue to protest for better compensation.

Akhilesh Kumar Katiyar, 54, had moved to Joshimath from Chaien village – about 13km (8 miles) away – in 2008, after a leaking tunnel from a hydropower project damaged his home.

A survey by authorities marked his Joshimath residence in the “red zone” on January 17. Since then, the family of five has been living in a hotel room. “Now, even the house in Chunar [in Joshimath] has become unliveable because of sinking land. We don’t know what the future holds for us,” Katiyar told Al Jazeera.

In his one-room accommodation at the municipality office, Bisht is angry about the lack of information.

“We have no idea if this town will survive,” he says. “So many government agencies are here. But we don’t know what they are up to since the government has gagged them.”

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case study on joshimath landslide

Govt prepares plans to save sinking Joshimath, locals battle bone-chilling cold amid evacuations | Top points

Authorities in uttarakhand's joshimath town are working to shift families in the affected areas to safer places. a number of tenants in the town have already moved elsewhere as buildings began showing cracks..

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Joshimath land subsidence

The gateway to Hemkund Sahib and Badrinath, Joshimath has been declared a landslide-subsidence zone.

Locals in the town have preferred to stay outdoors, battling the winter chills after several houses and more than 600 other buildings developed cracks.

A sinking Joshimath has given a tough time to the authorities as well, who have shifted nearly 70 affected families , while the work to relocate many others is underway.

On Sunday, the district administration distributed necessary assistance funds for essential household items to the affected families.

A high-level review meeting on the present situation of Joshimath was also held on Sunday.

Considering the extent of the damage, at least 90 more families will have to be evacuated as soon as possible.

A committee of experts is slated to visit Joshimath today. They will survey the prevailing conditions in the sinking Himalayan town and give their recommendations.

HUGE CRACKS IN JOSHIMATH BUILDINGS

There are a total of 4,500 buildings in Joshimath and 610 of these have developed huge cracks, making them unfit for habitation.

A structure in Joshimath oozing out muddy water amid land subsiding (Photo: PTI)

"Construction activities have been banned in Joshimath and nearby areas. Dry ration kits are being distributed to affected people," the Chamoli DM said.

WHAT PANEL REPORT SUGGESTS

Here's what the panel report suggested -

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HT

Exposure of highway stretch in U'khand to landslides likely to surge: Study

Joshimath crisis: an average landslide density of 1.25 landslides per km was recorded by scientists for the 247-km-long stretch on nh-7 highway..

Scientists have found that vulnerability of the highway stretch in Uttarakhand between Joshimath and Rishikesh to landslides is likely to increase, owing to continued vegetation removal and destabilising of slopes.

Cracks appearing at a house due to landslides at Joshimath in Uttarakhand. (PTI photo)

Read here: 'Joshimath situation very dangerous...': Mamata jabs Centre for 2nd straight day

An average landslide density of 1.25 landslides per km was recorded by scientists for the 247-km-long stretch on NH-7 highway.

The study conducted a systematic survey of landslides and derived a statistical model, aimed at quantifying landslide susceptibility along the NH-7 at a high spatial resolution, the findings said.

Based on an inventory of more than 300 landslides along the corridor following exceptionally high rainfall in September and October 2022, the study identified the main factors governing the occurrence of mass-movement events.

The findings of the study were brought out in a preprint paper by scientists from University of Potsdam in Germany and Indian Institute of Technology in Roorkee.

"The highest density of landslides occurs between Rishikesh and Srinagar within lithozone 2 and between Pipalkoti and Joshimath in lithozone 1," the study said.

Read here: Joshimath residents stage protests outside tehsil office against NTPC

"Lithozones encompass rocks of similar lithology, or composition. We did a regrouping of the lithologies from the geological map of Uttarakhand," said study author Jurgen Mey, Institute of Environmental Science and Geography at the University of Potsdam.

The high landslide density in lithozone 2 is likely related due to the pronounced fissility, or the capacity to shear along the grain, and cleavage of the dominating shales and phyllites associated with material softening, percolation and weathering, causing a general decrease in rock strength, the study said.

"Yes, these rocks are vulnerable to heavy rainfall. But many parts of the Himalayas have similar features, so it is hard to avoid such terrains. However, with proper stability measures, such slopes can be made safer," said Reet Kamal Tiwari, assistant professor, Department of Civil Engineering at Indian Institute of Technology in Punjab's Ropar.

Tectonic activity too contributes to a general decrease in rock strength by creating shear surfaces with low friction angles, the study said.

"Because the Himalayas are tectonically active, these rocks have been deformed and modified so that they feature a lot of discontinuities, along which they can fail more easily. Adding the steep slopes and the high intensity rainfall (trigger), landslides will be frequent," said Mey.

Road segments, where the adjoining hill slopes parallel bedding, joints or foliation planes are particularly vulnerable, the study said.

The study found an intriguing spatial agreement between recent constructions for road widenings and landslide occurrences in the region under investigation.

The road was widened by removing vegetation and excavating soil and rocks, potentially creating unstable slopes, the study said.

Read here: ‘Cracks not leaving us behind’: Many families in Joshimath stare at second rehabilitation

"Land cover change and climate change are the dynamic factors influencing landslide occurrence, whereas, slope degree and the soil are constant factors.

"We will see an increase in landslides in future, if the land use continues to change as per the current trend. We need to analyse these trends and keep them in front of us during town planning and other such activities," said Tiwari.

In fact, these disturbances have led to frequent landslides along the NH-7 previously as there have been previous studies also reporting about 300 landslides occurring along the road more than 10 years ago, the study said.

"Our data indicates that 20–40 per cent of the recorded landslides are reactivated slope failures which underscores that slopes are recurrently unstable during periods with intense rainfall," the study said.

"We will see more landslides in the future in the Himalayan region if such heavy rainfall instances continue," said Tiwari.

During mapping, the scientists also noticed that some slopes were engineered during the last years with retaining walls, yet many of which also failed.

Damages and fatalities may become even more frequent in the future, the study said.

The entire Upper Ganga basin is susceptible to extreme rainfall events and climate change projections - although subject to high uncertainties - indicate a trend towards more frequent extreme events due to elevation-dependent warming and a likely increase of summer monsoon precipitation by 4-25 per cent, the study said.

It also said that exposure to landslides was likely to increase.

Read here: Fresh cracks develop in building designated to keep relief material in Joshimath

Road construction and increased traffic volumes attract more people, who will strive for new economic opportunities associated with roadside sites. These sites are often more susceptible to landslides as construction often implies vegetation removal and slope destabilization, the study said.

A reduction of traffic may disrupt the cycle of increasing hazard and exposure, the study said. It concluded that the main controlling variables for landslides occurrence are slope angle, rainfall amount and lithology.

The Himalayan landscape presents a challenging environment for the construction and the maintenance of roads, even as close to 11,000 km of roads were built in the Indian Himalayan states, as attributed to media reports.

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  • Published: 27 May 2024

Multi-source remote sensing-based landslide investigation: the case of the August 7, 2020, Gokseong landslide in South Korea

  • Shin-Kyu Choi 1 ,
  • Ryan Angeles Ramirez   ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-1596-8295 2 ,
  • Hwan-Hui Lim 3 &
  • Tae-Hyuk Kwon   ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-1610-8281 3  

Scientific Reports volume  14 , Article number:  12048 ( 2024 ) Cite this article

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  • Engineering
  • Natural hazards

Landslides pose a growing concern worldwide, emphasizing the need for accurate prediction and assessment to mitigate their impact. Recent advancements in remote sensing technology offer unprecedented datasets at various scales, yet practical applications demand further case studies to fully integrate these technologies into landslide analysis. This study presents a case study approach to fully leverage variety of multi-source remote sensing technologies for analyzing the characteristics of a landslide. The selected case is a landslide with a long runout debris flow that occurred in Gokseong County, South Korea, on August 7, 2020. The chosen multi-source technologies encompass digital photogrammetry using RGB and multi-spectral imageries, 3D point clouds acquired by light detection and ranging (LiDAR) mounted on an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV), and satellite interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR). The satellite InSAR analysis identifies the initial displacement, triggered by rainfall and later transforming into a debris flow. The utilization of digital photogrammetry, employing UAV-RGB and multi-spectral image data, precisely delineates the extent affected by the landslide. The landslide encompassed a runout distance of 678 m, featuring an initiation zone characterized by an average slope of 35°. Notably, the eroded and deposited areas measured 2.55 × 10 4  m 2 and 1.72 × 10 4  m 2 , respectively. The acquired UAV-LiDAR data further reveal the eroded and deposited landslide volumes approximately measuring 5.60 × 10 4  m 3 and 1.58 × 10 4  m 3 , respectively. This study contributes a valuable dataset on a rainfall-induced landslide with a long runout debris flow, underscoring the effectiveness of multi-source remote sensing technology in monitoring and comprehending complex landslide events.

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Introduction.

Landslides refer to sudden collapse and rapid downstream movement of destabilized earth ground, which can be primed or triggered by various factors, including rainfall, earthquakes, and human activities. These events are highly unpredictable, and they carry immense velocity and impact force, posing significant hazards. Several catastrophic landslide-related damages have been reported around the world, such as the Woomyeon landslide in Seoul 1 , 2 , 3 , the Montecito landslide in California 4 , 5 , the Mabian landslide in Mabian County 6 , the Livadea landslide in Livadea village 7 , the Jichang landslide in Shuicheng County 8 , and the Aniangzhia landslide in Danba County 9 . As heavy rains become more concentrated in localized regions, the frequency and severity of landslide hazards are becoming increasingly pronounced in numerous countries.

Records on past landslide events are one of the critical ingredients to build a capacity for accurate prediction of potential landslides. The landslide record or landslide inventory needs to include the volumes of initial source and final deposited mass, and landslide characteristics (e.g., rheology, soil properties, erosion rate) as well as the geographic, geologic and topographic data. Hence, conducting a comprehensive investigation of landslide events becomes crucial, involving a quantitative assessment of their geometry, such as area, volume, and runout distance, along with other relevant landslide-related characteristics. In general, walk-in field surveys immediately after a landslide event can provide valuable information 10 , 11 , 12 , 13 , 14 , 15 , 16 , 17 , 18 . However, field visits are often restricted due to the safety concern, such as a potential danger of progressive collapse as an example.

Recently, remote sensing technology has emerged as a valuable tool to overcome this limitation as it can effectively monitor hard-to-reach areas and conduct prolonged and periodic observations. Additionally, it is cost-effective, time-saving, and portable. The types of remote sensing technology are classified according to the sensors (or cameras) mounted on UAVs (i.e., optical camera, LiDAR sensor, and radar sensor). Optical data typically includes visible radiation (red, green, and blue bands; RGB data) as well as infrared radiation (IR) range. In addition, monitoring using satellite radio detection and ranging (radar) enables observation of tiny displacements at the millimeter scale and can also observe past displacement histories. Therefore, the remote sensing techniques are widely utilized not only in the field of landslide disasters but also in various geo-science fields which requires long-term monitoring over a large area 19 , 20 , 21 , 22 , 23 , 24 , 25 , 26 .

Use of a single technique often poses a challenge in landslide surveys. For example, the optical imaging, as a passive method, is difficult to acquire topographic information in densely forested areas due to the occlusion effect 27 , 28 , 29 . Although the 3D point clouds gathered from LiDAR can provide topographic information, its lack of RGB information limits the object identification. The satellite radar is highly effective in detecting tiny displacements before a landslide occurs. However, its capability to observe meter-scale displacements with massive earth movements is limited. Rather than using a single technique, integration of multiple remote sensing technologies offers a promising approach to effective landslide monitoring 8 , 30 , 31 , 32 , 33 , 34 , 35 .

This study presents a comprehensive investigation on a landslide, focusing on the detailed analysis of its characteristics through the integration of diverse remote sensing technologies. The chosen case pertains to a landslide with a long runout debris flow that occurred in Gokseong County, South Korea, on August 7, 2020. A suite of multi-source technologies was strategically employed, including digital photogrammetry utilizing RGB and multi-spectral imagery, 3D point clouds derived from light detection and ranging (LiDAR) mounted on an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV), and satellite interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR). In particular, InSAR technology facilitated the detection of landslide initiation, while RGB and multi-spectral information aided in delineating the extent of the affected areas. Additionally, for precise quantification of landslide magnitude, 3D LiDAR point clouds were utilized to compute the volumes involved. Through the synergistic utilization of these diverse remote sensing technologies, this study aims to elevate the precision and efficacy of landslide investigations.

On August 7, 2020, a catastrophic landslide occurred at approximately 8:30 p.m. on a mountain behind a village in Osan town, Gokseong County, South Jeolla Province, South Korea (35°11′40″ N, 127°8′10″ E; Fig. 1 ), referred to as the Gokseong landslide. Figure 1 d represents the elevation profiles of the landslide channel before and after the event. It is a typical form of debris flows where eroded (or collapsed) sediment from the upstream area travels a long distance and accumulates in the downstream area. The primary trigger for this landslide was three consecutive days of heavy rainfall. The event caused extensive devastation to the downstream village as a significant volume of debris traveled a considerable distance, resulting in five fatalities, five houses buried, and a section of road collapsed (Fig. 2 ). Approximately 30 residents residing near the landslide site were evacuated. Five days post the landslide event, this study conducted a UAV field survey.

figure 1

Optical images of the Gokseong landslide site: ( a ) Sentinel-2 image after the event in Sites 1 and 2, ( b ) before the event in Site 1 (captured by Korea National Geographic Information Institute, KNGII in 2019), ( c ) The image representing the location of Gokseong County in South Korea and ( d ) the profiles before and after the occurrence of the landslide event. Note that the areas highlighted by the red polygons indicate the landslide areas.

figure 2

Digital photographs of the Gokseong landslide: ( a ) Overview of the landslide (Site 1), ( b ) the initiation zone of Site 1, ( c ) the deposition zone of Site 1, and ( d ) overview of the landslide (Site 2).

South Korea exhibits intricate climatic patterns arising from the interplay of continental and oceanic influences, featuring an average annual precipitation of 1,190 mm. The monsoon season, extending from July to September, contributes to over 50% of the total annual rainfall. Figure 3 presents rainfall data from a local meteorological station located 6 km from the landslide site, sourced from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). The precipitation graph highlights the commencement of intense rainfall around 8:30 a.m. on August 5, 2020, two days before the landslide event. Approximately 7.5 h before the landslide occurrence, cumulative rainfall had surpassed 150 mm, with the maximum hourly rainfall recorded at 51.5 mm. The antecedent cumulative rainfall in the three days leading up to the landslide event amounted to 290 mm (Fig. 3 ). Additionally, on August 5, 2020, Typhoon Hagupit induced heavy rainfall in the region.

figure 3

Hourly and cumulative rainfalls before the Gokseong landslide (at approximately 8:30 p.m. on August 7th).

Materials and methods

Landslide monitoring involves distinct phases before and after the occurrence. Before a landslide event, it is important to conduct ongoing monitoring by regularly measuring displacement in areas prone to such risks. Employing UAVs for this purpose proves to be inefficient. However, utilizing satellites, despite longer monitoring intervals, offers an effective alternative. After a landslide, quantitative assessments to area, volume, changes in elevation are required to identify triggers and formulate an effective recovery plan. Given that landslides typically occur within a range of several meters to hundreds of meters, the use of LiDAR data is more appropriate than radar data. Prior to the landslide, the satellite InSAR technology was utilized to detect any indications of pre-failure movement. Subsequent to the landslide event, the volumes of eroded and deposited materials were calculated using topographic data obtained from the 3D LiDAR sensor. Additionally, RGB and multi-spectral data were used to estimate the extent of the landslide damage area.

Pre-failure monitoring using satellite SAR data

This study involved the collection and processing of 32 satellite SAR data from the ascending Sentinel-1 mission, as shown in Fig.  4 . The dataset covered the period from August 1, 2019 to August 7, 2020, including the pre-failure state. The InSAR stack overview operator of the Sentinel Application Platform (SNAP) automatically selected the master image (January 1, 2020 in this analysis). Subsequently, the remaining images were co-registered as slave images to match the geometry of the master image. Figure  4 illustrates the spatiotemporal distribution of the Sentinel-1 SAR data stack and the interferometric pairs used in this study. The satellite InSAR method is capable of providing near-real-time monitoring of ground displacement, overcoming temporal, spatial, and meteorological constraints. Time-series InSAR analysis using multi-temporal satellite SAR effectively detects tiny displacements over a long period. In particular, we employed the permanent scatterer InSAR (PS-InSAR) method 36 , which is one of reliable and thus widely used time-series InSAR analysis methods. The PS-InSAR observes temporal deformation by using ground targets that exhibit stable phase behavior over the satellite radar data stack. The targets are primarily observed in in urban areas such as buildings, maintaining stable coherence and experiencing minimal noise interference. Compared to other InSAR analysis methods, it exhibits fewer atmospheric errors, enabling more precise estimation of ground displacement. Furthermore, it facilitates the analysis of long-term temporal deformation. The PS-InSAR analysis was carried out through a semi-automated processing chain with a two-stage workflow, consisting of the single master differential InSAR processing and the time series analysis.

figure 4

Pairing of master and slave synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images.

Landslide area mapping using optical data

RGB and multi-spectral images were acquired for digital photogrammetry to examine the geometric characteristics of the landslide and analyze the affected area. The RGB images were captured using an optical digital camera (X5S, DJI) mounted on the DJI Inspire 2 UAV. Additionally, a multi-spectral digital camera (RedEdge-MX, MicaSense), capable of capturing five bands (i.e., 475 nm ± 32 nm for the blue band, 560 nm ± 27 nm for the green band, 668 nm ± 14 nm for the red band, 717 nm ± 12 nm for red edge band, and 842 nm ± 57 nm for near-infrared (NIR) band), was installed on the DJI Inspire 2 UAV to obtain multi-spectral images. For data analysis, 3D point clouds were generated from overlapped images taken from various locations using the structure from motion algorithm (SfM) with the Agisoft Metashape program (v.1.5.5). Ground control points (GCP) were employed to ensure high accuracy in obtaining point clouds, as the global navigation satellite system (GNSS) sensor mounted on the UAV had limited accuracy.

In particular, this study employed the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) to delineate landslide-affected areas 37 , 38 , and it is calculated using the NIR and red band reflectance, as follows:

where R NIR is the reflectance of the NIR band and R red is the reflectance of the red band. The NDVI proves more accurate than results derived from RGB images, particularly in forested and vegetated areas, common locations for landslides. Its application extends to extracting landslide-affected areas, considering diverse characteristics contingent on land cover types. In this study, the NDVI was used to differentiate various land-cover types, with vegetated areas exhibiting higher NDVI values, while non-vegetated regions, such as soil or concrete, showed lower values. Therefore, when a landslide occurs, the NDVI decreases significantly as trees and vegetation are uprooted, leaving only exposed soil behind 38 . Leveraging these distinctive features, the occurrence of landslides was analyzed using multi-spectral data at the Gokseong landslide site.

Topographic change estimation using LiDAR data

The landslide volume plays a crucial role in back-analyzing the flow characteristics of landslides. Additionally, post-disaster recovery planning necessitates volume information, which can be derived from changes in elevation obtained through remote sensing. This study estimated the landslide volume based on the change in topographic elevation before and after the landslide, where a UAV-LiDAR system was used to obtain the topographic information. The system was composed of a UAV (Matrice 600 Pro, DJI), GNSS, inertial measurement unit (IMU), LiDAR sensor (VLP-16, Velodyne), and other components. Detailed information on the UAV-LiDAR system used in this study can be found in Choi et al. 39 , including its configuration, calibration, and accuracy. The UAV-LiDAR system was flown at an altitude of 300 m with a velocity of 3 m/s to acquire a 3D LiDAR point cloud of the area after the landslide event. Then, the topographic change was quantified by using the multiscale model-to-model cloud comparison (M3C2) method, which calculates the distance between two point clouds even in cases where homologous parts are not explicitly defined 40 . When two point clouds are produced, the normal vector is determined by analyzing the points within the circle defined by the user. The normal vector indicates the direction of change between the two point clouds. Next, the average elevation is determined by analyzing the points within a cylinder defined by the user. This entire process is repeated for each point separated by the input distance, allowing for a comprehensive analysis of topographic changes between the two point clouds.

Landslide pre-failure analysis

Figure 5 represents the pre-failure annual mean velocity map along the line-of-sight (LOS) direction. Securing observation points in forested areas becomes challenging due to the scattering of radar signals caused by vegetation movement. Fortunately, observation points were obtained on the road near the landslide initiation zone in Site 1 (PS A1-to-A4; Fig. 5 b). Figure 6 shows the temporal variations of displacements in the LOS direction, superimposed with hourly precipitation data over time. The LOS displacements were negative, indicating movement away from the satellite along the LOS direction. Prior to the landslide event, the precipitation had continuously influenced the slope movement, specifically during Typhoon Hagupit on August 5, 2020. Similarly, Fig. 5 c shows the pre-failure annual mean velocity map and time-series displacement results of a landslide in Site 2, located 4 km away from the Gokseong landslide site. The observed pattern in Site 2 closely resembles that of Site 1 (PS A5-to-A7; Fig. 6 b). The displacement was attributed to continuous rainfall that commenced a few days earlier. These findings strongly suggest a significant correlation between landslide occurrences and rainfall patterns. Moreover, the study demonstrates that precise displacement monitoring through satellite InSAR technology can aid in identifying landslide-prone areas and monitoring displacement before major landslides occur.

figure 5

Annual LOS mean velocity map. ( a ) Gokseong landslide site, ( b ) Site 1, and ( c ) Site 2. Note that the red and black rectangles in Fig. 5a indicate the locations of Sites 1 and 2, respectively. Note that the red polygons in Figs. 5b and 5c represent the landslide boundaries. The inset photos show the sites post-landslide.

figure 6

Cumulative LOS displacement in ( a ) Site 1 and ( b ) Site 2. Note that the inset figures represent the results from April to August 2020.

Landslide area mapping

The trace of the landslide at Site 1 is illustrated in Fig. 2 a. The depth of the eroded channel was approximately 2.5 m. The initiation and deposition zones were located at elevations of 251 m and 160 m above sea level, respectively, with a total landslide runout distance of 678 m. The average slope of the landslide initiation zone was 35°. Additionally, the watershed widths of the initiation and transport zones ranged from approximately 40–60 m, while the maximum width of the deposition fan reached 140 m.

The NDVI estimated from the multi-spectral data delineated the landslide area (Site 1), as shown in Fig. 7 . The range of the NDVI value differed with land-cover types, and Fig. 7 c illustrates the NDVI distributions for road, landslide, and forest areas. In this study, the NDVI value of 0.04–0.70 was determined as the landslide area, and as a result, the landslide area was determined to be 4.26 × 10 4  m 2 . The delineated landslide area well matched with the actual landslide area, highlighting the accuracy of the method employing multi-spectral images, UAV and NDVI.

figure 7

( a ) RGB composite image ( b ) Spatial distribution of NDVIs obtained from the UAV survey after the Gokseong landslide event and ( c ) NDVI distributions by land cover type. Polygons A, B, and C cover road, landslide, and forest, respectively. Note that the red polygon in Fig. 7a represents the area extracted by manual estimation, the black polygon in Fig. 7b represents the area extracted with an NDVI range 0.04 to 0.70, and the white polygons indicate the sample location to analyze the ranges of the NDVIs.

Elevation change post-landslide

The pre-landslide DEM data was constructed by using the source provided by Korea National Geographic Information Institute (KNGII), as illustrated in Fig. 8 a. Following the landslide event, a high-resolution digital elevation model (DEM) of the site was acquired using the UAV-LiDAR system (Fig. 8 b). Comparison of these two DEM allowed to identify terrain differences caused by the landslide (Fig. 8 c). The negative elevation change indicated the erosion and the positive elevation change means the deposition. The initiation zone of the landslide exhibited a substantial topographic change of more than 13 m. In the downstream area, it was confirmed that a significant amount of debris (5 m in thickness) was deposited as a result of the landslide. For the landslide area derived from the NDVI analysis, the volume of the landslide was calculated based on the changes in the terrain elevation. As a result, the eroded and deposited volumes were estimated to be approximately 5.37 × 10 4  m 3 and 1.58 × 10 4  m 3 , respectively.

figure 8

Digital elevation information of the landslide region: ( a ) Before and ( b ) after the event. ( c ) Elevation difference map, which captures the source and deposition areas.

Effect of resolution of the NDVI data on the landslide area and volume

The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) can exhibit variations depending on the timing of data collection. Moreover, NDVI values are subject to change based on the specific characteristics of the area where a landslide has occurred 41 , 42 , 43 . Accurate estimation of the landslide occurrence area requires identifying the appropriate NDVI range. Incorrect selection may result in underestimation or overestimation of the landslide area. Meanwhile, it is worth noting that the resolution of the map heavily affects the determination of NDVI range and landslide areas. Herein, we further compare different data acquisition techniques and examine the effect of image resolution on the results.

This study uses optical and multi-spectral images with 10 m resolution acquired on August 20, 2020 from the Sentinel-2 satellite and obtains an NDVI map (Fig. 9 a,b). Herein, the NDVI of 0.08–0.53 is chosen to delineate the landslide area (Fig. 9 c). Figures 7 b and 9 b compare the landslide covers captured from the UAV-driven NDVI map and satellite-driven NDVI map, respectively. The distinction between the road and debris (landslide) boundaries is less clear, especially in the initiation zone, in the satellite-based result compared to the UAV-acquired result. While it is possible to distinguish between the landslide and forest covers, there is an overlapping section between the landslide and the road, as shown in Figure 9 c. The image resolution seems to have a minimal impact on the aerial estimates of the depositional area: 1.72 × 10 4  m 2 from the UAV-RGB map with the visual inspection method, 1.75 × 10 4  m 2 from the UAV-NDVI, and 1.83 × 10 4  m 2 from the satellite NDVI, respectively, as illustrated in Fig. 10 a. However, it exerts a more significant influence on the erosion area estimation: 2.55 × 10 4  m 2 from the UAV-RGB map, 2.49 × 10 4  m 2 from the UAV-NDVI map, and 3.01 × 10 4  m 2 from the satellite NDVI map (Fig. 10 b). These variations can be attributed to the lower resolution of the Sentinel-2 images, resulting in significant overestimation of the erosion area within the landslide region.

figure 9

( a ) Optical image and ( b ) spatial distribution of NDVIs, which were obtained from the Sentinel-2 after the event. c Ranges of NDVI by region. Note that the black polygon in Fig. 9b represents the area extracted with an NDVI range 0.08 to 0.53. Note that the red circle indicates the soil sampling point.

figure 10

Estimated areas and volumes related to the landslide. ( a ) Results in the deposition zone and ( b ) results in the erosion zone. Note that manual estimation indicates that the landslide area is delineated with visual inspection of the optical image.

Similarly, image resolution has a greater impact on the estimation of erosion volume compared to deposited volume. When the elevation changes acquired from UAV-LiDAR used, the erosion volume is estimated to be 5.60 × 10 4  m 3 from the UAV-RGB map, 5.37 × 10 4  m 3 from the UAV-NDVI map, and 6.21 × 10 4  m 3 from the satellite NDVI map (Fig. 10 b). By contrast, the deposited volume appears to be consistent, e.g., approximately 1.58 × 10 4  m 3 from the UAV-RGB map, 1.58 × 10 4  m 3 from the UAV-NDVI map, and 1.61 × 10 4  m 3 from the satellite NDVI map (Fig. 10 a).

These results clearly demonstrate that the spatial resolution of NDVI data plays a significant role in determining the area and volume of landslides, particularly in areas with notable topographic changes, i.e., the erosion zone in this study. Therefore, it is crucial to carefully consider and select an appropriate image resolution when conducting landslide investigations to ensure accurate and reliable results.

Effect of topographic information on the landslide volume

The elevation change can be determined by using two approaches: digital photogrammetry using UAV-RGB images (or UAV-RGB) and 3D LiDAR point cloud (or UAV-LiDAR). In this context, a comparison of these two approaches is conducted, focusing on erosion and deposition volume estimation, as illustrated in Fig. 10 . Overall, the UAV-LiDAR method yields a greater erosion volume but a lower deposition volume when compared to the UAV-RGB method. This discrepancy is attributed to the interference of the tree branches in the RGB images. The elevation change near wooded areas is not properly captured in the volume calculation, especially in the narrow upstream area where erosion is prevalent. By contrast, in the downstream area with a wider deposition fan and fewer trees, the difference in deposited volume between the UAV-RGB and UAV-LiDAR methods is relatively minimal (Fig. 10 b).

Distribution of soil water content

The moisture content (or water content) of soil undergoes changes during rainfall infiltration, and hence it is one of the important indicators to rainfall-triggered or rainfall-primed landslides. Specifically, in the event of a landslide and accompanying debris flow, the water contents in the various regions—such as the upslope landslide initiation area, eroded channel bed, and downstream deposition zone—reflects the characteristics of surface soils, including their density and looseness. In this section, the water content of soils at the Gokseong landslide site is estimated using UAV-acquired multi-spectral images. An artificial neural network (ANN) model developed by Lim and his co-workers 44 is employed for this purpose, which utilizes soil color and NIR reflectance characteristics as input parameters, extracted from the multi-spectral images, to predict the water content of soils.

Figure 11 illustrates the distribution of soil water content within the soil cover affected by the landslide. The result reveals that the soil in the landslide initiation (source) zone exhibits a low water content, measuring below 22%, while the downstream deposition zone features a higher water content, exceeding 26%. In the initiation zone, the top soil underwent erosion, leaving the exposed soil cover as the original ground. As a result, the soil in this area showed a high compacted density and thus a low water content when fully saturated. Furthermore, the multispectral imaging was carried out a few days after the precipitation ceased, potentially allowing for the drainage of pore water from the steep slope in this region. In contrast, the majority of the soil cover downstream consisted of freshly deposited soil. Consequently, this loosely deposited soil exhibited a higher water content. Along the curved debris flow path, a notable difference in water content is observed between the left and right-side channels due to the prevalence of erosion on one side and the dominance of deposition on the other. Particularly noteworthy is an area in the middle-stream where the estimated soil water content exceeds 41%. This heightened water content is presumed to be primarily a result of substantial soil deposition in this specific corner area. However, it is also worth noting that the shading in this particular region may have influenced the multi-spectral imaging, potentially contributing to this unusually high water content.

figure 11

Distribution of soil water content at the landslide site.

To validate the water content estimation based on the ANN model, soil samples were collected from the deposition zone, given restricted access to the landslide site (Fig. 9 a). The water content of a sampled soil was measured at 27.8%, while the estimated water content for the corresponding location was 26.5%. Although further validation is required to fully validate the ANN model, the result suggests feasibility of using the multi-spectral images for estimating the water content across large-scale soil covers. The water content data enhances the accuracy of landslide predictions by accounting for the impact of preceding rainfall on landslide occurrence. Furthermore, post-landslide water content data can contribute to improved forecasts of potential collapses.

Implications of multi-source remote sensing

In this study, we present four remote sensing techniques: satellite-based InSAR, UAV-driven RGB imaging, UAV-driven multi-spectral imaging and UAV-driven LiDAR survey. Before the landslide event, the satellite InSAR technology detects occurrence and continuity of displacement over a wide area. After the landslide event, RGB and multi-spectral image data are used to estimate the extent of the landslide damage area. The eroded and deposited volumes are assessed using topographic data obtained from the UAV-LiDAR system. In addition, the UAV-driven multi-spectral images, in combination with a prediction model, allow estimation of water content of the soil cover. Integration of these valuable data advances our understanding of landslides, and it can facilitate not only prediction of landslide hazard but also planning of effective post-disaster recovery plans.

The satellite InSAR technology plays a crucial role in identifying landslide-prone areas and enables long-term pre-event monitoring, without the need for on-site visits. To ensure high accuracy, it is essential to carefully choose the optimal analysis method among various InSAR methods and related parameters based on the site conditions and type of landslides. In forested regions, the selection of an appropriate radar wavelength for acquiring coherent radar targets becomes especially critical. The radar wavelength directly influences the probability of radar waves being scattered from the crowns or stems of trees. Smaller radar wavelengths tend to increase the likelihood of such scattering occurrences 45 , 46 , 47 , 48 .

The UAV-acquiring RGB imaging offers numerous advantages in various applications. One significant benefit is the capability to acquire a digital surface model (DSM). Moreover, it facilitates visible inspections for landslide triggers without the need for on-site access. Additionally, the UAV-acquiring RGB imaging proves valuable in manually estimating the extent of landslides, providing a means to cross-verify results obtained from the NDVI method. Furthermore, this UAV-acquiring RGB imaging technology demonstrates remarkable efficiency and rapidity in monitoring areas with minimal vegetation or exposed terrain, such as rocky mountain, post-landslide sites, and bare soil. The simplicity of operating UAVs and processing data makes it an optimal choice for such monitoring tasks. However, it is important to note that in regions with dense vegetation, the UAV-LiDAR system becomes indispensable for acquiring accurate topographic information. The UAV-LiDAR technology offers a significant advantage by providing topographic information even in densely vegetated areas. However, LiDAR sensors using specific wavelengths may encounter limitations in data collection when the ground is saturated. In this study, the LiDAR points were not acquired for five days after the Gokseong landslide event, as the soil remained saturated after the event (the LiDAR sensor operated at a wavelength of 905 nm in this study). Fifteen days after the landslide event, the soil had dried sufficiently to obtain LiDAR points. The selection of appropriate LiDAR sensors is crucial, especially when dealing with monitoring tasks in areas with saturated ground shortly after a landslide event.

Conclusions

This study presents a comprehensive demonstration of the multi-source remote sensing technology employed to analyze the Gokseong landslide in South Korea. The novel approach involved utilizing UAV-mounted RGB, multi-spectral, and LiDAR sensors, and satellite SAR sensor. The key findings derived from this study are as follows:

The research employed satellite InSAR technology to monitor ground displacement before the occurrence of the landslide. The satellite InSAR technology can provide time-series displacement of the study area, which is critical in understanding the pre-landslide displacement patterns. The displacement persisted prior to the landslide, and its pattern exhibited a significant correlation with rainfall in the region. The selection of radar wavelength and InSAR analysis methods should be considered concerning the type of landslides and field characteristics.

The UAV equipped with RGB and multi-spectral sensors offer a valuable means of acquiring precise information regarding the topography and land-cover of the study area. The UAV-mounted RGB, multi-spectral sensors can help identify traces and erosion patterns of the landslide. The landslide area analyzed using the NDVI was consistent with the results obtained from the manual estimation.

The landslide volume was analyzed by acquiring topographic information through the UAV-LiDAR technology. Although the flight and processing procedures are relatively complex compared to the UAV-RGB technology, this method has the distinct advantage of collecting topographic information in forested areas. LiDAR data allows for precise capturing of the topography and provides high-resolution elevation information.

The multi-source remote sensing technology can provide a comprehensive understanding of landslide characteristics, significantly enhancing disaster risk assessment and aiding in the formulation of effective recovery plans.

Data availability

The data and materials used in this article are available upon request by the correspondence author.

Abbreviations

Light detection and ranging

Unmanned aerial vehicle

Interferometric synthetic aperture radar

Red, green, blue

Radio detection and ranging

Infrared radiation

Korea Meteorological Administration

Sentinel application platform

Permanent scatterer InSAR

Near-infrared

Structure from motion

Ground control point

Global navigation satellite system

Normalized difference vegetation index

Inertial measurement unit

Multiscale model-to-model cloud comparison

Line of sight

Korea National Geographic Information Institute

Digital elevation model

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by Korea Electric Power Corporation (Grant number: R22XO05-05) and "Ministry of the Interior and Safety" R&D program (20018265).

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Ryan Angeles Ramirez

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S.C.: Conceptualization, Methodology, Validation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Resources, Data Curation, Writing – Original Draft, Visualization. R.R.: Investigation, InSAR analysis, Writing. H.L.: Investigation, Multi-spectral data analysis, Laboratory experiment, Writing. T.K.: Writing – Review & Editing, Supervision, Project administration, Funding acquisition. All authors reviewed and contributed to the manuscript.

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Choi, SK., Ramirez, R.A., Lim, HH. et al. Multi-source remote sensing-based landslide investigation: the case of the August 7, 2020, Gokseong landslide in South Korea. Sci Rep 14 , 12048 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-59008-4

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    The performance of using an autoencoder for prediction and susceptibility assessment of landslides: a case study on landslides triggered by the 2018 Hokkaido Eastern Iburi earthquake in Japan. Geoenviron Disasters. 6. doi: 10.1186/s40677-019-0137-5. Google Scholar.

  26. Uncertainty reduction strategies to enhance geotechnical site

    This study presents a method for identifying strategic locations to drill additional boreholes by quantifying and reducing subsurface uncertainties in geotechnical site investigations. The case study is the Red Roof landslide site located near milepost 140 on US Highway 26/89 in Teton County, Wyoming. A landslide remediation report had recommended additional boreholes before completion of the ...